Best NFL MVP Odds Value Power Ranking

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Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) scores a touchdown
(AP Photo/Kamil Krzaczynski)
Colton Pool @CPoolReporter Jan 03, 2023, 12:13 PM
  • Jalen Hurts (+1200) is my favorite NFL MVP bet.
  • There’s a few longshots worth considering.

Multiple players have interesting NFL odds to win the 2022 MVP award. Here are my favorite NFL MVP value bets at the BetMGM online sportsbook entering Week 18.

NFL MVP Odds: Power Ranking Best Value

PlayerNFL MVP odds (1/3)
Jalen Hurts+1200
Josh Allen+1200
Joe Burrow+700

1. Jalen Hurts (+1200)

Jalen Hurts has been out for the past two weeks, and the Eagles have dropped from 13-1 to 13-3. That highlights just how valuable Hurts is to one of the best teams in the NFL.

Even despite their recent struggles, the Eagles are third in total offensive DVOA and sixth in pass offense DVOA, per Football Outsiders.

Hurts has been efficient, both as a runner and a passer, even deep downfield. He’s seventh in DVOA among quarterbacks.

The Eagles are a legitimate Super Bowl contender. If they keep command in the NFC and Patrick Mahomes struggles at all in the last week of the regular season, Hurts might be worth a bet here.

2. Josh Allen (+1200)

Bills quarterback Josh Allen was the frontrunner for a good portion of 2022. Even though he’s dropped, he’s bouncing back at the tail end of the regular season.

In fact, after the Bills lost back-to-back games, they responded with six consecutive victories.

And despite his earlier struggles, Allen is still top seven in passing yards per game (268.6) and passing touchdowns (32). If Buffalo (12-3) can secure the No. 1 seed in the AFC, that would also help his case.

Maybe this ends up as good value looking back at this moment after this week.

3. Joe Burrow (+700)

The Bengals have won 11 of their last 13 games and will be one of the top teams in the AFC after the end of the regular season. That means quarterback Joe Burrow should see some MVP consideration.

Burrow is second in the NFL in passing touchdowns (34), third in passing yards per game (284) and completion percentage (69%) and is sixth in DYAR. That alone proves how well he’s been playing.

Now that the Bengals are winning as often as they are, Burrow clearly is one of the most valuable players in the league right now.

Full NFL MVP Odds

PlayerOpening OddsBefore Week 17Current OddsTicket%Handle%
Josh Allen9001000120015.3%19.5%
Patrick Mahomes700-500-60014.6%26.4%
Jalen Hurts4000900120011.5%16.5%
Russell Wilson3000Off the boardOff the board7.9%4.2%
Lamar Jackson2200Off the boardOff the board5.6%4.4%
Joe Burrow12006007005.1%3.8%
Justin Herbert140020000Off the board4.9%4.8%
Tom Brady2200Off the boardOff the board3.8%1.7%
Justin Jefferson1250015000150003.3%2.2%
Tua Tagovailoa1500012500Off the board3.2%2.4%
Kyler Murray2500Off the boardOff the board2.7%1.3%
Kirk Cousins800030000Off the board2.5%1.6%
Derek Carr4000Off the boardOff the board1.9%1.1%
Aaron Rodgers700Off the boardOff the board1.7%0.8%
Trey Lance8000Off the boardOff the board1.5%1.5%
Tyreek Hill1250020000Off the board1.1%0.7%
Derrick Henry1800Off the boardOff the board1.1%0.8%
Jameis Winston15000Off the boardOff the board0.9%0.4%
Micah Parsons20000Off the boardOff the board0.9%0.6%
Trevor Lawrence10000Off the boardOff the board0.8%0.5%

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About the Author

Colton Pool

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Colton Pool is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM living in Bozeman, Montana, focusing on the NFL and NBA. Previously, he covered Montana State football at the Bozeman Daily Chronicle and worked at newspapers in his home state of North Dakota. He graduated from North Dakota State in 2015.

Colton Pool is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM living in Bozeman, Montana, focusing on the NFL and NBA. Previously, he covered Montana State football at the Bozeman Daily Chronicle and worked at newspapers in his home state of North Dakota. He graduated from North Dakota State in 2015.