- The Commanders (7-7) are -2 point favorites vs the Browns (6-9)
- Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Cleveland Browns (6-9) visit FedExField to take on the Washington Commanders (7-7) on Jan. 1. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Landover.
The Commanders are betting favorites in Week 17, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).
The Browns vs. Commanders Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.
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Browns vs. Commanders Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 17
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Browns | +2 -110 | 40.5 -110 | +115 |
| Commanders | -2 -110 | 40.5 -110 | -135 |
Browns vs. Commanders Prediction for Week 17
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Commanders will win this Week 17 game with 62.3% confidence.
Browns vs Commanders Spread Prediction for Week 17
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Commanders will cover the spread this Week 17 with 55.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Browns and Commanders, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players for Week 17, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jacoby Brissett has hit the Completions Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 70% ROI)
- Jacoby Brissett has hit the Passing Yards Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 70% ROI)
- Donovan Peoples-Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.75 Units / 77% ROI)
- Donovan Peoples-Jones has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Best Commanders Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for Week 17, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brian Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- Curtis Samuel has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- Terry McLaurin has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+4.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Logan Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Terry McLaurin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.20 Units / 22% ROI)
Browns Best Bets for Week 17:
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+9.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have scored first in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Commanders Best Bets for Week 17:
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+6.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 3Q Spread in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 5 games (+5.70 Units / 113% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns have gone 7-8 (-1.95 Units / -11.89% ROI).
- Browns are 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -21.77% ROI
- Browns are 7-7 when betting the Over for -0.7 Units / -4.24% ROI
- Browns are 7-7 when betting the Under for -0.7 Units / ROI
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders have gone 7-7 (-0.7 Units / -4.23% ROI).
- Commanders are 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 14.51% ROI
- Commanders are 5-9 when betting the Over for -4.9 Units / -29.7% ROI
- Commanders are 9-5 when betting the Under for +3.5 Units / 21.21% ROI
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Browns are winless (0-3) when allowing 250 or more passing yards this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .479.
The Browns are winless (0-9) when rushing for less than 100 yards since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .334.
The Browns are winless (0-3) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .319.
The Browns are 1-7 (.125) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays this season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .409.
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Commanders are winless (0-3) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .319.
The Commanders are 5-3 (.625) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .403.
The Commanders are undefeated (5-0) when leading at the end of the first half this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .704.
The Commanders are winless (0-1) when rushing at least 4 yards less than 5 times in a game this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .347.
Additional Matchup Notes for Cleveland Browns vs. Washington Commanders
Commanders TEs have 52 receptions in 15 games (just 3.5 per game) this season — tied for fifth-worst in NFL. The Browns have allowed just 3.6 receptions per game to TEs this season — tied for third-best in NFL.
The Commanders have scored just 3.4 points per Red Zone drive since Week 13 — tied for fourth-worst in NFL. The Browns have allowed just 3.2 points per Red Zone drive since Week 13 — third-best in NFL.
The Browns have run successful plays on just 35.5% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field this season — second-worst in NFL. Commanders have allowed successful plays on just 42.6% of pass attempts on their own side of the field this season — second-best in NFL.
The Browns have scored on 0% of their drives in the first quarter since Week 13 — tied for worst in NFL. The Commanders defense has allowed scores on 0% of opponent drives in the first quarter since Week 13 — tied for best in NFL.
Browns RBs have just 26.2 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Commanders have averaged just 24.9 receiving yards per game allowed to RBs this season — fifth-best in NFL.
Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats for Week 17
The Browns have started 4 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 2nd half since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.
The Browns have not recorded a TD in 13 drives in the 4th quarter since Week 13 of the 2021 Season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.2.
The Browns have not scored on any drive in the 1st quarter since Week 13 of the 2021 Season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.
The Browns have gone three and out 6 times in the 1st quarter since Week 13 of the 2021 Season — most in NFL.
Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats for Week 17
The Commanders have started 59 drives inside their own 20 yard line this season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Commanders started 8 drives inside their own 20 yard line in Week 16 — most in NFL.
The Commanders started 5 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 2nd half in Week 16 — most in NFL.
The Commanders threw the ball 30% of the time (21 Pass Attempts/70 plays) on 3rd and short last season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats for Week 17
Offenses facing the Browns threw the ball 27% of the time (15 Pass Attempts/56 plays) in Week 16 — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
Opponents ran the ball against The Browns defense on 71% of plays (40 carries/56 plays) in Week 16 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 41% of pass attempts last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Browns defense has allowed a passer rating of just 61.6 (117 Pass Attempts) since Week 13 of the 2021 Season — best in NFL; League Avg: 87.5.
Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats for Week 17
The Commanders defense has allowed successful plays on 35% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Commanders defense has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 15 of 458 attempts (3%) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1%.
The Commanders defense has allowed successful plays on 22% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter since Week 13 of the 2021 Season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Commanders defense has allowed 15 touchdown receptions to RBs since the 2021 season — most in NFL.
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