Browns vs Panthers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 1

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Baker Mayfield Carolina Panthers
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 11, 2022, 8:16 AM
  • The Panthers (0-0) are -1.5 point favorites vs the Browns (0-0)
  • Watch the game on CBS
  • Total (Over/Under): 42 points

The Cleveland Browns (0-0) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on the Carolina Panthers (0-0) on Sep. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm ET in Charlotte.

The Panthers are betting favorites in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Browns vs. Panthers Over/Under is 42 total points for the game.

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Browns vs. Panthers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 1

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cleveland Browns+1.5 -11542 -110-110
Carolina Panthers -1.5 -10542 -110-110

Browns vs. Panthers Prediction for Week 1

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Browns will win this Week 1 NFL matchup with 55.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Browns and Panthers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • A.J. Green has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • A.J. Green has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Nick Chubb has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Harrison Bryant has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Nick Chubb has hit the Carries Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 71% ROI)

Best Panthers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Panthers players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Robby Anderson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Sam Darnold has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 6 games (+6.30 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Sam Darnold has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Terrace Marshall Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • D.J. Moore has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 36% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Panthers vs Browns

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Christian McCaffrey +500
Nick Chubb +500
DJ Moore +750
Kareem Hunt +1100
Robbie Anderson +1200

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Panthers vs Browns

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Christian McCaffrey -150
Nick Chubb -150
DJ Moore +110
Kareem Hunt +180
Amari Cooper +210

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Panthers vs Browns

Player Name Over Under
Amari Cooper 48.5 -115 48.5 -115
Christian McCaffrey 44.5 -115 44.5 -115
Nick Chubb 7.5 -120 7.5 -110
Tommy Tremble 15.5 -115 15.5 -110
Kareem Hunt 16.5 -115 16.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Panthers vs Browns

Player Name Over Under
Baker Mayfield 8.5 -115 8.5 -115
Nick Chubb 74.5 -110 74.5 -115
Jacoby Brissett 8.5 -120 8.5 -110
Christian McCaffrey 67.5 -115 67.5 -115
Kareem Hunt 32.5 -110 32.5 -120
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have scored first in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.45 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.35 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games (+9.35 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have scored first in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.90 Units / 57% ROI)

Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers

The Browns were winless (0-5) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .165.

The Browns were winless (0-4) when allowing 27 or more points last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .198.

The Browns were winless (0-6) whe trailing at the end of the frist half last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .198.

The Browns were winless (0-6) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .128.

Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns

The Panthers were winless (0-7) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .410.

The Panthers are winless (0-7) since Week 11 — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Panthers were 1-10 (.091) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .408.

The Panthers were winless (0-10) when allowing 22 or more points last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .267.

Additional Matchup Notes for Cleveland Browns vs. Carolina Panthers

The Panthers ran successful plays on just 40.2% of pass attempts last season — second-worst in NFL. Browns allowed successful plays on just 41.0% of pass attempts last season — third-best in NFL.

The Panthers threw for 3,572 passing yards in 17 games (just 210.1 YPG) last season — third-worst in NFL. The Browns allowed just 202.3 passing yards per game last season — fifth-best in NFL.

The Panthers threw for just 6.0 yards per attempt last season — tied for second-worst in NFL. The Browns allowed just 6.0 yards per dropback last season — tied for third-best in NFL.

Browns WRs had just 110.2 receiving yards per game last season — second-worst in NFL. The Panthers averaged just 136.8 receiving yards per game allowed to WRs last season — fourth-best in NFL.

Browns WRs have just 126.9 receiving yards per game since the 2020 season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Panthers have averaged just 145.9 receiving yards per game allowed to WRs since the 2020 season — fourth-best in NFL.

Browns RBs have averaged 2.7 yards after contact per carry since the 2020 season — best in NFL. The Panthers have allowed 2.3 yards after contact per carry to RBs since the 2020 season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.

Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats for Week 1

The Browns started 5 drives inside their own 10 yard line last season — fewest in NFL.

The Browns went three and out on 7% of their drives in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

56% of the Browns offense’s first downs (176 of 314) came through the air last season — 3rd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 64%.

The Browns scored on 24% of their drives in the 4th quarter last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 37%.

Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats for Week 1

The Panthers scored on 10% of their drives in the 3rd quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

The Panthers averaged 16.0 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter last season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.2.

The Panthers faced a blitz 29% of the time in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Panthers ran successful plays on 37% of plays in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats for Week 1

The Browns defense allowed 14 broken tackles in Week 18 — most in NFL.

The Browns defense missed 46 tackles in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — most in NFL.

The Browns defense did not allow any points in 1 games in the 1st half in Week 18 — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 10.5.

The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 21% of pass attempts in Week 18 — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats for Week 1

The Panthers defense allowed successful plays on 32% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Panthers defense sacked opposing QBs just once on 66 pass attempts in the red zone last season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 17.3.

The Panthers defense allowed 31.0 points per game to opposing offenses (31 points / 1 games) in the 2nd half in Week 18 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 13.1.

The Panthers defense allowed successful plays on 32% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.