Browns vs Texans Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 01, 2022, 11:45 AM
  • The Browns (4-7) are -7 point favorites vs the Texans (1-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 47 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Cleveland Browns (4-7) visit NRG Stadium to take on the Houston Texans (1-9) on Dec. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Houston.

The Browns are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).

The Browns vs. Texans Over/Under is 47 total points for the game.

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Browns vs. Texans Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Browns-7 -11047 -110-350
Texans +7 -11047 -110+260

Browns vs. Texans Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Browns will win this Week 13 game with 69.3% confidence.

Browns vs Texans Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Texans will cover the spread this Week 13 with 58.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Browns and Texans, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jacoby Brissett has hit the Completions Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Jacoby Brissett has hit the Passing Yards Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Donovan Peoples-Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.35 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Harrison Bryant has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games (+6.05 Units / 110% ROI)
  • Donovan Peoples-Jones has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.40 Units / 29% ROI)

Best Texans Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Texans players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Davis Mills has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+6.05 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Davis Mills has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Davis Mills has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Brevin Jordan has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Nico Collins has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have scored first in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.50 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+7.30 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+7.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+5.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 15 games (+5.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have covered the 3Q Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.00 Units / 27% ROI)

Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns have gone 5-6 (-1.65 Units / -13.81% ROI).

  • Browns are 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -28.57% ROI
  • Browns are 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 30.58% ROI
  • Browns are 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / ROI

Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans have gone 4-6 (-2.55 Units / -20.99% ROI).

  • Texans are 1-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.4 Units / -58.18% ROI
  • Texans are 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.75 Units / -30.86% ROI
  • Texans are 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.58% ROI

Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans

The Browns are winless (0-2) when making less than 7 explosive plays this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .389.

The Browns are winless (0-3) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .304.

The Browns are winless (0-6) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .414.

The Browns are winless (0-4) when scoring less than 22 points this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .267.

Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns

The Texans are winless (0-4-1) at home this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .556.

The Texans are winless (0-6-1) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.

The Texans are 1-9-1 (.091) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays this season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .414.

The Texans are 1-8-1 (.100) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .431.

Additional Matchup Notes for Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans

The Texans had a third down conversion rate of just 15.4% last week — second-worst in NFL. The Browns defense allowed a third down conversion rate of just 26.7% in Week 12 — fifth-best in NFL.

The Texans ran successful plays on just 33.3% of pass attempts last week — second-worst in NFL. Browns allowed successful plays on just 37.2% of pass attempts in Week 12 — fifth-best in NFL.

The Texans ran just 31.0% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field last week — second-worst in NFL. Browns allowed their opponents to runjust 30.3% of plays in their territory in Week 12 — best in NFL.

Browns RBs have averaged 2.2 yards after contact per carry this season — tied for second-best in NFL. The Texans have allowed 2.0 yards after contact per carry to RBs this season — tied for third-worst in NFL.

Browns RBs have averaged 5.3 touches per game in the red zone this season — second-highest in NFL. The Texans have allowed 12 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone to RBs this season — most in NFL.

Browns RBs have averaged 128.5 rushing yards per game this season — best in NFL. The Texans have allowed an average of 169.5 rushing yards per game this season — worst in NFL.

Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Browns have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 40% of pass attempts since Week 9 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

The Browns have gone three and out on 9% of their drives in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

The Browns have gone three and out 6 times in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.

The Browns have started 10 drives inside their own 10 yard line since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.

Houston Texans Offense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Texans ran successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Texans ran successful plays on 32% of rush attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Texans have run 12% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 1st half since Week 9 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Texans ran successful plays on 0% of rush attempts in the 1st half in Week 12 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 7% of plays in the 4th quarter in Week 12 — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Browns defense forced three and outs on 46% of opponent drives in Week 12 — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

The Browns defense has allowed 5.3 TDs per interception (16 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.

The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 68% of plays in the 3rd quarter since Week 9 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

Houston Texans Defense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Texans defense has allowed an average of 25.6 fantasy points per game as a unit to RBs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17.8.

Opponents have run the ball 32.7 times per game against The Texans defense (360 carries / 11 games) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 26.2.

The Texans defense did not allow a first down on any of their opponents’ 17 rush attempts on 3rd and long last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

The Texans defense allowed successful plays on 36% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.