Buccaneers vs Panthers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 7

min read
Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady (12) is sacked by New Orleans Saints defensive end Marcus Davenport (92) during an NFL football game against the New Orleans Saints, Sunday Dec. 19th, 2021 in Tampa, Fla. (AP Photo/Don Montague)
(AP Photo/Don Montague)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:47 AM
  • The Buccaneers (3-3) are -12.5 point favorites vs the Panthers (1-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-3) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on the Carolina Panthers (1-5) on Oct. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Charlotte.

The Buccaneers are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Buccaneers vs. Panthers Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Panthers vs Buccaneers & all NFL games with BetMGM

Buccaneers vs. Panthers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 7

  Spread Total (O/U) Moneyline
Buccaneers -12.5 -110 39.5 -110 -650
Panthers +12.5 -110 39.5 -110 +450

Buccaneers vs. Panthers Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Buccaneers will win this Week 7 game with 81.5% confidence.

Buccaneers vs Panthers Spread Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Panthers will cover the spread this Week 7 with 54.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Buccaneers and Panthers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Buccaneers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

 

  • Tom Brady has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Leonard Fournette has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Mike Evans has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Chris Godwin has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+4.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Tom Brady has hit the Interceptions Over in 6 of his last 9 away games (+2.90 Units / 28% ROI)

 

Best Panthers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Panthers players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

 

  • D.J. Moore has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Ian Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.45 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Laviska Shenault Jr. has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.50 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Sam Darnold has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 games (+4.30 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Baker Mayfield has hit the TD Passes Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.30 Units / 32% ROI)

 

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Panthers vs Buccaneers

Player Name Over Under
Leonard Fournette 30.5 -110 30.5 -120
Rachaad White 16.5 -110 16.5 -120
Mike Evans 64.5 -115 64.5 -115
Cade Otton 28.5 -115 28.5 -115
Chris Godwin 62.5 -110 62.5 -120

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Panthers vs Buccaneers

Player Name Over Under
Rachaad White 20.5 -110 20.5 -120
Leonard Fournette 64.5 -115 64.5 -115

 

  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+9.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.20 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.40 Units / 30% ROI)

 

 

  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have scored first in 10 of their last 15 games (+7.40 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 66% ROI)

 

Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers have gone 2-4 (-2.4 Units / -36.64% ROI).

  • Buccaneers are 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -26.96% ROI
  • Buccaneers are 1-5 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI
  • Buccaneers are 5-1 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / ROI

Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers have gone 1-5 (-4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI).

  • Panthers are 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -67.94% ROI
  • Panthers are 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.45 Units / -36.84% ROI
  • Panthers are 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.48% ROI

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers

The Buccaneers are undefeated (9-0) when leading at the end of first quarter since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .685.

The Buccaneers are 8-3 (.727) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .494.

The Buccaneers are 13-5 (.722) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .542.

The Buccaneers are 11-5 (.688) when passing for more than 250 yards since the 2021 season — tied for 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .524.

Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Panthers are winless (0-7) since Week 11 — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Panthers are winless (0-14) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .283.

The Panthers are winless (0-6) when allowing more than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .488.

The Panthers are 1-8 (.111) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .494.

Additional Matchup Notes for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers

The Panthers have been successful on just 34.1% of plays they have run this season — worst in NFL. Buccaneers have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 39.1% of plays this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL.

The Panthers have run successful plays on just 30.1% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field this season — fourth-worst in NFL. Buccaneers have allowed successful plays on just 42.6% of pass attempts on their own side of the field this season — fifth-best in NFL.

The Panthers have run successful plays on just 34.3% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL. Buccaneers have allowed successful plays on just 41.4% of pass attempts this season — tied for fifth-best in NFL.

The Buccaneers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 11.9% of pass attempts this season — tied for best in NFL. The Panthers have pressured opposing QBs on just 16.9% of passing plays this season — fifth-worst in NFL.

The Buccaneers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 11.6% of pass attempts since Week 3 — best in NFL. The Panthers have pressured opposing QBs on just 12.4% of passing plays since Week 3 — second-worst in NFL.

Buccaneers WRs have been targeted 123 times since Week 3 — third-most in NFL. The Panthers have allowed an average of 37.9 fantasy points per game to WRs since Week 3 — second-worst in NFL.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Buccaneers threw the ball 77% of the time (108 Pass Attempts/140 plays) on second and 4-7 yards to go last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Buccaneers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 12% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Buccaneers ran successful plays on 53% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Buccaneers have run the ball on 32% of plays (517 carries/1,596 plays) since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Panthers are averaging 35.0 drives per TD in the 1st half this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.5.

The Panthers are averaging 9.7 drives per TD this season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.

The Panthers have run successful plays on 30% of plays in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Panthers have a third down conversion rate of 23% this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Buccaneers defense has blitzed on 26% of plays since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Buccaneers defense has allowed just 11.7 receiving yards per game (70/6) to RBs this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 36.8.

The Buccaneers defense has allowed first downs on just 8% of plays on 1st down this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

Opponents ran the ball against The Buccaneers defense on just 33% of plays (365 carries/1,097 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Panthers defense allowed successful plays on 32% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Panthers defense allowed successful plays on 32% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Panthers defense has allowed successful plays on 34% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Panthers defense sacked opposing QBs just once on 66 pass attempts in the red zone last season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 17.3.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Panthers vs Buccaneers and all NFL games with BetMGM

Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.