Bills vs Jets Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 01, 2022, 2:59 PM
  • The Bills (6-1) are -13 point favorites vs the Jets (5-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Buffalo Bills (6-1) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Jets (5-3) on Nov. 6. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in East Rutherford.

The Bills are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -13 (-110).

The Bills vs. Jets Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.

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Bills vs. Jets Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 9

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Bills-13 -11047.5 -110-650
Jets +13 -11047.5 -110+450

Bills vs. Jets Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bills will win this Week 9 game with 78.0% confidence.

Bills vs Jets Spread Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bills will cover the spread this Week 9 with 60.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bills and Jets, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Bills Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bills players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Gabriel Davis has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Josh Allen has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Josh Allen has hit the Carries Over in his last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Devin Singletary has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+4.30 Units / 44% ROI)

Best Jets Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jets players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zach Wilson has hit the Interceptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.55 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Zach Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 88% ROI)
  • C.J. Uzomah has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.35 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Ty Johnson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 games (+4.20 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Buffalo Bills have scored first in 12 of their last 13 games (+10.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Buffalo Bills have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Buffalo Bills have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Buffalo Bills have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Buffalo Bills have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.75 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have scored last in 13 of their last 18 games (+9.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+9.15 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+8.30 Units / 101% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have covered the 4Q Spread in their last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.75 Units / 58% ROI)

Bills Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bills have gone 4-2 (+1.8 Units / 23.23% ROI).

  • Bills are 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 16.26% ROI
  • Bills are 1-6 when betting the Over for -5.6 Units / -72.73% ROI
  • Bills are 6-1 when betting the Under for +4.9 Units / ROI

Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets have gone 5-3 (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI).

  • Jets are 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 72.29% ROI
  • Jets are 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.55 Units / -28.81% ROI
  • Jets are 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.43% ROI

Buffalo Bills: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets

The Bills are undefeated (4-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .560.

The Bills are winless (0-3) when trailing at the end of the third quarter since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .149.

The Bills are 12-2 (.857) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .560.

The Bills are 2-2 (.500) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .203.

New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Buffalo Bills

The Jets are 3-8 (.273) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .735.

The Jets were winless (0-7) vs top 10 pass defenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .471.

The Jets are 2-3 (.400) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .740.

The Jets were winless (0-3) vs top 10 offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .376.

Additional Matchup Notes for Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets

Jets RBs have averaged just 1.2 yards after contact per carry this season — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Bills have allowed just 1.2 yards after contact per carry to RBs this season — tied for best in NFL.

Jets WRs have 4 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for fifth-fewest in NFL. The Bills have allowed 7 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for fourth-fewest in NFL.

The Bills are averaging just 0.8 yards per carry on 3rd and short this season — worst in NFL. The Jets have allowed just 1.8 yards per carry when defending on 3rd and short this season — third-best in NFL.

Buffalo Bills Offense: Important Stats for Week 9

The Bills have thrown for 19 TDs this season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Bills ran 28% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Bills have a third down conversion rate of 42% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Bills have run 26% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

New York Jets Offense: Important Stats for Week 9

The Jets have run successful plays on 23% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Jets are averaging 24.0 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter this season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.

The Jets have run successful plays on 27% of plays in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Jets have run 70% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

Buffalo Bills Defense: Important Stats for Week 9

The Bills defense allowed a passer rating of just 65.4 (531 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 90.8.

The Bills defense has allowed a passer rating of just 68.0 (767 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 90.4.

The Bills defense allowed 0.7 TD passes per game (12/17) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1.5.

The Bills defense allowed 12 TD passes last season — fewest in NFL.

New York Jets Defense: Important Stats for Week 9

The Jets defense allowed 15.8 points per game to opposing offenses (268 points / 17 games) in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 10.9.

The Jets defense allowed an average of 26.2 fantasy points per game as a unit to RBs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 18.0.

The Jets defense allowed first downs on 52% of rush attempts on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 69%.

25% of the plays ran against the Jets were in the red zone in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.