- The Bengals are -2.5 point favorites vs the Browns
- Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- Watch the game on CBS
The Cincinnati Bengals (0-0) visit Cleveland Browns Stadium to take on the Cleveland Browns (0-0) on Sep. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Bengals are betting favorites in this Week 1 matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Bengals vs. Browns Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.
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Bengals vs. Browns Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bengals | -2.5 -110 | 47.5 -110 | -135 |
| Browns | +2.5 -110 | 47.5 -110 | +115 |
Bengals vs. Browns Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this Week 1 game with 62.3% confidence.
Bengals vs Browns Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bengals will cover the spread with 60.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bengals and Browns, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Bengals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bengals players this Week 1 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joe Burrow has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+6.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Joe Mixon has hit the Longest Rush Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Joe Burrow has hit the Passing Yards Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+5.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- Tyler Boyd has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 57% ROI)
Best Browns Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Browns players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nick Chubb has hit the Longest Rush Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Donovan Peoples-Jones has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 55% ROI)
- Nick Chubb has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nick Chubb has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Amari Cooper has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.95 Units / 66% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Browns vs Bengals
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Nick Chubb | +500 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | +700 |
| Joe Mixon | +800 |
| Tee Higgins | +900 |
| Amari Cooper | +1000 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Browns vs Bengals
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Nick Chubb | -190 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | -140 |
| Joe Mixon | -115 |
| Tee Higgins | +115 |
| Amari Cooper | +125 |
Bengals Best Bets:
- The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the 2H Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.20 Units / 39% ROI)
Browns Best Bets:
- The Cleveland Browns have scored first in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 21 games (+4.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Bengals went 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Bengals are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -66.67% ROI
- Bengals are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Bengals are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / ROI
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Browns went 2-2 (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Browns are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -43.24% ROI
- Browns are 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Browns are 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Bengals are 6-1 (.857) vs top 10 pass offenses since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .352.
The Bengals were 10-0 (1.000) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season — best in NFL. The Browns averaged just 2.0 sacks per game over that time span — tied for fifth-worst in NFL.
The Bengals are undefeated (15-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .585.
The Bengals are 8-3 (.727) when not forcing a turnover since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .263.
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals
The Browns were winless (0-3) when allowing 250 or more passing yards in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Browns are winless (0-9) when rushing for less than 100 yards since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .335.
The Browns were winless (0-4) when rushing less than 25 times in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .315.
The Browns were 2-4 (.333) when within 7 points at the two minute warning in the 2022 season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
Additional Matchup Notes for Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns
The Browns ran successful plays on just 38.0% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field last season — third-worst in NFL. Bengals allowed successful plays on just 42.4% of pass attempts on their own side of the field last season — third-best in NFL.
The Browns scored on 8.3% of their drives in the first quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — second-worst in NFL. The Bengals defense allowed scores on 14.3% of opponent drives in the first quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fifth-best in NFL.
The Browns threw for 8.2 yards per attempt on 1st Down last season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Bengals allowed 8.1 yards per dropback on first down last season — third-worst in NFL.
The Bengals ran 16.6% offensive plays in the red zone last season — fifth-best in NFL. Browns allowed their opponent to run 16.6% of plays in the red zone last season — third-worst in NFL.
The Bengals had a third down conversion rate of 29.1% on 3rd and 10+ YTG last season — fourth-best in NFL. The Browns defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 25.8% on 3rd and 10+ YTG last season — second-worst in NFL.
The Bengals had a third down conversion rate of 30.0% on 3rd and 10+ YTG in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fifth-best in NFL. The Browns defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 33.3% on 3rd and 10+ YTG in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — third-worst in NFL.
Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats
The Bengals have scored 17 TDs from their own territory since the 2021 season — most in NFL.
The Bengals ran 58% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Bengals have a third down conversion rate of 52% against the blitz since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 38%.
The Bengals started 29 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 2022 season — fewest in NFL.
Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats
The Browns had 21 rushes of 20+ yards in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Browns started 5 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for most in NFL.
The Browns targeted TEs 41% of the time (30 Pass Attempts/74 plays) in the red zone in the 2022 season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Browns were sacked on 19% of pass attempts (7/36) in the 4th quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats
The Bengals defense allowed successful plays on 33% of plays in the 3rd quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Bengals defense allowed a passer rating of just 70.3 when blitzing (98 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 92.0.
The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Bengals defense allowed successful plays on 31% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats
The Browns defense allowed a passer rating of just 52.2 (102 Pass Attempts) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 85.6.
The Browns defense allowed a passer rating of just 17.5 in the red zone (10 Pass Attempts) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 98.4.
The Browns defense allowed first downs on 48% of pass attempts on 3rd and long in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 27%.
The Browns defense tackled opponents for a loss on just 7 of 142 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season. — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 11%.
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