Browns vs Bengals Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 14

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 11, 2022, 10:00 AM
  • The Bengals (8-4) are -6 point favorites vs the Browns (5-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 47 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Cleveland Browns visit Paycor Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bengals on Dec. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Cincinnati.

The Bengals are betting favorites in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).

The Browns vs. Bengals Over/Under is 47 total points for the game.

Bet now on Bengals vs Browns & all NFL games with BetMGM

Browns vs. Bengals Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 14

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Browns+4 -11047 -110+170
Bengals -4 -11047 -110-210

Browns vs. Bengals Prediction for Week 14

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this Week 14 game with 65.8% confidence.

Browns vs Bengals Spread Prediction for Week 14

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Browns will cover the spread this Week 14 with 59.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Browns and Bengals, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Bengals vs Browns and all NFL games with BetMGM


Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jacoby Brissett has hit the Completions Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Jacoby Brissett has hit the Passing Yards Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Donovan Peoples-Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • David Njoku has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jacoby Brissett has hit the TD Passes Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+4.70 Units / 25% ROI)

Best Bengals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Joe Burrow has hit the Interceptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.45 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Joe Mixon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Joe Mixon has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.30 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Hayden Hurst has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+3.80 Units / 25% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bengals vs Browns

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Joe Mixon +600
Ja'Marr Chase +600
Samarje Perine +700
Nick Chubb +750
Tee Higgins +800

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bengals vs Browns

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Joe Mixon -155
Nick Chubb -140
Ja'Marr Chase -110
Samarje Perine +110
Tee Higgins +125

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Bengals vs Browns

Player Name Over Under
Ja’Marr Chase 81.5 -120 81.5 -115
Tyler Boyd 40.5 -110 40.5 -120
Kareem Hunt 11.5 -120 11.5 -110
Nick Chubb 7.5 -120 7.5 -110
Tee Higgins 68.5 -115 68.5 -120

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Bengals vs Browns

Player Name Over Under
Kareem Hunt 27.5 -110 27.5 -120
Deshaun Watson 23.5 -120 23.5 -110
Nick Chubb 71.5 -115 71.5 -115
Joe Mixon 58.5 -115 58.5 -115
Samaje Perine 20.5 -115 20.5 -115
  • The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.10 Units / 89% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have scored first in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+6.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 20 games (+13.55 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games (+12.60 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the 2H Spread in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+10.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 31% ROI)

Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns have gone 6-6 (-0.65 Units / -4.98% ROI).

  • Browns are 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -17.42% ROI
  • Browns are 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 19.7% ROI
  • Browns are 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / ROI

Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals have gone 9-3 (+5.55 Units / 41.73% ROI).

  • Bengals are 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -4.41% ROI
  • Bengals are 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.75 Units / -28.3% ROI
  • Bengals are 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 19.77% ROI

Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals

The Browns are winless (0-6) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .411.

The Browns are winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .389.

The Browns are 1-9 (.100) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .333.

The Browns are undefeated (4-0) when allowing less than 22 points this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .719.

Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns

The Bengals are 8-3 (.727) when not forcing a turnover since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .277.

The Bengals are 7-1 (.875) when not throwing an interception this season — fifth-best in NFL. The Browns have intercepted 5 passes this season — tied for fourth-fewest in NFL.

The Bengals are undefeated (11-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .585.

The Bengals are winless (0-3) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .395.

Additional Matchup Notes for Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals have run 50.1% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field this season — third-best in NFL. Browns have allowed their opponents to run 47.6% of plays in their territory this season — third-worst in NFL.

The Bengals have scored on 41.7% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — third-best in NFL. The Browns defense has allowed scores on 47.8% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — second-worst in NFL.

The Bengals allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 3.2% of pass attempts last week — second-best in NFL. The Browns have pressured opposing QBs on just 5.1% of passing plays in Week 13 — fourth-worst in NFL.

The Browns rushed the ball on 57.4% of plays from scrimmage last week — highest in NFL. The Bengals allowed 5.5 yards per carry in Week 13 — fourth-worst in NFL.

Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Browns did not record a TD in 13 drives in Week 13 — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.

The Browns started 5 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st half in Week 13 — tied for most in NFL.

The Browns have gone three and out 7 times in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — tied for fewest in NFL.

The Browns started 7 drives inside their own 20 yard line in Week 13 — 2nd-most in NFL.

Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Bengals had 21 TDs that were 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.

The Bengals have run 66% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 49%.

The Bengals have started 22 drives inside their own 20 yard line this season — fewest in NFL.

The Bengals have run 59% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Browns defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 9% in Week 13 — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 37%.

The Browns defense did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in Week 13 — tied for worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 16.8.

The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 41% of pass attempts last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Browns defense has allowed one rushing TD on 21 carries in the red zone since Week 10 — 2nd-best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.

Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 31% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

Offenses facing the Bengals targeted WRs 33% of the time (16 Pass Attempts/48 plays) in the red zone this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Bengals defense has allowed first downs on 94% of rush attempts on 3rd and short this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 68%.

The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 40% of pass attempts this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Bengals vs Browns and all NFL games with BetMGM

Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.