Broncos vs Ravens Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 01, 2022, 11:45 AM
  • The Ravens (7-4) are -8 point favorites vs the Broncos (3-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Denver Broncos (3-8) visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens (7-4) on Dec. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Baltimore.

The Ravens are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Broncos vs. Ravens Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.

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Broncos vs. Ravens Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Broncos+8.5 -11039.5 -110+310
Ravens -8.5 -11039.5 -110-400

Broncos vs. Ravens Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this Week 13 game with 81.5% confidence.

Broncos vs Ravens Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Ravens will cover the spread this Week 13 with 55.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Broncos and Ravens, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Broncos Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Chase Edmonds has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.75 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Chase Edmonds has hit the Carries Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Javonte Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.05 Units / 24% ROI)

Best Ravens Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Carries Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.05 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Mark Andrews has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+4.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Kenyan Drake has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Kenyan Drake has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+10.10 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.35 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have scored first in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 91% ROI)

Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos have gone 3-8 (-5.95 Units / -48.57% ROI).

  • Broncos are 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -44.66% ROI
  • Broncos are 1-10 when betting the Over for -10.05 Units / -82.72% ROI
  • Broncos are 10-1 when betting the Under for +8.9 Units / ROI

Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens have gone 4-6 (-2.7 Units / -22.22% ROI).

  • Ravens are 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 1.64% ROI
  • Ravens are 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
  • Ravens are 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI

Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

The Broncos are winless (0-4) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .456.

The Broncos are 2-8 (.200) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.

The Broncos are 1-4 (.200) at home this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .556.

The Broncos are winless (0-5) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .304.

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos

The Ravens are 2-1 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .304.

The Ravens are 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .580.

The Ravens are 5-2 (.714) when not losing a fumble this season — tied for 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .562.

The Ravens are 5-2 (.714) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties this season — 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .516.

Additional Matchup Notes for Denver Broncos vs. Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens ran 29.9% offensive plays in the red zone last week — second-best in NFL. Broncos allowed their opponent to run 20.3% of plays in the red zone in Week 12 — fifth-worst in NFL.

The Ravens ran 61.2% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field last week — second-best in NFL. Broncos allowed their opponents to run56.2% of plays in their territory in Week 12 — fifth-worst in NFL.

Ravens WRs have just 99.1 receiving yards per game this season — second-worst in NFL. The Broncos have averaged just 123.4 receiving yards per game allowed to WRs this season — third-best in NFL.

The Broncos have a third down conversion rate of just 28.2% this season — third-worst in NFL. The Ravens defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 33.1% this season — third-best in NFL.

The Broncos have a third down conversion rate of just 25.0% since Week 9 — second-worst in NFL. The Ravens defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 27.8% since Week 9 — fifth-best in NFL.

Broncos QBs have been 36 sacked this season — fourth-most in NFL. The Ravens have sacked the quarterback 35 times this season — tied for fifth-most in NFL.

Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Broncos have started 16 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter this season — most in NFL.

The Broncos have scored 3.6 points per Red Zone drive since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.

The Broncos have run successful plays on 30% of plays in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Broncos are averaging 33.0 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.

Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Ravens have targeted TEs 40% of the time (129 Pass Attempts/322 plays) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Ravens have targeted WRs 40% of the time (130 Pass Attempts/322 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Ravens have thrown the ball 17% of the time (27 Pass Attempts/159 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2020 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Ravens have thrown the ball 19% of the time (19 Pass Attempts/100 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Broncos defense has allowed just 0.7 TDs per game (8/11) in the red zone this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.

The Broncos defense has allowed 3 TD passes in the red zone this season — fewest in NFL.

The Broncos defense have averaged 35.5 defensive penalty yards per game (391/11) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20.1.

The Broncos defense allowed successful plays on 58% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats for Week 13

32% of the plays run against the Ravens have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

25% of the plays run against the Ravens have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Ravens defense has allowed 137 of 510 (27%) first downs on the ground since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 37%.

The Ravens defense allowed 10.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (401 yards / 39 touches) on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6.3.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.