Broncos vs Jets Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 6

Fans arrive at MetLife Stadium before an NFL football game between the New York Jets and the Buffalo Bills Sunday, Sept. 8, 2019, in East Rutherford, N.J.
(AP Photo/Seth Wenig)
  • The Broncos are -7.5 point favorites vs the Jets
  • Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
  • Watch this game on NFLN | NFL+

The Denver Broncos (3-2-0) visit Tottenham Hotspur Stadium to take on the New York Jets (0-5-0) on Oct. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:30am EDT in London, England.

The Broncos are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Broncos vs. Jets Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.

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Broncos vs. Jets Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Broncos-7.5 -10543.5 -105-375
Jets +7.5 -11543.5 -115300

Broncos vs. Jets Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Broncos will win this game with 76.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Broncos vs Jets Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jets will cover the spread with 57.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Broncos players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Broncos Player Prop Bets Today

  • Courtland Sutton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 42% ROI)
  • J.K. Dobbins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.55 Units / 38% ROI)
  • J.K. Dobbins has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.05 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Bo Nix has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.65 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Evan Engram has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jets players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Jets Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.85 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Breece Hall has hit the Carries Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Justin Fields has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Breece Hall has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+3.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Justin Fields has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 48% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Jets vs Broncos

Player Name Over Under
Courtland Sutton (DEN) 62.5 -118 62.5 -115
RJ Harvey (DEN) 12.5 -120 12.5 -110
Mason Taylor (NYJ) 36.5 -115 36.5 -115
Garrett Wilson (NYJ) 58.5 -118 58.5 -110
Josh Reynolds (NYJ) 17.5 -110 17.5 -120

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Jets vs Broncos

Player Name Over Under
J.K. Dobbins (DEN) 67.5 -115 67.5 -115
Breece Hall (NYJ) 66.5 -115 66.5 -115
Justin Fields (NYJ) 36.5 -110 36.5 -120
Bo Nix (DEN) 19.5 -135 19.5 +100
RJ Harvey (DEN) 28.5 -110 28.5 -118
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+7.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.69 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.54 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+4.42 Units / 28% ROI)

Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos are 2-3 (-1.2 Units / -22.22% ROI).

  • Broncos are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 13.17% ROI
  • Broncos are 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI
  • Broncos are 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / ROI

Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets are 2-3 (-1.2 Units / -22.22% ROI).

  • Jets are 0-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -100% ROI
  • Jets are 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
  • Jets are 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI

Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets

The Jets allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 46% of pass attempts in Week 5 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Jets have run successful plays on 58% of plays against a light front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Jets have gone for two on 42% of PATs this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

The Jets have turned the ball over on downs 6 times this season — T-2nd-most in NFL.

New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos

The Broncos ran successful plays on 25% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter in Week 5 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 55%.

The Broncos have thrown the ball 63% of the time (12 Pass Attempts/19 plays) on 3rd and short this season — 3rd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Broncos have averaged 0.23 epa per play on motion plays this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.05.

The Broncos have run the ball on 18% of plays (12 carries/67 plays) on 3rd down this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 26%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Denver Broncos vs. New York Jets

The Broncos ran successful plays on 25% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter in Week 5 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 55%.

The Broncos have thrown the ball 63% of the time (12 Pass Attempts/19 plays) on 3rd and short this season — 3rd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Broncos have averaged 0.23 epa per play on motion plays this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.05.

The Broncos have run the ball on 18% of plays (12 carries/67 plays) on 3rd down this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 26%.

The Jets allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 46% of pass attempts in Week 5 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Jets have run successful plays on 58% of plays against a light front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Jets have gone for two on 42% of PATs this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

The Jets have turned the ball over on downs 6 times this season — T-2nd-most in NFL.

Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats

The Jets allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 46% of pass attempts in Week 5 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Jets have run successful plays on 58% of plays against a light front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Jets have gone for two on 42% of PATs this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

The Jets have turned the ball over on downs 6 times this season — T-2nd-most in NFL.

New York Jets Offense: Important Stats

The Broncos ran successful plays on 25% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter in Week 5 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 55%.

The Broncos have thrown the ball 63% of the time (12 Pass Attempts/19 plays) on 3rd and short this season — 3rd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Broncos have averaged 0.23 epa per play on motion plays this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.05.

The Broncos have run the ball on 18% of plays (12 carries/67 plays) on 3rd down this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 26%.

Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats

The Jets allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 46% of pass attempts in Week 5 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Jets have run successful plays on 58% of plays against a light front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Jets have gone for two on 42% of PATs this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

The Jets have turned the ball over on downs 6 times this season — T-2nd-most in NFL.

New York Jets Defense: Important Stats

The Broncos ran successful plays on 25% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter in Week 5 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 55%.

The Broncos have thrown the ball 63% of the time (12 Pass Attempts/19 plays) on 3rd and short this season — 3rd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Broncos have averaged 0.23 epa per play on motion plays this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.05.

The Broncos have run the ball on 18% of plays (12 carries/67 plays) on 3rd down this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 26%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.