Broncos vs Seahawks Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 1, MNF

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Denver Broncos quarterback Russell Wilson (3) talks with his team prior to an NFL preseason football game against the Minnesota Vikings, Saturday, Aug. 27, 2022, in Denver. (AP Photo/Jack Dempsey)
(AP Photo/Jack Dempsey)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 11, 2022, 8:15 AM
  • The Broncos (0-0) are -6.5 favorites vs the Seahawks (0-0)
  • Watch the game on ESPN
  • Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points

The Denver Broncos (0-0) visit Lumen Field to take on the Seattle Seahawks (0-0) on Monday Night Football, on Sep. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm ET in Seattle.

The Broncos are betting favorites in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Broncos vs. Seahawks Over/Under is 44.5 total points for the game.

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Broncos vs. Seahawks Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 1

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Denver Broncos-6.5 -11044.5 -110-275
Seattle Seahawks +6.5 -11044.5 -110+225

Broncos vs. Seahawks Prediction for Week 1

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Broncos will win this Week 1 NFL matchup with 60.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Broncos and Seahawks, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Broncos Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Courtland Sutton has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Tim Patrick has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Albert Okwuegbunam has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Melvin Gordon has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.10 Units / 34% ROI)

Best Seahawks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tyler Lockett has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • DK Metcalf has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+3.00 Units / 14% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Seahawks vs Broncos

Player Name Over Under
Tyler Lockett 48.5 -115 48.5 -115
Courtland Sutton 56.5 -135 56.5 +100
Jerry Jeudy 58.5 -115 58.5 -115
DK Metcalf 55.5 -115 55.5 -115
Fant 24.5 -115 24.5 -110

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Seahawks vs Broncos

Player Name Over Under
Javonte Williams 58.5 -115 58.5 -115
Russell Wilson 11.5 -120 11.5 -110
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+5.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.90 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.90 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 61% ROI)

Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks

The Broncos were winless (0-5) when rushing less than 20 times last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .121.

The Broncos were 3-7 (.300) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game last season — tied for 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .420.

The Broncos were 4-8 (.333) when not forcing a fumble last season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .414.

The Broncos were 2-5 (.286) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .438.

Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos

The Seahawks were 1-5 (.167) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .454.

The Seahawks were 2-7 (.222) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.

The Seahawks were winless (0-7) when rushing less than 25 times last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .270.

The Seahawks were 1-3 (.250) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season — tied for 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .410.

Additional Matchup Notes for Denver Broncos vs. Seattle Seahawks

The Seahawks averaged 5.8 yards per carry on rushes up the middle last season — best in NFL. The Broncos allowed 4.7 yards per carry when defending rushes up the middle last season — tied for worst in NFL.

The Seahawks are averaging 5.2 yards per carry on rushes up the middle since the 2020 season — best in NFL. The Broncos have allowed 4.6 yards per carry when defending rushes up the middle since the 2020 season — fourth-worst in NFL.

Broncos TEs had 109 receptions in 17 games (6.4 per game) last season — tied for fourth-best in NFL. The Seahawks allowed 5.7 receptions per game to TEs last season — fourth-worst in NFL.

The Broncos scored just 4.0 points per Red Zone drive last season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL. The Seahawks allowed just 4.0 points per Red Zone drive last season — tied for third-best in NFL.

Broncos rushed the ball on 68.4% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — highest in NFL. The Seahawks allowed just 1.1 yards per carry when defending in the red zone in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL.

Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats for Week 1

The Broncos converted first downs on just 1 of 8 plays (12%) on second and 1-3 yards to go in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 64%.

The Broncos started 9 drives inside their own 10 yard line last season — tied for 3rd-fewest in NFL.

The Broncos have run 242 plays on 3rd and long since the 2020 season — most in NFL.

The Broncos have run successful plays on 41% of pass attempts in the 1st half since the 2020 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

Seattle Seahawks Offense: Important Stats for Week 1

The Seahawks ran 946 plays last season — fewest in NFL.

The Seahawks had an average drive start position from the 32.7 yard line in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25.6.

The Seahawks had 17 TDs that were 20+ yards last season — tied for 2nd-most in NFL.

The Seahawks have an average drive start position from the 31.9 yard line in the 3rd quarter since the 2020 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 26.1.

Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats for Week 1

The Broncos defense allowed a passer rating of just 58.0 in close and late situations (92 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 91.6.

75% of the plays ran against the Broncos were in the red zone in the 4th quarter in Week 18 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

The Broncos defense allowed just 6.9 points per game to opposing offenses (117 points / 17 games) in the 2nd half last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 10.9.

Only 9% of the plays ran against the Broncos were in the red zone in the 1st half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

Seattle Seahawks Defense: Important Stats for Week 1

23% of the plays ran against the Seahawks were in the red zone in the 4th quarter last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Seahawks defense allowed 61.4 receiving yards per game (1,044/17) to RBs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 36.4.

The Seahawks defense allowed 7.1 receptions per game (121/17) to RBs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 4.8.

The Seahawks defense allowed rushes of 10+ yards on just 40 of 494 carries (8%) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.