- The Patriots are -7 point favorites vs the Browns
- Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Cleveland Browns (2-5-0) visit Gillette Stadium to take on the New England Patriots (5-2-0) on Oct. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Foxborough, MA.
The Patriots are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).
The Browns vs. Patriots Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.
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Browns vs. Patriots Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Browns | +7 -110 | 40.5 -110 | 280 |
| Patriots | -7 -110 | 40.5 -110 | -350 |
Browns vs. Patriots Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Patriots will win this game with 74.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Browns vs Patriots Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Browns will cover the spread with 54.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today
- Jerome Ford has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Quinshon Judkins has hit the Carries Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jerome Ford has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jerome Ford has hit the Longest Reception Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Patriots players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Patriots Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Austin Hooper has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.30 Units / 56% ROI)
- Mack Hollins has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+7.23 Units / 43% ROI)
- Mack Hollins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Kayshon Boutte has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Patriots vs Browns
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Dillon Gabriel (CLE) | +4000 |
| Jerome Ford (CLE) | +4000 |
| Quinshon Judkins (CLE) | +525 |
| Dylan Sampson (CLE) | +6600 |
| Raheim Sanders (CLE) | +8000 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Patriots vs Browns
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Bond (CLE) | 26.5 -110 | 26.5 -118 |
| Stefon Diggs (NE) | 52.5 -115 | 52.5 -115 |
| Demario Douglas (NE) | 17.5 -110 | 17.5 -118 |
| Hunter Henry (NE) | 39.5 -118 | 39.5 -110 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) | 12.5 -115 | 12.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Patriots vs Browns
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Dillon Gabriel (CLE) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -118 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) | 61.5 -110 | 61.5 -118 |
| Drake Maye (NE) | 24.5 -118 | 24.5 -110 |
| Quinshon Judkins (CLE) | 71.5 -115 | 71.5 -115 |
Browns Best Bets:
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.87 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 17 games (+0.47 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have covered the 3Q Spread in 9 of their last 17 games (+0.40 Units / 2% ROI)
Patriots Best Bets:
- The New England Patriots have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+8.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+6.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+5.80 Units / 22% ROI)
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns are 3-4 (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).
- Browns are 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -8.11% ROI
- Browns are 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Browns are 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / ROI
Patriots Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Patriots are 5-2 (+2.8 Units / 36.6% ROI).
- Patriots are 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 44.59% ROI
- Patriots are 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Patriots are 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots
The Browns were successful on just 21.9% of rush attempts last week — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Patriots allowed a success rate of just 25.0% on rush attempts last week — 4th-best in NFL.
The Browns have thrown the ball 58.8% of the time since the 2024 season — 2nd-highest in NFL. The Patriots have allowed 7.0 yards per dropback since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
The Browns were successful on just 12.5% of rush attempts against a base front last week — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Patriots allowed a success rate of just 27.3% on rush attempts with a base front last week — 4th-best in NFL.
New England Patriots: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Patriots have run successful plays on 32% of rush attempts on motion plays this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Patriots have gone three and out 7 times in the 3rd quarter this season — most in NFL.
The Patriots have run successful plays on 42% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 28%.
The Patriots have run successful plays on 61% of pass attempts against a base front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
Additional Matchup Notes for Cleveland Browns vs. New England Patriots
The Patriots have run successful plays on 32% of rush attempts on motion plays this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Patriots have gone three and out 7 times in the 3rd quarter this season — most in NFL.
The Patriots have run successful plays on 42% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 28%.
The Patriots have run successful plays on 61% of pass attempts against a base front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Browns were successful on just 21.9% of rush attempts last week — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Patriots allowed a success rate of just 25.0% on rush attempts last week — 4th-best in NFL.
The Browns have thrown the ball 58.8% of the time since the 2024 season — 2nd-highest in NFL. The Patriots have allowed 7.0 yards per dropback since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
The Browns were successful on just 12.5% of rush attempts against a base front last week — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Patriots allowed a success rate of just 27.3% on rush attempts with a base front last week — 4th-best in NFL.
Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats
The Browns were successful on just 21.9% of rush attempts last week — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Patriots allowed a success rate of just 25.0% on rush attempts last week — 4th-best in NFL.
The Browns have thrown the ball 58.8% of the time since the 2024 season — 2nd-highest in NFL. The Patriots have allowed 7.0 yards per dropback since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
The Browns were successful on just 12.5% of rush attempts against a base front last week — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Patriots allowed a success rate of just 27.3% on rush attempts with a base front last week — 4th-best in NFL.
New England Patriots Offense: Important Stats
The Patriots have run successful plays on 32% of rush attempts on motion plays this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Patriots have gone three and out 7 times in the 3rd quarter this season — most in NFL.
The Patriots have run successful plays on 42% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 28%.
The Patriots have run successful plays on 61% of pass attempts against a base front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats
The Browns were successful on just 21.9% of rush attempts last week — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Patriots allowed a success rate of just 25.0% on rush attempts last week — 4th-best in NFL.
The Browns have thrown the ball 58.8% of the time since the 2024 season — 2nd-highest in NFL. The Patriots have allowed 7.0 yards per dropback since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
The Browns were successful on just 12.5% of rush attempts against a base front last week — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Patriots allowed a success rate of just 27.3% on rush attempts with a base front last week — 4th-best in NFL.
New England Patriots Defense: Important Stats
The Patriots have run successful plays on 32% of rush attempts on motion plays this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Patriots have gone three and out 7 times in the 3rd quarter this season — most in NFL.
The Patriots have run successful plays on 42% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 28%.
The Patriots have run successful plays on 61% of pass attempts against a base front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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