Broncos vs Jaguars Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 31, 2022, 11:13 AM
  • The are point favorites vs the
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The visit Wembley Stadium to take on the on Oct. 30. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:30am EDT in London.

The are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at ().

The Broncos vs. Jaguars Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.

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vs. Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 8

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Broncos+1 -11040.5 -110-105
Jaguars -1 -11040.5 -110-115

vs. Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Jaguars will win this Week 8 game with 66.0% confidence.

vs Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jaguars will cover the spread this Week 8 with 57.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Broncos and Jaguars, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Broncos Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Courtland Sutton has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Russell Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Javonte Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Tim Patrick has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Best Jaguars Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some top NFL player prop bets for players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zay Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Trevor Lawrence has hit the TD Passes Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+5.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Travis Etienne has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Christian Kirk has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Jamal Agnew has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Jaguars vs Broncos

    Player Name 1st TD Odds
    Travis Etienne +550
    Christian Kirk +800
    Courtland Sutton +900
    Melvin Gordon +900
    Jerry Jeudy +1100

    Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Jaguars vs Broncos

    Player Name Anytime TD Odds
    Travis Etienne -120
    Christian Kirk +130
    Melvin Gordon +145
    Courtland Sutton +145
    Jerry Jeudy +175

    Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Jaguars vs Broncos

    Player Name Over Under
    Zay Jones 42.5 -115 42.5 -115
    Christian Kirk 50.5 -120 50.5 -110
    Evan Engram 29.5 -115 29.5 -115
    Marvin Jones Jr. 30.5 -115 30.5 -120
    Courtland Sutton 55.5 -115 55.5 -115

    Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Jaguars vs Broncos

    Player Name Over Under
    Trevor Lawrence 12.5 -120 12.5 -110
    Latavius Murray 37.5 -110 37.5 -120
    Russell Wilson 11.5 -120 11.5 -110
    Travis Etienne 73.5 -120 73.5 -115
    Melvin Gordon 41.5 -115 41.5 -115
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.45 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have scored first in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.65 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+7.30 Units / 80% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+7.10 Units / 72% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 3Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.20 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 games at home (+6.15 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the have gone 2-5 (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI).

    • are 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -40.81% ROI
    • are 1-6 when betting the Over for -5.65 Units / -72.9% ROI
    • are 6-1 when betting the Under for +4.9 Units / ROI

    Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the have gone 2-5 (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI).

    • are 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -42.13% ROI
    • are 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.65 Units / 8.39% ROI
    • are 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.3% ROI

    Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars

    The Broncos are winless (0-3) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .472.

    The Broncos are winless (0-4) when underdogs this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .383.

    The Broncos are winless (0-12) whe trailing at the end of the frist half since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .218.

    The Broncos are 1-3 (.250) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .460.

    Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos

    The Jaguars are 2-4 (.333) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .788.

    The Jaguars are winless (0-15) when intercepting no passes since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .340.

    The Jaguars are winless (0-13) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .433.

    The Jaguars are winless (0-11) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .353.

    Additional Matchup Notes for Denver Broncos vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

    The Jaguars have 21 touchdown passes since the 2021 season — fourth-fewest in NFL. The Broncos have allowed 25 passing TDs since the 2021 season — third-fewest in NFL.

    The Jaguars have thrown for just 6.3 yards per attempt since the 2021 season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Broncos have allowed just 6.0 yards per dropback since the 2021 season — tied for third-best in NFL.

    The Jaguars are averaging 5.7 yards per carry on first down this season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Broncos have allowed 5.5 yards per carry on first down this season — fifth-worst in NFL.

    The Broncos have gained at least 5 yards on just 36.9% of first down plays this season — third-worst in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed at least 5 yards on just 37.4% of first down plays this season — third-best in NFL.

    Offense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Broncos have not recorded a TD in 22 drives in the 3rd quarter this season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.

    The Broncos are averaging 14.3 drives per TD in the 2nd half this season — 2nd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.8.

    The Broncos have started 9 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter this season — most in NFL.

    The Broncos have run successful plays on 29% of plays in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

    Offense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Jaguars have an average drive start position from the 23.6 yard line since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 26.3.

    The Jaguars have run 41% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in close and late situations since the 2020 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

    The Jaguars have run successful plays on 54% of plays in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Jaguars have scored on 29% of their drives since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 37%.

    Defense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Broncos defense has allowed just 8.6 yards per completion (1,381 yards/160 completions) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 11.0.

    The Broncos’ opponents have averaged 84.3 Passing Attempts per TD (253 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season — best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 25.4.

    The Broncos defense has allowed just 4.8 yards per dropback (1,212 yards/253 attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6.6.

    The Broncos defense has allowed just one passing TD (25 pass attempts) in the red zone this season — best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.5.

    Defense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Jaguars defense has allowed successful plays on 21% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

    The Jaguars defense allowed successful plays on 53% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Jaguars’ opponents have attempted two-point conversions on 31% of PATs this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 11%.

    The Jaguars defense intercepted 6 of 542 attempts (90.3 pass attempts per int.) last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42.6.

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.