- The Bengals (10-4) are -3.5 point favorites vs the Patriots (7-7)
- Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
- Watch the game on CBS
The Cincinnati Bengals (10-4) visit Gillette Stadium to take on the New England Patriots (7-7) on Dec. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Foxborough.
The Bengals are betting favorites in Week 16, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Bengals vs. Patriots Over/Under is 41.5 total points for the game.
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Bengals vs. Patriots Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 16
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bengals | -3 -110 | 41.5 -110 | -160 |
| Patriots | +3 -110 | 41.5 -110 | +135 |
Bengals vs. Patriots Prediction for Week 16
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this Week 16 game with 58.8% confidence.
Bengals vs Patriots Spread Prediction for Week 16
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Patriots will cover the spread this Week 16 with 55.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bengals and Patriots, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Bengals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Joe Burrow has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Tyler Boyd has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Joe Mixon has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tee Higgins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.90 Units / 49% ROI)
Best Patriots Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Patriots players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Mac Jones has hit the Completions Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Jakobi Meyers has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- Mac Jones has hit the TD Passes Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+5.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.10 Units / 38% ROI)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Patriots vs Bengals
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | +100 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | +110 |
| Joe Mixon | +110 |
| Tee Higgins | +150 |
| Damien Harris | +155 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Patriots vs Bengals
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Tee Higgins | 61.5 -110 | 61.5 -120 |
| Nelson Agholor | 34.5 -110 | 34.5 -120 |
| Jakobi Meyers | 44.5 -115 | 44.5 -120 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 28.5 -115 | 28.5 -115 |
| Tyler Boyd | 34.5 -115 | 34.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Patriots vs Bengals
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow | 10.5 -120 | 10.5 -110 |
| Joe Mixon | 62.5 -110 | 62.5 -120 |
| Mac Jones | 8.5 -110 | 8.5 -120 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 59.5 -115 | 59.5 -115 |
| Samaje Perine | 21.5 -110 | 21.5 -120 |
Bengals Best Bets for Week 16:
- The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 21 games (+14.55 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the 2H Spread in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+11.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+10.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
Patriots Best Bets for Week 16:
- The New England Patriots have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 2H Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+4.05 Units / 33% ROI)
Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals have gone 11-3 (+7.55 Units / 48.71% ROI).
- Bengals are 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 2.83% ROI
- Bengals are 5-8 when betting the Over for -3.85 Units / -24.92% ROI
- Bengals are 8-5 when betting the Under for +2.5 Units / ROI
Patriots Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Patriots have gone 7-6 (+0.55 Units / 3.65% ROI).
- Patriots are 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -13.13% ROI
- Patriots are 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Patriots are 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots
The Bengals are undefeated (13-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .589.
The Bengals are 8-3 (.727) when not forcing a turnover since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .273.
The Bengals are undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .595.
The Bengals are 6-3 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .318.
New England Patriots: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals
The Patriots are winless (0-4) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .391.
The Patriots are winless (0-3) when committing 2 or more turnovers this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .302.
The Patriots are winless (0-6) when allowing 22 or more points this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .283.
The Patriots are winless (0-7) when having a TO margin of -2 or worse since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .134.
Additional Matchup Notes for Cincinnati Bengals vs. New England Patriots
The Patriots have 12 touchdown passes this season — tied for second-fewest in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 15 passing TDs this season — fifth-fewest in NFL.
Patriots TEs have averaged 7.2 yards after the catch since Week 12 — fourth-best in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 7.2 yards after catch per reception to TEs since Week 12 — tied for third-worst in NFL.
The Patriots have thrown for 11.4 yards per attempt on passes up the middle since Week 12 — second-best in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 11.7 yards per dropback when defending passes up the middle since Week 12 — third-worst in NFL.
Bengals RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on just 7.7% of 274 carries this season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Patriots have allowed 10+ yards on just 7.5% of carries to RBs this season — third-best in NFL.
Bengals TEs have averaged just 3.8 yards after the catch this season — third-worst in NFL. The Patriots have allowed just 4.1 yards after catch per reception to TEs this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL.
The Bengals are averaging just 1.7 yards per carry on 3rd and short this season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Patriots have allowed just 2.4 yards per carry when defending on 3rd and short this season — tied for second-best in NFL.
Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats for Week 16
The Bengals have run 61% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Bengals started 5 drives inside opposing territory in Week 15 — most in NFL.
The Bengals had 21 TDs that were 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.
The Bengals have run 67% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
New England Patriots Offense: Important Stats for Week 16
The Patriots have converted first downs on just 50 of 231 plays (22%) in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.
The Patriots have run successful plays on 28% of plays in the red zone this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Patriots ran successful plays on 59% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Patriots ran successful plays on 19% of plays in the 4th quarter in Week 15 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats for Week 16
The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 33% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 34% of plays in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Bengals defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 20% of pass attempts (21/103) when they have pressured the QB this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Bengals defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (22/504) this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
New England Patriots Defense: Important Stats for Week 16
The Patriots defense has allowed successful plays on 34% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Patriots defense allowed a passer rating of just 73.4 (539 Pass Attempts) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 90.8.
The Patriots defense allowed 7 rushing TDs on 73 carries (10.4 Carries Per TD) in the red zone last season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.2.
The Patriots defense missed 9 tackles in Week 14 — most in NFL.
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