- The Browns are -2.5 point favorites vs the Steelers
- Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
- Watch Monday Night Football on ABC
The Cleveland Browns (1-0) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (0-1) on Sep. 18. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Browns are betting favorites in this Week 2 matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Browns vs. Steelers Over/Under is 38.5 total points for the game.
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Browns vs. Steelers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Browns | -2.5 -110 | 38.5 -110 | -140 |
| Steelers | +2.5 -110 | 38.5 -110 | +115 |
Browns vs. Steelers Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Browns will win this Week 2 game with 53.5% confidence.
Browns vs Steelers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread with 53.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Browns and Steelers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players this Week 2 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nick Chubb has hit the Longest Rush Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Donovan Peoples-Jones has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 55% ROI)
- Amari Cooper has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- Nick Chubb has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nick Chubb has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 79% ROI)
Best Steelers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kenny Pickett has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Completions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 74% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Steelers vs Browns
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Nick Chubb | +600 |
| Najee Harris | +800 |
| Amari Cooper | +1000 |
| Pat Freiermuth | +1300 |
| Allen Robinson | +1300 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Steelers vs Browns
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Nick Chubb | +100 |
| Najee Harris | +150 |
| Amari Cooper | +200 |
| George Pickens | +260 |
| Pat Freiermuth | +275 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Steelers vs Browns
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Chubb | 13.5 -120 | 13.5 -110 |
| Amari Cooper | 51.5 -120 | 51.5 -110 |
| Elijah Moore | 36.5 -115 | 36.5 -115 |
| David Njoku | 28.5 -110 | 28.5 -120 |
| Najee Harris | 8.5 -110 | 8.5 -120 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Steelers vs Browns
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Deshaun Watson | 25.5 -110 | 25.5 -120 |
| Kenny Pickett | 12.5 -110 | 12.5 -120 |
| Najee Harris | 50.5 -115 | 50.5 -120 |
| Nick Chubb | 79.5 -115 | 79.5 -115 |
| Jaylen Warren | 31.5 -110 | 31.5 -120 |
Browns Best Bets:
- The Cleveland Browns have scored first in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 21 games (+4.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 60% ROI)
Steelers Best Bets:
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+4.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+4.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.35 Units / 33% ROI)
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns went 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Browns are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Browns are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Browns are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / ROI
Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Steelers are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Steelers are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Steelers are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Browns are winless (0-9) when rushing for less than 100 yards since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .338.
The Browns are winless (0-3) when allowing 250 or more passing yards since the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .472.
The Browns were 1-6 (.143) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .444.
The Browns were 1-9 (.100) when allowing 22 or more points in the 2022 season — 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .273.
Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Steelers were winless (0-5) when committing 2 or more turnovers in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .296.
The Steelers were winless (0-5) when allowing 22 or more points in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .273.
The Steelers were 5-2 (.714) when playing in cold weather in the 2022 season — 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Steelers were 2-6 (.250) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes in the 2022 season — tied for 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .444.
Additional Matchup Notes for Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers have 13 touchdown passes since the 2022 season — fewest in NFL. The Browns have allowed 20 passing TDs since the 2022 season — tied for fifth-fewest in NFL.
Steelers WRs have 5 receiving touchdowns since the 2022 season — fewest in NFL. The Browns have allowed 20 receiving touchdowns since the 2022 season — tied for fifth-fewest in NFL.
The Steelers have averaged just 0.7 passing TDs per game since the 2022 season — worst in NFL. The Browns have allowed just 1.1 passing touchdowns per game since the 2022 season — tied for fourth-best in NFL.
Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats
The Browns started 5 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for most in NFL.
The Browns had 21 rushes of 20+ yards in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Browns have rushed for 20+ yards 39 times since the 2021 season — most in NFL.
The Browns have gone three and out 12 times in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.
Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats
The Steelers averaged 14.7 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter in the 2022 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.
The Steelers ran the ball on 16% of plays (10 carries/61 plays) in Week 1 — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Steelers are averaging 16.0 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter since the 2022 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.
The Steelers converted first downs on 36 of 61 plays (59%) on 3rd down in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 11% of rush attempts in Week 1 — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 15% of plays in the 2nd half in Week 1 — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 17% of plays in Week 1 — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Browns defense allowed a passer rating of just 17.5 in the red zone (10 Pass Attempts) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 98.4.
Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats
The Steelers defense allowed 6 rushing TDs on 61 carries (10.2 Carries Per TD) in the red zone in the 2022 season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.
The Steelers defense has allowed 6 rushing TDs on 63 carries (10.5 Carries Per TD) in the red zone since the 2022 season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.
The Steelers defense did not force a three and out in Week 1 — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Steelers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 11% on third and 10+ yards to go in the 2022 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
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