Bengals vs Buccaneers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 15, 2022, 11:00 AM
  • The Bengals (9-4) are -3.5 point favorites vs the Buccaneers (6-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 44 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Cincinnati Bengals (9-4) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-7) on Dec. 18. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Tampa.

The Bengals are betting favorites in Week 15, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Bengals vs. Buccaneers Over/Under is 45 total points for the game.

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Bengals vs. Buccaneers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 15

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Bengals-3.5 -11045 -110-190
Buccaneers +3.5 -11045 -110+155

Bengals vs. Buccaneers Prediction for Week 15

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this Week 15 game with 64.0% confidence.

Bengals vs Buccaneers Spread Prediction for Week 15

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bengals will cover the spread this Week 15 with 53.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bengals and Buccaneers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Bengals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for Week 15, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tee Higgins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.90 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Joe Mixon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Joe Burrow has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+3.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Hayden Hurst has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+3.80 Units / 25% ROI)

Best Buccaneers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players for Week 15, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tom Brady has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Leonard Fournette has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Tom Brady has hit the Completions Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Leonard Fournette has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+5.95 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Rachaad White has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.85 Units / 70% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Buccaneers vs Bengals

Player Name Over Under
Cade Otton 23.5 -115 23.5 -115
Rachaad White 26.5 -115 26.5 -115
Mike Evans 57.5 -120 57.5 -110
Chris Godwin 68.5 -120 68.5 -110
Leonard Fournette 23.5 -115 23.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Buccaneers vs Bengals

Player Name Over Under
Rachaad White 42.5 -120 42.5 -110
Leonard Fournette 29.5 -120 29.5 -110
Joe Mixon 52.5 -115 52.5 -115
Joe Burrow 15.5 -115 15.5 -115
Samaje Perine 11.5 -120 11.5 -110
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 21 games (+14.55 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 21 games (+13.60 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the 2H Spread in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.70 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+10.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.80 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 13 games (+11.15 Units / 79% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.50 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.95 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)

Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals have gone 10-3 (+6.55 Units / 45.49% ROI).

  • Bengals are 9-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.53% ROI
  • Bengals are 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.85 Units / -33.8% ROI
  • Bengals are 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / ROI

Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers have gone 3-9 (-7.1 Units / -48.97% ROI).

  • Buccaneers are 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.9 Units / -38.95% ROI
  • Buccaneers are 3-10 when betting the Over for -8 Units / -55.94% ROI
  • Buccaneers are 10-3 when betting the Under for +6.7 Units / 46.85% ROI

Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Bengals are 8-3 (.727) when not forcing a turnover since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .273.

The Bengals are 2-1 (.667) when getting more than 3 points since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .301.

The Bengals are 3-3 (.500) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .207.

The Bengals are 2-1 (.667) when underdogs this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .356.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals

The Buccaneers are winless (0-5) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .406.

The Buccaneers were undefeated (6-0) vs top 10 pass defenses last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .471.

The Buccaneers are 3-1 (.750) when leading at the end of first quarter this season — tied for 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .594.

The Buccaneers are 4-1 (.800) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .555.

Additional Matchup Notes for Cincinnati Bengals vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Buccaneers scored on 9.1% of their drives last week — worst in NFL. The Bengals defense allowed scores on 18.2% of opponent drives in Week 14 — tied for third-best in NFL.

Buccaneers QBs have been 18 sacked this season — second-fewest in NFL. The Bengals have sacked the quarterback 21 times this season — third-fewest in NFL.

The Buccaneers had a third down conversion rate of just 25.0% last week — second-worst in NFL. The Bengals defense allowed a third down conversion rate of just 26.7% in Week 14 — third-best in NFL.

Bengals RBs have 7 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for most in NFL. The Buccaneers have allowed 4 receiving touchdowns to RBs this season — tied for third-most in NFL.

Bengals WRs averaged 4.7 yards after the catch last week — fifth-best in NFL. The Buccaneers allowed 6.0 yards after catch per reception to WRs in Week 14 — second-worst in NFL.

Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats for Week 15

The Bengals had 21 TDs that were 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.

The Bengals have run 58% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Bengals have faced a blitz just 6% of the time in the red zone since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

The Bengals have run 66% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats for Week 15

The Buccaneers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 12% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 24%.

The Buccaneers converted first downs on 53 of 70 plays (76%) on 3rd and short last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

The Buccaneers threw the ball 77% of the time (108 Pass Attempts/140 plays) on second and 4-7 yards to go last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Buccaneers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 14% of pass attempts since the 2020 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats for Week 15

Offenses facing the Bengals targeted WRs 52% of the time (549 Pass Attempts/1,063 plays) since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 33% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

Offenses facing the Bengals targeted WRs 33% of the time (18 Pass Attempts/55 plays) in the red zone this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 40% of pass attempts this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats for Week 15

The Buccaneers defense allowed 3 rushing TDs in Week 14 — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Buccaneers defense has blitzed on 24% of plays since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Buccaneers defense has allowed 15.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (111 yards / 7 touches) on 3rd and short since Week 11 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6.0.

The Buccaneers defense allowed successful plays on 38% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.