Bengals vs Steelers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 17, 2022, 1:45 PM
  • The Bengals (5-4) are -4.5 point favorites vs the Steelers (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 41 points
  • Watch the game on NBC

The Cincinnati Bengals (6-4) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (3-7) on Nov. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EST in Pittsburgh.

The are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Bengals vs. Steelers Over/Under is total points for the game.

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Bengals vs. Steelers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Bengals
Steelers

Bengals vs. Steelers Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this Week 11 game with 71.0% confidence.

Bengals vs Steelers Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bengals will cover the spread this Week 11 with 55.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bengals and Steelers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Bengals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Hayden Hurst has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Tee Higgins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+4.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Joe Mixon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+4.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Joe Burrow has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 9 away games (+2.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Joe Burrow has hit the TD Passes Under in 5 of his last 9 away games (+1.40 Units / 15% ROI)

Best Steelers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Najee Harris has hit the Carries Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.05 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 games (+4.45 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Najee Harris has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Mitchell Trubisky has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Pat Freiermuth has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+3.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 20 games (+13.55 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+10.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+9.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the 2H Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+7.65 Units / 96% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+6.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+5.65 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 93% ROI)

Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals have gone 6-3 (+2.55 Units / 25.25% ROI).

  • Bengals are 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -19.86% ROI
  • Bengals are 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.55 Units / -25.63% ROI
  • Bengals are 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / ROI

Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers have gone 4-4 (-0.4 Units / -4.06% ROI).

  • Steelers are 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 6.15% ROI
  • Steelers are 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Steelers are 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

The Bengals are undefeated (3-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .584.

The Bengals are undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .584.

The Bengals are winless (0-3) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .406.

The Bengals are 6-3 (.667) when not forcing a turnover since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .262.

Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals

The Steelers were undefeated (5-0) vs top 10 run defenses last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .429.

The Steelers are winless (0-2) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .412.

The Steelers are winless (0-5) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .441.

The Steelers were 6-1 (.857) vs top 10 run offenses last season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .459.

Additional Matchup Notes for Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers have 6 touchdown passes this season — fewest in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 9 passing TDs this season — tied for second-fewest in NFL.

The Steelers have a third down conversion rate of just 33.3% in the first half this season — tied for fifth-worst in NFL. The Bengals defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 33.3% in the first half this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL.

The Steelers have averaged just 0.7 passing TDs per game this season — worst in NFL. The Bengals have allowed just 1.0 passing touchdowns per game this season — tied for second-best in NFL.

The Bengals have 18 touchdown passes this season — fourth-most in NFL. The Steelers have allowed 18 passing TDs this season — tied for second-most in NFL.

The Bengals have thrown for 2,580 passing yards in 9 games (286.7 YPG) this season — fourth-best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed 263.9 passing yards per game this season — third-worst in NFL.

Bengals WRs have 200.4 receiving yards per game this season — third-best in NFL. The Steelers have averaged 199.1 receiving yards per game allowed to WRs this season — third-worst in NFL.

Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Bengals had 21 TDs that were 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.

The Bengals have been flagged 3 times for 10+ yards on offense this season — fewest in NFL.

The Bengals have 28 TDs that were 20+ yards since the 2021 season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Bengals have been flagged 15 times on offense this season — fewest in NFL.

Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Steelers are averaging 22.0 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.2.

The Steelers ran the ball on 27% of plays (39 carries/144 plays) in the red zone last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Steelers are averaging 8.3 drives per TD this season — 2nd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.7.

The Steelers ran 22% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Bengals defense has allowed first downs on 92% of rush attempts on 3rd and short this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 67%.

The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 32% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 40% of pass attempts this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Bengals defense has not allowed a TD in close and late situations this season — fewest in NFL.

Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Steelers defense allowed successful plays on 7% of rush attempts in Week 10 — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Steelers defense allowed 20+ yard rushes 24 times last season — most in NFL.

The Steelers defense allowed first downs on 7% of rush attempts in Week 10 — best in NFL; League Avg: 27%.

The Steelers defense sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (55/618) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.