Broncos vs Panthers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 27, 2022, 10:28 AM
  • The Broncos (3-7) are -2.5 point favorites vs the Panthers (3-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 36 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Denver Broncos (3-7) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on the Carolina Panthers (3-8) on Nov. 27. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Charlotte.

The Broncos are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).

The Broncos vs. Panthers Over/Under is 36 total points for the game.

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Broncos vs. Panthers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Broncos-2 -11036 -110-130
Panthers +2 -11036 -110+110

Broncos vs. Panthers Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Broncos will win this Week 12 game with 60.5% confidence.

Broncos vs Panthers Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Broncos will cover the spread this Week 12 with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Broncos and Panthers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Broncos Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Chase Edmonds has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+5.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.75 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Chase Edmonds has hit the Carries Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Tim Patrick has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 45% ROI)

Best Panthers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Panthers players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Terrace Marshall Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Baker Mayfield has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Laviska Shenault Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Baker Mayfield has hit the Interceptions Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+10.10 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.35 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+12.10 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have scored first in 9 of their last 14 games (+7.10 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.85 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+5.30 Units / 102% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+4.80 Units / 38% ROI)

Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos have gone 3-7 (-4.8 Units / -43.24% ROI).

  • Broncos are 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.95 Units / -40.76% ROI
  • Broncos are 1-9 when betting the Over for -8.95 Units / -81% ROI
  • Broncos are 9-1 when betting the Under for +7.9 Units / ROI

Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers have gone 5-6 (-1.6 Units / -13.28% ROI).

  • Panthers are 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -8.23% ROI
  • Panthers are 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.75 Units / -30.86% ROI
  • Panthers are 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.58% ROI

Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers

The Broncos are winless (0-3) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .458.

The Broncos are 1-4 (.200) at home this season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .540.

The Broncos are 2-7 (.222) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.

The Broncos are winless (0-2) on the road this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .453.

Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos

The Panthers are 1-10 (.091) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.

The Panthers are winless (0-3) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .436.

The Panthers are winless (0-3) on the road this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .453.

The Panthers are 1-6 (.143) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs this season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .400.

Additional Matchup Notes for Denver Broncos vs. Carolina Panthers

The Panthers have run successful plays on just 34.4% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL. Broncos have allowed successful plays on just 39.5% of pass attempts this season — second-best in NFL.

The Panthers have a third down conversion rate of just 28.0% this season — worst in NFL. The Broncos defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 34.3% this season — tied for fifth-best in NFL.

The Panthers have run just 9.2% offensive plays in the red zone this season — worst in NFL. Broncos has allowed their opponent to run just 10.0% of plays in the red zone this season — fourth-best in NFL.

Broncos have rushed the ball on 80.0% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone since Week 7 — second-highest in NFL. The Panthers have allowed 6 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone since Week 7 — tied for third-most in NFL.

The Broncos have rushed the ball on 80.0% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone since Week 7 — second-highest in NFL. The Panthers have allowed 6 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone since Week 7 — tied for third-most in NFL.

The Broncos have thrown for just 6.4 yards per attempt on passes up the middle this season — third-worst in NFL. The Panthers have allowed just 6.6 yards per dropback when defending passes up the middle this season — tied for second-best in NFL.

Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats for Week 12

The Broncos are averaging 30.0 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.

The Broncos have scored 2.9 points per Red Zone drive this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.

The Broncos have started 10 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 1st half this season — most in NFL.

The Broncos are averaging 9.0 drives per TD this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.7.

Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats for Week 12

The Panthers have run successful plays on 20% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Panthers have not recorded a TD in 26 drives in the 1st quarter this season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 6.3.

The Panthers have run successful plays on 38% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Panthers have run successful plays on 29% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats for Week 12

The Broncos defense has allowed 2 TD passes in the red zone this season — fewest in NFL.

The Broncos defense have averaged 37.6 defensive penalty yards per game (376/10) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20.6.

The Broncos’ opponents have averaged 17.0 Passing Attempts per TD (34 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the red zone this season — best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.

The Broncos defense has allowed just 9.4 yards per completion (2,076 yards/220 completions) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 11.0.

Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats for Week 12

The Panthers defense allowed successful plays on 32% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Panthers defense sacked opposing QBs just once on 66 pass attempts in the red zone last season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 17.3.

The Panthers defense has allowed scores on 12% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

The Panthers defense has allowed 20+ yard rushes 13 times this season — most in NFL.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.