- The Bills are -2.5 point favorites vs the Jets
- Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- Watch the Monday Night Football game on ABC/ESPN
The Buffalo Bills (0-0) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Jets (0-0) on Sep. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in East Rutherford.
The Bills are betting favorites in this Week 1 matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Bills vs. Jets Over/Under is 46.5 total points for the game.
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Bills vs. Jets Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bills | -2.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 | -140 |
| Jets | +2.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 | +115 |
Bills vs. Jets Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bills will win this Week 1 game with 58.8% confidence.
Bills vs Jets Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bills will cover the spread with 53.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bills and Jets, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Bills Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bills players this Week 1 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- James Cook has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Josh Allen has hit the Passing Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Josh Allen has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Josh Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Gabriel Davis has hit the Longest Reception Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 56% ROI)
Best Jets Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jets players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Breece Hall has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Corey Davis has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Zach Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 88% ROI)
- Garrett Wilson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.90 Units / 48% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Jets vs Bills
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Stefon Diggs | +800 |
| Garrett Wilson | +900 |
| Josh Allen | +1000 |
| Gabe Davis | +1000 |
| Dalvin Cook | +1000 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Jets vs Bills
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Stefon Diggs | +100 |
| Josh Allen | +140 |
| Garrett Wilson | +145 |
| Gabe Davis | +145 |
| Dalvin Cook | +150 |
Bills Best Bets:
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 85% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.05 Units / 24% ROI)
Jets Best Bets:
- The New York Jets have scored last in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.50 Units / 35% ROI)
Bills Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Bills went 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Bills are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 30.86% ROI
- Bills are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Bills are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / ROI
Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Jets went 2-2 (-0.15 Units / -3.41% ROI).
- Jets are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -9.6% ROI
- Jets are 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Jets are 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Buffalo Bills: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets
The Bills were undefeated (4-0) vs top 10 run offenses in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .432.
The Bills were undefeated (9-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .577.
The Bills were 3-1 (.750) vs top 10 offenses in the 2022 season — tied for 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .315.
The Bills were undefeated (3-0) vs top 10 pass defenses in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .503.
New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Buffalo Bills
The Jets were 1-7 (.125) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — third-worst in NFL. The Bills intercepted 17 passes last season — tied for fourth-most in NFL.
The Jets were 5-1 (.833) vs top 10 pass defenses in the 2022 season — tied for 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .503.
The Jets were 1-8 (.111) when intercepting no passes in the 2022 season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .370.
The Jets were 2-9 (.182) when scoring less than 22 points in the 2022 season — 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .273.
Additional Matchup Notes for Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets
The Jets scored on 27.7% of their drives in the second half last season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Bills defense allowed scores on 25.3% of opponent drives in the second half last season — third-best in NFL.
The Jets scored just 3.8 points per Red Zone drive last season — tied for worst in NFL. The Bills allowed just 3.5 points per Red Zone drive last season — best in NFL.
The Jets scored 20 TDs in the red zone last season — tied for second-fewest in NFL. The Bills allowed 22 TDs when defending in the red zone last season — tied for third-fewest in NFL.
Bills TEs gained 163 yards on 12 receptions (13.6 YPR) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-best in NFL. The Jets allowed 13.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.
The Bills went three and out on 8.3% of their drives in the first half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-best in NFL. Jets forced three and outs on 10.5% of opponent drives in the first half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for third-worst in NFL.
The Bills averaged 7.0 yards per carry on rushes to the left side of the field in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — second-best in NFL. The Jets allowed 6.8 yards per carry when defending on rushes to the left in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — third-worst in NFL.
Buffalo Bills Offense: Important Stats
The Bills committed 6 turnovers in the red zone in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Bills have an average drive start position from the 32.7 yard line in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25.7.
The Bills have a third down conversion rate of 49% since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Bills have run 24% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
New York Jets Offense: Important Stats
The Jets averaged 23.0 drives per TD in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 6.1.
The Jets averaged 21.0 drives per TD in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.1.
The Jets faced a blitz 23% of the time on 3rd and short in the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 11%.
The Jets have faced a blitz 26% of the time on 3rd and short since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
Buffalo Bills Defense: Important Stats
The Bills defense has allowed scores on 17% of opponent drives in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 30%.
The Bills defense allowed 3.6 points per Red Zone drive in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.
The Bills defense has allowed scores on 29% of opponent drives since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
The Bills defense has allowed 34 TD passes since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.
New York Jets Defense: Important Stats
Only 6% of the plays ran against the Jets were in the red zone in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Jets defense allowed just 109.2 receiving yards per game (1,857/17) to WRs in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 150.6.
The Jets defense had one interception and 6 TD passes allowed in the last 8 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.7.
The Jets defense allowed scores on 15% of opponent drives in close and late situations in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
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