Buccaneers vs Cowboys Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 1, SNF

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 11, 2022, 8:16 AM
  • The Buccaneers (0-0) are -2.5 favorites vs the Cowboys (0-0)
  • Watch the game on NBC
  • Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0) visit AT&T Stadium to take on the Dallas Cowboys (0-0) on Sep. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm ET in Arlington.

The Buccaneers are betting favorites in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Buccaneers vs. Cowboys Over/Under is 50.5 total points for the game.

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cowboys vs Buccaneers & all NFL games with BetMGM

Buccaneers vs. Cowboys Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 1

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tampa Bay Buccaneers-2.5 -11050.5 -110-140
Dallas Cowboys +2.5 -11050.5 -110+115

Buccaneers vs. Cowboys Prediction for Week 1

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cowboys will win this Week 1 NFL matchup with 56.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Buccaneers and Cowboys, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Buccaneers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tom Brady has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Leonard Fournette has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Leonard Fournette has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Giovani Bernard has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Tom Brady has hit the Completions Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+3.45 Units / 22% ROI)

Best Cowboys Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.80 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Dalton Schultz has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the TD Passes Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+6.15 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Cowboys vs Buccaneers

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Leonard Fournette +650
Ezekiel Elliott +750
CeeDee Lamb +800
Mike Evans +800
Chris Godwin +900

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Cowboys vs Buccaneers

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Ezekiel Elliott -140
Leonard Fournette -140
Mike Evans -110
CeeDee Lamb -110
Chris Godwin +120

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Cowboys vs Buccaneers

Player Name Over Under
Ezekiel Elliott 19.5 -110 19.5 -115
Dalton Schultz 49.5 -115 49.5 -115
CeeDee Lamb 67.5 -115 67.5 -110
Noah Brown 31.5 -115 31.5 -115
Leonard Fournette 30.5 -115 30.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Cowboys vs Buccaneers

Player Name Over Under
Ezekiel Elliott 46.5 -115 46.5 -110
Dak Prescott 14.5 -115 14.5 -115
Leonard Fournette 55.5 -115 55.5 -115
Tom Brady 0.5 -115 0.5 -115
Tony Pollard 31.5 -115 31.5 -115
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+6.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 2H Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 3Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 18 games (+15.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.60 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.45 Units / 32% ROI)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

The Buccaneers were 4-3 (.571) when rushing less than 20 times last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .121.

The Buccaneers were 8-1 (.889) when playing in warm weather last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .494.

The Buccaneers were undefeated (9-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .584.

The Buccaneers were 10-2 (.833) when passing for more than 250 yards last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .541.

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Cowboys were undefeated (4-0) vs top 10 run offenses last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .459.

The Cowboys were 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .572.

The Cowboys were 1-2 (.333) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times last season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .165.

The Cowboys were undefeated (11-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .621.

Additional Matchup Notes for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Dallas Cowboys

Cowboys WRs had 254 receptions in 17 games (14.9 per game) last season — fourth-best in NFL. The Buccaneers allowed 13.8 receptions per game to WRs last season — fourth-worst in NFL.

The Cowboys went three and out on 15.8% of their drives in the first half last season — fourth-best in NFL. Buccaneers forced three and outs on 17.7% of opponent drives in the first half last season — third-worst in NFL.

The Cowboys went three and out on 26.5% of their drives in the second half last season — third-worst in NFL. Buccaneers forced three and outs on 25.8% of opponent drives in the second half last season — best in NFL.

The Buccaneers ran successful plays on just 22.0% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure last season — tied for worst in NFL. The Cowboys have pressured opposing QBs on 29.2% of passing plays last season — fifth-best in NFL.

Buccaneers WRs averaged 4.9 yards after the catch last season — tied for fifth-best in NFL. The Cowboys allowed 6.0 yards after catch per reception to WRs last season — worst in NFL.

The Buccaneers are averaging 4.9 yards per carry on 3rd and short since the 2020 season — fifth-best in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed 4.6 yards per carry when defending on 3rd and short since the 2020 season — second-worst in NFL.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats for Week 1

The Buccaneers started 4 drives inside opposing territory in Week 18 — tied for most in NFL.

The Buccaneers allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 11% of pass attempts last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Buccaneers ran successful plays on 0% of plays in the 1st quarter in Week 18 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Buccaneers converted first downs on 53 of 70 plays (76%) on 3rd and short last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats for Week 1

The Cowboys ran successful plays on 48% of pass attempts on passes when their QB was pressured last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 30%.

The Cowboys scored 7 TDs in Week 18 — most in NFL.

The Cowboys threw for 5 TDs in Week 18 — most in NFL.

The Cowboys threw for 14 TDs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — most in NFL.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats for Week 1

The Buccaneers defense blitzed 317 times last season — most in NFL.

The Buccaneers defense blitzed on 29% of plays last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Buccaneers defense blitzed on 26% of plays on 1st down last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 11%.

The Buccaneers defense allowed successful plays on 38% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats for Week 1

The Cowboys defense averaged 1.5 interceptions per game (26/17) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.

The Cowboys defense allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Cowboys defense had 26 interceptions last season — most in NFL.

The Cowboys defense allowed successful plays on 41% of pass attempts last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.