- The Bills are -1.5 point favorites vs the Jaguars
- Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS | PAR+
The Buffalo Bills visit EverBank Stadium to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars on Jan. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Jacksonville, FL.
The Bills are betting favorites in this playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Bills vs. Jaguars Over/Under is 51.5 total points for the game.
Bet now on Jaguars vs Bills & all NFL games with BetMGM
Bills vs. Jaguars Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Bills vs. Jaguars Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Bills will win this playoff game with 51.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Bills vs Jaguars Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bills will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Jaguars vs Bills and all NFL games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bills players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bills Player Prop Bets Today
- Dalton Kincaid has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 70% ROI)
- Keon Coleman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- James Cook has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- Dawson Knox has hit the Longest Reception Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Josh Palmer has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.45 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jaguars Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Parker Washington has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 54% ROI)
- Trevor Lawrence has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Bhayshul Tuten has hit the Carries Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Trevor Lawrence has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 52% ROI)
- Parker Washington has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.15 Units / 42% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Jaguars vs Bills
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Josh Allen (BUF) | +600 |
| James Cook (BUF) | +500 |
| Ray Davis (BUF) | +8000 |
| Ty Johnson (BUF) | +5000 |
| Khalil Shakir (Buf) | +1600 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Jaguars vs Bills
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Dawson Knox (BUF) | 20.5 -115 | 20.5 -115 |
| Khalil Shakir (BUF) | 41.5 -118 | 41.5 -110 |
| James Cook (BUF) | 14.5 -110 | 14.5 -120 |
| Bhayshul Tuten (JAC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Ty Johnson (BUF) | 13.5 -110 | 13.5 -120 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Jaguars vs Bills
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lawrence (JAC) | 24.5 -110 | 24.5 -118 |
| James Cook (BUF) | 81.5 -110 | 81.5 -118 |
| Josh Allen (BUF) | 36.5 -115 | 36.5 -115 |
| Travis Etienne Jr. (JAC) | 63.5 -118 | 63.5 -110 |
| Bhayshul Tuten (JAC) | 17.5 -120 | 17.5 -110 |
Bills Best Bets:
- The Buffalo Bills have covered the 2H Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.08 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+5.97 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.40 Units / 28% ROI)
Jaguars Best Bets:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+10.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the Spread in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Bills Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bills are 8-9 (-1.95 Units / -10.4% ROI).
- Bills are 12-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -3.95% ROI
- Bills are 9-8 when betting the Over for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI
- Bills are 8-9 when betting the Under for -1.9 Units / ROI
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars are 12-5 (+6.5 Units / 34.76% ROI).
- Jaguars are 13-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.9 Units / 30.19% ROI
- Jaguars are 10-7 when betting the Over for +2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI
- Jaguars are 7-10 when betting the Under for -4 Units / -21.39% ROI
Buffalo Bills: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Bills have averaged 7.6 yards per play on first drive of the game this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.
The Bills have thrown the ball 33% of the time (160 Pass Attempts/480 plays) on 1st down this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Bills have averaged 0.28 epa per play on first drive of the game this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.03.
The Bills gained at least 5 yards on 70% of first down plays in Week 18 — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Buffalo Bills
The Jaguars have started 21 drives inside their own 20 yard line this season — fewest in NFL.
The Jaguars have run 696 plays this season — fewest in NFL.
The Jaguars have been flagged 33 times on offense this season — fewest in NFL.
The Jaguars have run successful plays on 33% of plays in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
Additional Matchup Notes for Buffalo Bills vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jaguars have started 21 drives inside their own 20 yard line this season — fewest in NFL.
The Jaguars have run 696 plays this season — fewest in NFL.
The Jaguars have been flagged 33 times on offense this season — fewest in NFL.
The Jaguars have run successful plays on 33% of plays in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Bills have averaged 7.6 yards per play on first drive of the game this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.
The Bills have thrown the ball 33% of the time (160 Pass Attempts/480 plays) on 1st down this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Bills have averaged 0.28 epa per play on first drive of the game this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.03.
The Bills gained at least 5 yards on 70% of first down plays in Week 18 — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
Buffalo Bills Offense: Important Stats
The Bills have averaged 7.6 yards per play on first drive of the game this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.
The Bills have thrown the ball 33% of the time (160 Pass Attempts/480 plays) on 1st down this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Bills have averaged 0.28 epa per play on first drive of the game this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.03.
The Bills gained at least 5 yards on 70% of first down plays in Week 18 — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats
The Jaguars have started 21 drives inside their own 20 yard line this season — fewest in NFL.
The Jaguars have run 696 plays this season — fewest in NFL.
The Jaguars have been flagged 33 times on offense this season — fewest in NFL.
The Jaguars have run successful plays on 33% of plays in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
Buffalo Bills Defense: Important Stats
The Bills have averaged 7.6 yards per play on first drive of the game this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.
The Bills have thrown the ball 33% of the time (160 Pass Attempts/480 plays) on 1st down this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Bills have averaged 0.28 epa per play on first drive of the game this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.03.
The Bills gained at least 5 yards on 70% of first down plays in Week 18 — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats
The Jaguars have started 21 drives inside their own 20 yard line this season — fewest in NFL.
The Jaguars have run 696 plays this season — fewest in NFL.
The Jaguars have been flagged 33 times on offense this season — fewest in NFL.
The Jaguars have run successful plays on 33% of plays in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Jaguars vs Bills and all NFL games with BetMGM
More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
More NFL Odds at BetMGM
Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.
From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, there’s something for everyone.
And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.
Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app — to start betting!
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
