Bengals vs Steelers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 11

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 21, 2022, 2:17 PM
  • The Bengals (5-4) are -4.5 point favorites vs the Steelers (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 41 points
  • Watch the game on NBC

The Cincinnati Bengals (6-4) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (3-7) on Nov. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EST in Pittsburgh.

The are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Bengals vs. Steelers Over/Under is total points for the game.

Bet now on Steelers vs Bengals & all NFL games with BetMGM

Bengals vs. Steelers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Bengals
Steelers

Bengals vs. Steelers Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this Week 11 game with 71.0% confidence.

Bengals vs Steelers Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bengals will cover the spread this Week 11 with 55.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bengals and Steelers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Steelers vs Bengals and all NFL games with BetMGM


Best Bengals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Hayden Hurst has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Tee Higgins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+4.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Joe Mixon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+4.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Joe Burrow has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 9 away games (+2.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Joe Burrow has hit the TD Passes Under in 5 of his last 9 away games (+1.40 Units / 15% ROI)

Best Steelers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Najee Harris has hit the Carries Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.05 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 games (+4.45 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Najee Harris has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Mitchell Trubisky has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Pat Freiermuth has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+3.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 20 games (+13.55 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+10.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+9.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the 2H Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+7.65 Units / 96% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+6.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+5.65 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 93% ROI)

Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals have gone 6-3 (+2.55 Units / 25.25% ROI).

  • Bengals are 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -19.86% ROI
  • Bengals are 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.55 Units / -25.63% ROI
  • Bengals are 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / ROI

Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers have gone 4-4 (-0.4 Units / -4.06% ROI).

  • Steelers are 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 6.15% ROI
  • Steelers are 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Steelers are 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

The Bengals are undefeated (3-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .584.

The Bengals are undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .584.

The Bengals are winless (0-3) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .406.

The Bengals are 6-3 (.667) when not forcing a turnover since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .262.

Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals

The Steelers were undefeated (5-0) vs top 10 run defenses last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .429.

The Steelers are winless (0-2) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .412.

The Steelers are winless (0-5) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .441.

The Steelers were 6-1 (.857) vs top 10 run offenses last season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .459.

Additional Matchup Notes for Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers have 6 touchdown passes this season — fewest in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 9 passing TDs this season — tied for second-fewest in NFL.

The Steelers have a third down conversion rate of just 33.3% in the first half this season — tied for fifth-worst in NFL. The Bengals defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 33.3% in the first half this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL.

The Steelers have averaged just 0.7 passing TDs per game this season — worst in NFL. The Bengals have allowed just 1.0 passing touchdowns per game this season — tied for second-best in NFL.

The Bengals have 18 touchdown passes this season — fourth-most in NFL. The Steelers have allowed 18 passing TDs this season — tied for second-most in NFL.

The Bengals have thrown for 2,580 passing yards in 9 games (286.7 YPG) this season — fourth-best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed 263.9 passing yards per game this season — third-worst in NFL.

Bengals WRs have 200.4 receiving yards per game this season — third-best in NFL. The Steelers have averaged 199.1 receiving yards per game allowed to WRs this season — third-worst in NFL.

Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Bengals had 21 TDs that were 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.

The Bengals have been flagged 3 times for 10+ yards on offense this season — fewest in NFL.

The Bengals have 28 TDs that were 20+ yards since the 2021 season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Bengals have been flagged 15 times on offense this season — fewest in NFL.

Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Steelers are averaging 22.0 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.2.

The Steelers ran the ball on 27% of plays (39 carries/144 plays) in the red zone last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Steelers are averaging 8.3 drives per TD this season — 2nd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.7.

The Steelers ran 22% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Bengals defense has allowed first downs on 92% of rush attempts on 3rd and short this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 67%.

The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 32% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 40% of pass attempts this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Bengals defense has not allowed a TD in close and late situations this season — fewest in NFL.

Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Steelers defense allowed successful plays on 7% of rush attempts in Week 10 — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Steelers defense allowed 20+ yard rushes 24 times last season — most in NFL.

The Steelers defense allowed first downs on 7% of rush attempts in Week 10 — best in NFL; League Avg: 27%.

The Steelers defense sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (55/618) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Steelers vs Bengals and all NFL games with BetMGM

Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.