Browns vs Dolphins Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 12, 2022, 10:05 AM
  • The Dolphins are point favorites vs the Browns
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Cleveland Browns (3-5) visit Hard Rock Stadium to take on the Miami Dolphins (6-3) on Nov. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Miami Gardens.

The Dolphins are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Browns vs. Dolphins Over/Under is 49.5 total points for the game.

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Browns vs. Dolphins Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 10

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Browns+3.5 -11049.5 -110+155
Dolphins -3.5 -11049.5 -110-190

Browns vs. Dolphins Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Dolphins will win this Week 10 game with 58.8% confidence.

Browns vs Dolphins Spread Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Browns will cover the spread this Week 10 with 58.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Browns and Dolphins, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Dolphins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Dolphins players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Dolphins vs Browns

Player Name Over Under
Donovan Peoples-Jones 41.5 -120 41.5 -115
Mike Gesicki 25.5 -115 25.5 -115
Nick Chubb 8.5 -110 8.5 -120
Jaylen Waddle 69.5 -115 69.5 -115
Amari Cooper 60.5 -115 60.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Dolphins vs Browns

Player Name Over Under
Nick Chubb 84.5 -110 84.5 -120
Jacoby Brissett 13.5 -115 13.5 -115
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns have gone 4-4 (-0.5 Units / -5.71% ROI).

  • Browns are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Browns are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Browns are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Dolphins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Dolphins have gone 4-5 (-1.55 Units / -15.42% ROI).

  • Dolphins are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Dolphins are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Dolphins are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Dolphins

The Browns are winless (0-3) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .382.

The Browns are winless (0-2) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .413.

The Browns are 1-6 (.143) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .447.

The Browns are winless (0-2) when allowing 3 or more sacks this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .386.

Miami Dolphins: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns

The Dolphins are undefeated (3-0) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .495.

The Dolphins are undefeated (10-0) when allowing less than 22 points since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .742.

The Dolphins are undefeated (5-0) when not throwing an interception this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .634.

The Dolphins are undefeated (3-0) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .590.

Additional Matchup Notes for Cleveland Browns vs. Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins have thrown for 20+ yards on 36 of 322 attempts this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL. The Browns allowed 20+ yards on 11.2% of attempts this season — third-worst in NFL.

Dolphins TEs have 28 receptions in 9 games (just 3.1 per game) this season — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Browns have allowed just 3.2 receptions per game to TEs this season — third-best in NFL.

The Dolphins have run 49.6% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field since Week 6 — tied for third-best in NFL. Browns have allowed their opponents to run 50.0% of plays in their territory since Week 6 — fourth-worst in NFL.

Browns TEs have averaged 8.4 targets per game this season — tied for third-highest in NFL. The Dolphins have allowed 6.3 receptions per game to TEs this season — fourth-worst in NFL.

Browns TEs have 50 receptions in 8 games (6.2 per game) this season — fourth-best in NFL. The Dolphins have allowed 6.3 receptions per game to TEs this season — fourth-worst in NFL.

Browns RBs have averaged a TD every 17.8 carries this season — best in NFL. The Dolphins allowed a touchdown every just 20.2 carries this season — fifth-worst carries per TD rate in NFL.

Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats for Week 10

The Browns have gone three and out 5 times in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.

The Browns have gone three and out on 8% of their drives in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

The Browns have a third down conversion rate of 11% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 19%.

The Browns have started 8 drives inside their own 10 yard line since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.

Miami Dolphins Offense: Important Stats for Week 10

The Dolphins have an average drive start position from the 18.0 yard line in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 24.9.

The Dolphins have an average drive start position from the 18.9 yard line in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 25.1.

The Dolphins had a third down conversion rate of 6% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Dolphins ran successful plays on 31% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats for Week 10

The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 41% of pass attempts last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts in close and late situations last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Browns defense sacked opponents 10 times in the red zone last season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Browns defense allowed 327.6 yards from scrimmage per game last season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: 359.2.

Miami Dolphins Defense: Important Stats for Week 10

25% of the plays ran against the Dolphins were in the red zone in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Dolphins defense has allowed 7 TD passes in the red zone since Week 6 — tied for most in NFL.

The Dolphins defense has blitzed on 22% of plays since the 2021 season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Dolphins defense allowed 3 TD passes in Week 9 — tied for most in NFL.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.