- The Buccaneers are -6 point favorites vs the Panthers
- Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6-0) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on the Carolina Panthers (3-8-0) on Dec. 1. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EST in Charlotte, NC.
The Buccaneers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).
The Buccaneers vs. Panthers Over/Under is 46.5 total points for the game.
Bet now on Panthers vs Buccaneers & all NFL games with BetMGM
Buccaneers vs. Panthers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Buccaneers | -6 -110 | 46.5 -110 | -275 |
Panthers | +6 -110 | 46.5 -110 | +210 |
Buccaneers vs. Panthers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Buccaneers will win this game with 79.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Buccaneers vs Panthers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Panthers will cover the spread with 53.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Panthers vs Buccaneers and all NFL games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Buccaneers Player Prop Bets Today
- Baker Mayfield has hit the TD Passes Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- Bucky Irving has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- Baker Mayfield has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Baker Mayfield has hit the Completions Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+5.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- Bucky Irving has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games (+5.15 Units / 86% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Panthers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Panthers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Chuba Hubbard has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- Adam Thielen has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Bryce Young has hit the Passing Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- Miles Sanders has hit the Carries Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Bryce Young has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 13 games (+5.55 Units / 42% ROI)
Buccaneers Best Bets:
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 2Q Spread in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+5.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.21 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have scored last in their last 5 away games (+5.20 Units / 95% ROI)
Panthers Best Bets:
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+6.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+3.20 Units / 40% ROI)
Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers art 7-4 (+2.6 Units / 21.4% ROI).
- Buccaneers are 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -3.42% ROI
- Buccaneers are 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
- Buccaneers are 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / ROI
Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers are 4-7 (-3.6 Units / -30.25% ROI).
- Panthers are 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -5.91% ROI
- Panthers are 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
- Panthers are 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers
The Buccaneers were 8-1 (.889) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .583.
The Buccaneers were 1-6 (.143) when losing at least one fumble last season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .382.
The Buccaneers are 1-4 (.200) when within 7 points at the two minute warning this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Buccaneers are 5-2 (.714) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game this season — 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .587.
Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Panthers are 1-5 (.167) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .658.
The Panthers were winless (0-4) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.
The Panthers were 1-13 (.071) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Panthers were 1-10 (.091) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Additional Matchup Notes for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers
The Panthers have averaged just -0.10 epa per play against a stacked front since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers have allowed just -0.11 epa per play with a stacked front since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best in NFL.
The Panthers have thrown the ball 55.2% of the time in the red zone this season — 4th-highest in NFL. The Buccaneers have allowed a completion rate of 67.4% when defending in the red zone this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Panthers are averaging 5.3 yards per carry on rushes to the left side of the field this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Buccaneers have allowed 6.0 yards per carry when defending on rushes to the left this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.
The Buccaneers have averaged 0.16 epa per play against a stacked front since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Panthers have allowed 0.15 epa per play with a stacked front since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Buccaneers have been successful on 47.9% of plays they have run this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Panthers have allowed their opponents to be successful on 48.7% of plays this season — worst in NFL.
The Buccaneers have been successful on 52.1% of plays they have run against a base rush this season — best in NFL. The Panthers have allowed their opponents to be successful on 48.5% of plays with a base rush this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 52% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 31%.
The Buccaneers rushed for 4 TDs in Week 12 — most in NFL.
The Buccaneers ran successful plays on 26% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 67% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured since Week 9 — best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats
The Panthers have averaged -0.42 epa per play on play action passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.08.
The Panthers have run successful plays on 38% of pass attempts against a base front since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Panthers have run successful plays on 40% of plays on first read passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 51%.
The Panthers have averaged -0.30 epa per play on play action passes since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.08.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers defense has allowed successful plays on 74% of rush attempts with a base rush this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 51%.
The Buccaneers defense allowed a passer rating of just 25.3 with a stacked front (16 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 110.0.
The Buccaneers defense has allowed successful plays on 74% of rush attempts with a base rush since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 54%.
The Buccaneers defense allowed successful plays on 75% of rush attempts with a base rush last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats
The Panthers defense has allowed successful plays on 60% of rush attempts in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Panthers defense has allowed successful plays on 10% of pass attempts with a heavy rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
18% of the plays run against the Panthers have been in the red zone since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Panthers defense has allowed successful plays on 9% of plays with a heavy rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Panthers vs Buccaneers and all NFL games with BetMGM
More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
More NFL Odds at BetMGM
Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.
From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, thereโs something for everyone.
And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.
Log in to your BetMGM account today โ or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app โ to start betting!