- The Dolphins are -6.5 point favorites vs the Broncos
- Total (Over/Under): 48 points
- Watch the game on CBS
The Denver Broncos (0-2) visit Hard Rock Stadium to take on the Miami Dolphins (2-0) on Sep. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Miami Gardens.
The Dolphins are betting favorites in this Week 3 matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Broncos vs. Dolphins Over/Under is 48 total points for the game.
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Broncos vs. Dolphins Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Broncos | +6.5 -110 | 48 -110 | +230 |
| Dolphins | -6.5 -110 | 48 -110 | -300 |
Broncos vs. Dolphins Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Dolphins will win this Week 3 game with 71.0% confidence.
Broncos vs Dolphins Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Broncos will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Broncos and Dolphins, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Broncos Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Broncos players this Week 3 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Courtland Sutton has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the TD Passes Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 41% ROI)
Best Dolphins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Dolphins players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jaylen Waddle has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jaylen Waddle has hit the Longest Reception Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Tua Tagovailoa has hit the Passing Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Tua Tagovailoa has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Tua Tagovailoa has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
Broncos Best Bets:
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+3.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have covered the 2Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+2.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 27% ROI)
Dolphins Best Bets:
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.75 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have scored first in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 8 games at home (+2.00 Units / 14% ROI)
Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos went 0-2 (-2.25 Units / -100% ROI).
- Broncos are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -100% ROI
- Broncos are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Broncos are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI
Dolphins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Dolphins went 2-0 (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Dolphins are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 106.67% ROI
- Dolphins are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Dolphins are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Dolphins
The Broncos are winless (0-8) on the road since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .448.
The Broncos are 1-10 (.091) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .339.
The Broncos were winless (0-8) when rushing less than 25 times in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .315.
The Broncos are 3-13 (.188) on the road since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .465.
Miami Dolphins: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos
The Dolphins are undefeated (14-0) when allowing less than 22 points since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .737.
The Dolphins are winless (0-4) when playing in cold weather since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Dolphins were 1-6 (.143) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2022 season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .382.
The Dolphins were 2-1 (.667) vs bottom 10 pass defenses in the 2022 season — tied for 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .494.
Additional Matchup Notes for Denver Broncos vs. Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins have a third down conversion rate of just 27.3% against the blitz since the 2022 season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Broncos defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 29.9% when blitzing since the 2022 season — fifth-best in NFL.
The Broncos have thrown the ball 56.4% of the time in the red zone since the 2022 season — fifth-highest in NFL. The Dolphins have allowed a completion rate of 65.9% when defending in the red zone since the 2022 season — second-worst in NFL.
The Broncos have thrown the ball 56.4% of the time in the red zone since the 2022 season — fifth-highest in NFL. The Dolphins have allowed 26 receiving touchdowns when defending in the red zone since the 2022 season — third-most in NFL.
The Broncos have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 27.5% of pass attempts since Week 13 of the 2022 Season — third-worst in NFL. The Dolphins have pressured opposing QBs on 25.6% of passing plays since Week 13 of the 2022 Season — fourth-best in NFL.
Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats
The Broncos ran 35% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Broncos started 21 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Broncos started 68 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Broncos have started 22 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter since the 2022 season — most in NFL.
Miami Dolphins Offense: Important Stats
The Dolphins have converted first downs on 4 of 7 plays (57%) on plays when their QB has been pressured this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Dolphins have 11 receptions for 20+ yards this season — tied for most in NFL.
The Dolphins have thrown 59% of their pass attempts 1 to 10 yards downfield this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 71%.
The Dolphins have an average drive start position from the 20.5 yard line in the 1st half since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 25.9.
Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats
The Broncos defense has allowed 16.5 yards after the catch (132 RAC / 8 receptions) to RBs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.
The Broncos defense has allowed successful plays on 75% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Broncos defense have averaged 31.6 defensive penalty yards per game (600/19) since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 19.8.
The Broncos defense allowed 72.4 yards from scrimmage per game in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 92.0.
Miami Dolphins Defense: Important Stats
The Dolphins defense has allowed successful plays on 74% of rush attempts in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Dolphins defense has allowed successful plays on 67% of rush attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Dolphins defense has allowed successful plays on 57% of plays in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
20% of the plays ran against the Dolphins were in the red zone in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
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