- The Steelers (8-8) are -2.5 point favorites vs the Browns (7-9)
- Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
- Watch the game on CBS
The Cleveland Browns (7-9) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (8-8) on Jan. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Pittsburgh.
The Steelers are betting favorites in Week 18, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Browns vs. Steelers Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.
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Browns vs. Steelers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 18
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Browns | +2.5 -110 | 40.5 -110 | +120 |
| Steelers | -2.5 -110 | 40.5 -110 | -145 |
Browns vs. Steelers Prediction for Week 18
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Steelers will win this Week 18 game with 65.8% confidence.
Browns vs Steelers Spread Prediction for Week 18
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread this Week 18 with 61.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Browns and Steelers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jacoby Brissett has hit the Completions Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 70% ROI)
- Jacoby Brissett has hit the Passing Yards Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 70% ROI)
- Amari Cooper has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- Donovan Peoples-Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+5.75 Units / 59% ROI)
- Donovan Peoples-Jones has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.70 Units / 46% ROI)
Best Steelers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kenny Pickett has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.25 Units / 48% ROI)
- Pat Freiermuth has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.25 Units / 62% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Completions Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Steelers vs Browns
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Najee Harris | 12.5 -115 | 12.5 -115 |
| Pat Freiermuth | 41.5 -110 | 41.5 -120 |
| George Pickens | 37.5 -120 | 37.5 -110 |
| Amari Cooper | 63.5 -115 | 63.5 -115 |
| Diontae Johnson | 52.5 -115 | 52.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Steelers vs Browns
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Najee Harris | 71.5 -115 | 71.5 -115 |
| Kenny Pickett | 15.5 -120 | 15.5 -110 |
| Jaylen Warren | 27.5 -120 | 27.5 -110 |
| Nick Chubb | 70.5 -115 | 70.5 -115 |
| Deshaun Watson | 18.5 -120 | 18.5 -110 |
Browns Best Bets for Week 18:
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+10.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have scored first in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 27% ROI)
Steelers Best Bets for Week 18:
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+6.45 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.50 Units / 28% ROI)
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns have gone 8-8 (-0.95 Units / -5.43% ROI).
- Browns are 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -16.49% ROI
- Browns are 7-8 when betting the Over for -1.8 Units / -10.23% ROI
- Browns are 8-7 when betting the Under for +0.3 Units / ROI
Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers have gone 9-6 (+2.4 Units / 13.71% ROI).
- Steelers are 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 21.31% ROI
- Steelers are 6-10 when betting the Over for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- Steelers are 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Browns are winless (0-9) when rushing for less than 100 yards since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .336.
The Browns are winless (0-3) when allowing 250 or more passing yards this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .480.
The Browns are winless (0-3) when rushing at least 4 yards less than 5 times in a game this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .351.
The Browns are 1-8 (.111) when allowing 22 or more points this season — 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .277.
Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Steelers are winless (0-5) when committing 2 or more turnovers this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .296.
The Steelers are winless (0-2) when losing at least one fumble this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .387.
The Steelers are 1-7 (.125) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .433.
The Steelers are undefeated (7-0) when leading at the end of first quarter this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .601.
Additional Matchup Notes for Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers have a third down conversion rate of 33.3% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since Week 14 — fifth-best in NFL. The Browns defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 33.3% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since Week 14 — third-worst in NFL.
The Browns have run successful plays on 36.7% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure this season — fifth-best in NFL. The Steelers have pressured opposing QBs on just 18.5% of passing plays this season — fourth-worst in NFL.
The Browns have rushed the ball on just 32.6% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone since Week 14 — fourth-lowest in NFL. The Steelers have allowed 1 rushing touchdown in the Red Zone since Week 14 — tied for third-fewest in NFL.
The Browns have gone three and out on 42.1% of their drives in the first half since Week 14 — worst in NFL. Steelers have forced three and outs on 31.6% of opponent drives in the first half since Week 14 — fourth-best in NFL.
Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats for Week 18
The Browns have started 4 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 2nd half since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.
The Browns have gone three and out 5 times in the 1st quarter since Week 14 — most in NFL.
The Browns are averaging 19.0 drives per TD in the 1st half since Week 14 — 2nd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.8.
The Browns have started 4 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter since Week 14 — 2nd-most in NFL.
Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats for Week 18
The Steelers are averaging 20.5 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.
The Steelers ran the ball on 27% of plays (39 carries/144 plays) in the red zone last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Steelers are averaging 11.7 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.
The Steelers ran 22% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats for Week 18
The Browns defense has stuffed 44% (4/9) of rushing attempts on 3rd and long this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10%.
The Browns defense allowed a passer rating of just 31.4 (28 Pass Attempts) in Week 17 — best in NFL; League Avg: 88.2.
The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 21% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter since Week 14 — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Browns defense has allowed a passer rating of just 55.2 (106 Pass Attempts) since Week 14 — best in NFL; League Avg: 87.6.
Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats for Week 18
The Steelers defense allowed 20+ yard rushes 24 times last season — most in NFL.
The Steelers defense has allowed 6 rushing TDs on 60 carries (10 Carries Per TD) in the red zone this season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.
The Steelers defense sacked opponents 55 times last season — most in NFL.
The Steelers defense has allowed 12.3 yards per completion (3,836 yards/313 completions) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 11.0.
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