Broncos vs Rams Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 16

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Los Angeles Rams head coach Sean McVay watches his players during an NFL football game against the Carolina Panthers Sunday, Oct. 16, 2022, in Inglewood, Calif. (AP Photo/Kyusung Gong)
(AP Photo/Kyusung Gong)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 23, 2022, 10:30 AM
  • The Broncos (4-10) are -2 point favorites vs the Rams (4-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 36.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Denver Broncos (4-10) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Rams (4-10) on Dec. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm EST in Inglewood.

The Broncos are betting favorites in Week 16, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The Broncos vs. Rams Over/Under is 36.5 total points for the game.

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Broncos vs. Rams Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 16

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Broncos-3 -11036.5 -110-155
Rams +3 -11036.5 -110+125

Broncos vs. Rams Prediction for Week 16

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Broncos will win this Week 16 game with 51.7% confidence.

Broncos vs Rams Spread Prediction for Week 16

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Rams will cover the spread this Week 16 with 53.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Broncos and Rams, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Broncos Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Chase Edmonds has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Russell Wilson has hit the TD Passes Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Javonte Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Chase Edmonds has hit the Carries Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)

Best Rams Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Rams players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Van Jefferson has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Passing Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Matthew Stafford has hit the TD Passes Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+4.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Interceptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Baker Mayfield has hit the Interceptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.45 Units / 34% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Rams vs Broncos

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Cam Akers +600
Latavius Murray +650
Jerry Jeudy +700
Marlon Mack +750
Courtland Sutton +800

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Rams vs Broncos

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Cam Akers -125
Latavius Murray +140
Jerry Jeudy +155
Marlon Mack +170
Tyler Higbee +175

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Rams vs Broncos

Player Name Over Under
Latavius Murray 11.5 -120 11.5 -110

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Rams vs Broncos

Player Name Over Under
Russell Wilson 14.5 -110 14.5 -120
Latavius Murray 60.5 -115 60.5 -120
Cam Akers 53.5 -120 53.5 -110
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 4Q Spread in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.75 Units / 44% ROI)

Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos have gone 6-8 (-2.95 Units / -18.97% ROI).

  • Broncos are 4-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.15 Units / -42.56% ROI
  • Broncos are 3-11 when betting the Over for -9.15 Units / -59.22% ROI
  • Broncos are 11-3 when betting the Under for +7.7 Units / ROI

Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams have gone 4-9 (-5.95 Units / -38.76% ROI).

  • Rams are 4-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -28.51% ROI
  • Rams are 5-9 when betting the Over for -4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI
  • Rams are 9-5 when betting the Under for +3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI

Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams

The Broncos are 3-13 (.188) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .493.

The Broncos are winless (0-6) on the road this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .440.

The Broncos are winless (0-6) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .318.

The Broncos are 1-8 (.111) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .471.

Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos

The Rams are 2-7 (.222) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — tied for 10th-worst in NFL. The Broncos have intercepted 14 passes this season — tied for second-most in NFL.

The Rams are winless (0-4) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .412.

The Rams are winless (0-2) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .461.

The Rams are winless (0-6) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .439.

Additional Matchup Notes for Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Rams

The Rams have run just 39.9% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field this season — fourth-worst in NFL. Broncos have allowed their opponents to run just 40.6% of plays in their territory this season — fourth-best in NFL.

The Rams have run successful plays on just 36.7% of rush attempts this season — worst in NFL. Broncos have allowed successful plays on just 40.2% of rush attempts this season — fifth-best in NFL.

The Rams were successful on just 32.6% of plays they have run last week — third-worst in NFL. Broncos allowed their opponents to be successful on just 32.2% of plays in Week 14 — second-best in NFL.

Broncos RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on just 8.1% of 307 carries this season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Rams have allowed 10+ yards on just 6.5% of carries to RBs this season — second-best in NFL.

The Broncos are averaging just 1.4 yards per carry on 3rd and short this season — tied for second-worst in NFL. The Rams have allowed just 2.4 yards per carry when defending on 3rd and short this season — tied for second-best in NFL.

The Broncos are averaging just 3.8 yards per carry on rushes to the right side of the field this season — tied for fifth-worst in NFL. The Rams have allowed just 3.8 yards per carry when defending on rushes to the right this season — tied for best in NFL.

Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Broncos have started 60 drives inside their own 20 yard line this season — most in NFL.

The Broncos have run 35% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Broncos have started 8 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 1st quarter this season — most in NFL.

The Broncos have a third down conversion rate of 29% this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Rams ran successful plays on 0% of plays in the 4th quarter in Week 15 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Rams ran successful plays on 0% of plays in close and late situations in Week 15 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Rams allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 38% of pass attempts in Week 15 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

The Rams ran 43 plays in Week 15 — tied for fewest in NFL.

Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Broncos defense has blitzed on 45% of plays on 3rd and long this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 23%.

The Broncos defense allowed a passer rating of just 33.7 (36 Pass Attempts) in Week 15 — best in NFL; League Avg: 90.5.

The Broncos’ opponents have averaged 40.9 Passing Attempts per TD (491 Pass Attempts/12 Passing TDs) this season — best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 24.0.

The Broncos defense has allowed just 1.6 TDs per game (51/31) since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 2.4.

Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats for Week 16

26% of the plays run against the Rams have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

42% of the plays run against the Rams have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter since Week 12 of the 2021 Season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

The Rams’ opponents averaged 36.7 Passing Attempts per TD (624 Pass Attempts/17 Passing TDs) last season — 2nd-best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 22.3.

The Rams defense allowed a passer rating of just 71.5 in the red zone (79 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 96.0.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.