- The Vikings (3-1) are -7.5 point favorites vs the Bears (2-2)
- Total (Over/Under): 44 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Chicago Bears (2-2) visit U.S. Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Vikings (3-1) on Oct. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Vikings are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The Bears vs. Vikings Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.
Bet now on Vikings vs Bears & all NFL games with BetMGM
Bears vs. Vikings Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 5
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bears | +7.5 -110 | 44 -110 | +260 |
| Vikings | -7.5 -110 | 44 -110 | -350 |
Bears vs. Vikings Prediction for Week 5
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this Week 5 game with 71.0% confidence.
Bears vs Vikings Spread Prediction for Week 5
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bears will cover the spread this Week 5 with 56.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bears and Vikings, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Bears Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bears players for Week 5, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Vikings Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for Week 5, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Vikings vs Bears
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson | +550 |
| Dalvin Cook | +600 |
| Adam Thielen | +700 |
| Khalil Herbert | +900 |
| Alexander Mattison | +1100 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Vikings vs Bears
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson | -115 |
| Dalvin Cook | -110 |
| Khalil Herbert | +130 |
| Adam Thielen | +130 |
| David Montgomery | +145 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Vikings vs Bears
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| K.J. Osborn | 24.5 -110 | 24.5 -115 |
| Irv Smith Jr. | 25.5 -115 | 25.5 -115 |
| Justin Jefferson | 83.5 -115 | 83.5 -115 |
| Cole Kmet | 26.5 -115 | 26.5 -115 |
| Darnell Mooney | 49.5 -115 | 49.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Vikings vs Bears
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Fields | 39.5 -110 | 39.5 -115 |
| Dalvin Cook | 78.5 -115 | 78.5 -115 |
| Kirk Cousins | 1.5 -110 | 1.5 -115 |
| Alexander Mattison | 22.5 -120 | 22.5 -110 |
Bears Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
Vikings Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears have gone 1-2 (-1.3 Units / -28.89% ROI).
- Bears are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 26.88% ROI
- Bears are 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Bears are 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / ROI
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings have gone 1-3 (-2.4 Units / -53.33% ROI).
- Vikings are 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 27.97% ROI
- Vikings are 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Vikings are 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Bears were winless (0-5) vs top 10 run offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .459.
The Bears are winless (0-7) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .377.
The Bears are winless (0-3) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .282.
The Bears are 3-13 (.188) when underdogs since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .370.
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Vikings are 7-2 (.778) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2021 season — ninth-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed an average of 136.9 rushing yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-worst in NFL.
The Vikings were 5-1 (.833) vs bottom 10 run defenses last season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .635.
The Vikings are 6-5 (.545) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .735.
The Vikings are 1-7 (.125) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season — 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .325.
Additional Matchup Notes for Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings have thrown the ball 73.7% of the time in the red zone this season — highest in NFL. The Bears have allowed a completion rate of 70.0% when defending in the red zone this season — fourth-worst in NFL.
The Vikings are 7-2 (.778) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2021 season — ninth-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed an average of 136.9 rushing yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-worst in NFL.
The Bears went three and out on 33.3% of their drives last week — tied for worst in NFL. Vikings forced three and outs on 30% of opponent drives in Week 3 — tied for fourth-best in NFL.
The Bears have a third down conversion rate of just 35.1% since the 2021 season — second-worst in NFL. The Vikings defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 36.3% since the 2021 season — fifth-best in NFL.
The Bears have rushed the ball on 75.9% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone this season — highest in NFL. The Vikings have allowed 6 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for second-most in NFL.
Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats for Week 5
The Bears have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 56% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Bears have averaged 117.8 passing yards per game (471/4) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 243.4.
The Bears have thrown the ball 30% of the time (66 Pass Attempts/217 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 55%.
The Bears have been sacked on 20% of pass attempts (16/82) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats for Week 5
The Vikings have not drawn any flags for offensive holding this season — tied for fewest in NFL.
The Vikings have an average drive start position from the 38.4 yard line in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 24.1.
The Vikings have run successful plays on 9% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 30%.
The Vikings have run successful plays on 27% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats for Week 5
The Bears defense has allowed 44 of 73 (60%) first downs on the ground this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
The Bears defense has allowed 29 of 73 (40%) first downs through the air (40%) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 64%.
The Bears defense sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (48/526) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
The Bears defense has allowed a passer rating of just 0.0 on 3rd and short (5 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 110.0.
Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats for Week 5
The Vikings have been flagged 0 times for 10+ yards on defense this season — tied for fewest in NFL.
The Vikings defense has allowed successful plays on 70% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Vikings defense has allowed 3 of 10 (30%) TDs through the air this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 63%.
The Vikings defense has allowed 7 rushing TDs this season — 2nd-most in NFL.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Vikings vs Bears and all NFL games with BetMGM
Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
