- The Bears are currently a 1.5-point home underdog against the Packers.
- The Packers have won 11 straight games at Soldier Field following a division game.
- My Bears vs Packers prediction is the Chicago Bears Moneyline (-110).
Chicago will go for a second straight win over their fierce rivals as the Bears host the Packers.Â
Despite losing in Week 18, the Bears retained the No. 2 seed in the NFC as the NFC North champions. However, the loss means Chicago enters Saturday’s game riding a two-game losing streak.Â
The current form for Green Bay is worse. Matt LaFleur’s team dropped four straight to close the season. That run includes a 22-16 overtime loss at Chicago in Week 16.Â
Bet on Bears vs. Packers and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.Â
Bears vs. Packers: NFL Wild Card Odds
Bears vs. Packers Prediction
Based on Green Bay’s defensive injuries and lack of wins entering the postseason, my Bears vs Packers prediction is the Chicago Bears Moneyline (-110).Â
I’m caught between two minds on this game.
On one hand, it would be foolish not to acknowledge the Bears’ lucky home win over the Packers.Â
Chicago erased a 16-6 deficit in the final five minutes of the game, winning in overtime. It should also be noted that Green Bay lost the game despite never punting once against the Bears.Â
That loss marks one of three for Green Bay this year in which their punter never saw action. All other teams are 8-0 in that situation.Â
On the other hand, are the Packers trustworthy in this game, having lost four straight? I recognize Week 18 is a self-imposed loss, but it’s still a lot to ask to turn that around.Â
Although the comparison is nuanced, bettors saw the Steelers enter the postseason last year on a four-game skid. As 9.5-point dogs, Pittsburgh lost 28-14 in Baltimore.Â
From a matchup standpoint, Green Bay does carry a massive edge over Chicago. Jordan Love leads the NFL in DVOA against man coverage, which Chicago runs at one of the highest rates.Â
Kyler Gordon, a key piece for Chicago’s defense, remains on IR. My question is whether the Packers offense can put it together with Love, having last played on December 20.Â
Defensively, Green Bay leaves so much to be desired. The Packers rank 25th in weighted defensive DVOA and will operate without Micah Parsons and Nate Hobbs.Â
Those are big absences to overcome, especially if Rome Odunze returns for the Bears offense.Â
Chicago ranks fifth in weighted offensive DVOA, having faced a league-average set of defenses. Given I place more trust in the Bears offense, it’s the hosts or nothing at a short price.Â
Betting Bears vs. Packers: NFL Public Betting
| Team | % of ATS Bets | % of ATS Money |
|---|---|---|
| Packers (-1.5) | 36% | 44% |
| Bears (+1.5) | 64% | 56% |
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