- The Jaguars are -7.5 point favorites vs the Browns
- Total (Over/Under): 41 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Cleveland Browns (0-0-0) visit EverBank Stadium to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0) on Sep. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 pm in Jacksonville, FL.
The Jaguars are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-130).
The Browns vs. Jaguars Over/Under is 41 total points for the game.
Bet now on Jaguars vs Browns & all NFL games with BetMGM
Browns vs. Jaguars Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Browns | +7.5 -102 | 41 -125 | +340 |
| Jaguars | -7.5 -130 | 41 -105 | -450 |
Browns vs. Jaguars Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Jaguars will win this game with 68.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Browns vs Jaguars Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jaguars will cover the spread with 64.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Jaguars vs Browns and all NFL games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today
- Quinshon Judkins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 70% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- Harold Fannin Jr. has hit the Longest Reception Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Longest Reception Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Quinshon Judkins has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jaguars Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Parker Washington has hit the Longest Reception Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 56% ROI)
- Bhayshul Tuten has hit the Carries Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- Trevor Lawrence has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- Parker Washington has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Parker Washington has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 43% ROI)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Jaguars vs Browns
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Bhayshul Tuten | +115 |
| Quinshon Judkins | +145 |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. | +155 |
| Parker Washington | +165 |
| Brian Thomas Jr. | +240 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Jaguars vs Browns
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Harold Fannin Jr. | 35.5 -115 | 35.5 -115 |
| Brenton Strange | 35.5 -115 | 35.5 -115 |
| KC Concepcion | 31.5 -115 | 31.5 -115 |
| Jerry Jeudy | 31.5 -120 | 31.5 -111 |
| Denzel Boston | 26.5 -115 | 26.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Jaguars vs Browns
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Quinshon Judkins | 56.5 -115 | 56.5 -115 |
| Bhayshul Tuten | 50.5 -115 | 50.5 -115 |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. | 33.5 -120 | 33.5 -110 |
| Deshaun Watson | 17.5 -115 | 17.5 -115 |
| Trevor Lawrence | 16.5 -120 | 16.5 -110 |
Browns Best Bets:
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+4.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.05 Units / 87% ROI)
Jaguars Best Bets:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+10.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+9.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+6.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.20 Units / 36% ROI)
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Browns are 2-7 (.222) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .749.
The Browns were 2-6 (.250) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season — T-10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .339.
The Browns were 5-12 (.294) last season — T-6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .498.
The Browns were winless (0-7) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .297.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Jaguars were 12-2 (.857) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Browns turned the ball over 26 times last season — 3rd-most in NFL.
The Jaguars were 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 10 rushes of four or more yards last season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .718.
The Jaguars were 10-3 (.769) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs last season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .572.
The Jaguars were 11-3 (.786) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season — T-4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .518.
Additional Matchup Notes for Cleveland Browns vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jaguars were successful on 62.5% of pass attempts last week — 2nd-best in NFL. The Browns allowed a success rate of 56.4% on pass attempts last week — 5th-highest in NFL.
The Jaguars have been successful on just 25.8% of rush attempts on play action passes since the 2024 season — lowest in NFL. The Browns have allowed a success rate of just 43.5% on rush attempts on play action passes since the 2024 season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Jaguars were 12-2 (.857) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Browns turned the ball over 26 times last season — 3rd-most in NFL.
The Browns scored on 24.8% of their drives last season — lowest in NFL. The Jaguars defense allowed scores on 31% of opponent drives last season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Browns ran just 25.0% offensive plays on their opponent’s side of the field last week — lowest in NFL. The Jaguars allowed their opponents to runjust 30.2% of plays in their territory last week — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Browns scored on 22.1% of their drives in the second half last season — lowest in NFL. The Jaguars defense allowed scores on 28.4% of opponent drives in the second half last season — 3rd-best in NFL.
Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats
The Browns averaged just 4.4 yards per play in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.7.
The Browns gained at least 5 yards on 33% of first down plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Browns ran successful plays on 35% of pass attempts against a base front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Browns ran successful plays on 35% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 51%.
Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats
The Jaguars started 28 drives inside opposing territory last season — most in NFL.
The Jaguars ran successful plays on 34% of plays in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Jaguars averaged just 6.0 yards per play on play action passes last season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.
The Jaguars had an average drive start position from the 31.4 yard line last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 28.6.
Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 33% of rush attempts in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 37% of rush attempts last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 21% of pass attempts on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 41% of pass attempts on motion plays last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats
The Jaguars defense allowed successful plays on 34% of plays in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Jaguars defense averaged 1.3 interceptions per game (22/17) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 0.7.
The Jaguars defense allowed 86.3 rushing yards per game (1,467/17) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 117.8.
The Jaguars defense blitzed on 21% of plays in the red zone last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 11%.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Jaguars vs Browns and all NFL games with BetMGM
More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
More NFL Odds at BetMGM
If you’re looking for more NFL odds, check out the sportsbook’s betting markets throughout the year.
From futures like Rams Super Bowl odds and Lions odds to make the playoffs to game odds like spread, money lines, and totals, there’s never a break in the action.
Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app — to start betting!
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
