Broncos vs Chargers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 6, MNF

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 16, 2022, 9:05 AM
  • The Chargers (3-2) are -4.5 point favorites vs the Broncos (2-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Denver Broncos (2-3) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Chargers (3-2) on Oct. 17. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Inglewood.

The Chargers are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Broncos vs. Chargers Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Chargers vs Broncos & all NFL games with BetMGM

Broncos vs. Chargers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Broncos+4.5 -11045.5 -110+185
Chargers -4.5 -11045.5 -110-225

Broncos vs. Chargers Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this Week 6 game with 69.3% confidence.

Broncos vs Chargers Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Broncos will cover the spread this Week 6 with 53.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Broncos and Chargers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Broncos Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tim Patrick has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Javonte Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Courtland Sutton has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Latavius Murray has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Russell Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Best Chargers Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Gerald Everett has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Austin Ekeler has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Austin Ekeler has hit the Carries Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.55 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Justin Herbert has hit the Interceptions Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+4.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Sony Michel has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 games (+4.30 Units / 65% ROI)
  • First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Chargers vs Broncos

    Player Name 1st TD Odds
    Austin Ekeler +450
    Melvin Gordon +750
    Mike Williams +750
    Courtland Sutton +800
    Gerald Everett +1100

    Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Chargers vs Broncos

    Player Name Anytime TD Odds
    Austin Ekeler -225
    Mike Williams +100
    Melvin Gordon +100
    Courtland Sutton +115
    Gerald Everett +155

    Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Chargers vs Broncos

    Player Name Over Under
    Mike Williams 68.5 -120 68.5 -110
    Courtland Sutton 65.5 -120 65.5 -110
    Jerry Jeudy 50.5 -115 50.5 -120
    Eric Saubert 15.5 -110 15.5 -120
    KJ Hamler 20.5 -120 20.5 -110

    Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Chargers vs Broncos

    Player Name Over Under
    Austin Ekeler 59.5 -120 59.5 -110
    Justin Herbert 9.5 -120 9.5 -110
    Russell Wilson 13.5 -120 13.5 -110
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+4.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 2Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos have gone 1-4 (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).

    • Broncos are 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.55 Units / -30.6% ROI
    • Broncos are 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.45 Units / -62.16% ROI
    • Broncos are 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / ROI

    Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers have gone 4-1 (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).

    • Chargers are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -7.69% ROI
    • Chargers are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
    • Chargers are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

    Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers

    The Broncos are winless (0-3) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .471.

    The Broncos are winless (0-8) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .274.

    The Broncos are 1-3 (.250) since Week 2 — tied for 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

    The Broncos are 5-10 (.333) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2021 season — tied for 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .416.

    Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos

    The Chargers are 3-4 (.429) when not forcing a turnover since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .255.

    The Chargers are 3-1 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .551.

    The Chargers are undefeated (7-0) when not committing any turnovers since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .740.

    The Chargers are 6-2 (.750) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2021 season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .611.

    Additional Matchup Notes for Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers

    Chargers RBs have averaged 8.2 yards after the catch since the 2021 season — fifth-best in NFL. The Broncos have allowed 8.8 yards after catch per reception to RBs since the 2021 season — second-worst in NFL.

    Broncos RBs have averaged 2.4 yards after contact per carry this season — fourth-best in NFL. The Chargers have allowed 2.2 yards after contact per carry this season — third-worst in NFL.

    Broncos RBs have averaged 2.4 yards after contact per carry this season — fourth-best in NFL. The Chargers have allowed 2.4 yards after contact per carry to RBs this season — third-worst in NFL.

    Broncos RBs have averaged 2.3 yards after contact per carry since the 2021 season — fourth-best in NFL. The Chargers have allowed 2.3 yards after contact per carry to RBs since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL.

    Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats for Week 6

    The Broncos have not recorded a TD in 16 drives in the 3rd quarter this season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.

    The Broncos have committed 8 turnovers in the red zone since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

    The Broncos did not record a TD in 14 drives in Week 5 — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.1.

    The Broncos have scored 2.4 points per Red Zone drive this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 4.2.

    Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats for Week 6

    The Chargers had a third down conversion rate of 35% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

    The Chargers averaged 121.6 yards from scrimmage per game (2,067 yards / 17 games) in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 94.8.

    The Chargers converted first downs on 114 of 333 plays (34%) in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

    The Chargers ran successful plays on 53% of pass attempts in the 1st half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

    Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats for Week 6

    The Broncos defense has allowed an average of 2.5 yards after contact per carry (114 carries) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.5.

    The Broncos defense has allowed successful plays on 32% of plays in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Broncos’ opponents have averaged 56.7 Passing Attempts per TD (170 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season — 2nd-best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 25.3.

    The Broncos defense has allowed an average of 2.9 yards after contact per carry (96 carries) to RBs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.6.

    Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats for Week 6

    The Chargers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 57% in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

    The Chargers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 49% last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

    The Chargers defense has allowed 24 of 94 (26%) first downs on the ground this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 36%.

    The Chargers defense has allowed scores on 64% of opponent drives in the 3rd quarter this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.