Bengals vs Packers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 6

BetMGM Betting Oct 09, 2025, 5:47 AM

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(AP Photo/Tyler Kaufman)

The Packers are -14 point favorites vs the Bengals
Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
Watch this game on CBS

The Cincinnati Bengals (2-3-0) visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (2-1-1) on Oct. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Green Bay, WI.

The Packers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -14 (-110).

The Bengals vs. Packers Over/Under is 44.5 total points for the game.

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Bengals vs. Packers Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Bengals	+14 -110	44.5 -110	700
Packers	-14 -110	44.5 -110	-1100

Bengals vs. Packers Prediction

The winning team model predicts the will win this game with confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Bengals vs Packers Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the will cover the spread with confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bengals players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Bengals Player Prop Bets Today

Noah Fant has hit the Receptions Over in his last 12 games (+12.95 Units / 87% ROI)
Evan McPherson has hit the Field Goals Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 55% ROI)
Joe Flacco has hit the Interceptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 48% ROI)
Andrei Iosivas has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+6.45 Units / 48% ROI)
Tee Higgins has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.85 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Packers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Packers Player Prop Best Bets Today

Jordan Love has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.60 Units / 53% ROI)
Romeo Doubs has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 32% ROI)
Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 29% ROI)
Josh Jacobs has hit the Carries Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.15 Units / 28% ROI)
Tucker Kraft has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.60 Units / 22% ROI)

Bengals Best Bets:

The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.25 Units / 24% ROI)
The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.30 Units / 28% ROI)
The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.60 Units / 12% ROI)
The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.35 Units / 18% ROI)
The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.35 Units / 18% ROI)

Packers Best Bets:

The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 17% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.20 Units / 43% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.55 Units / 33% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have covered the 2H Spread in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.73 Units / 21% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.65 Units / 21% ROI)

Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals are 1-4 (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).

Bengals are 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -14.08% ROI
Bengals are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Bengals are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / ROI

Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers are 2-2 (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

Packers are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -21.05% ROI
Packers are 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
Packers are 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI

Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

The Packers defense has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 1 of 722 attempts (0%) since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1%.

The Packers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 42.5 on 3rd and long (94 Pass Attempts) since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 81.8.

The Packers defense has allowed scores on 13% of opponent drives (6/47) in the 1st quarter since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 31%.

The Packers defense has allowed just 8.3 yards per completion (886 yards/107 completions) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10.6.

Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals

The Packers have converted late downs on 10 of 71 plays (14%) with 7-10 yards to go this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

The Packers have averaged 5.7 yards per play against tight coverage since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 3.6.

The Packers have averaged 0.09 epa per play against tight coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.49.

The Packers have run 64% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Cincinnati Bengals vs. Green Bay Packers