Buccaneers vs Saints Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 18, 2022, 8:42 AM
  • The Buccaneers (1-0) are -2.5 point favorites vs the Saints (1-0)
  • Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-0) visit Caesars Superdome to take on the New Orleans Saints (1-0) on Sep. 18. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in New Orleans.

The Buccaneers are betting favorites in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Buccaneers vs. Saints Over/Under is 44.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Saints vs Buccaneers & all NFL games with BetMGM

Buccaneers vs. Saints Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 2

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tampa Bay Buccaneers-2.5 -11044.5 -110-145
New Orleans Saints +2.5 -11044.5 -110+120

Buccaneers vs. Saints Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Buccaneers will win this Week 2 game with 57.0% confidence.

Buccaneers vs Saints Spread Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Saints will cover the spread this Week 2 with 56.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Buccaneers and Saints, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Buccaneers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Mike Evans has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Russell Gage has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Tom Brady has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+3.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Giovani Bernard has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Leonard Fournette has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+2.45 Units / 15% ROI)

Best Saints Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Saints players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Marquez Callaway has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Alvin Kamara has hit the Carries Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Tony Jones has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Alvin Kamara has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+3.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Alvin Kamara has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 20% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Saints vs Buccaneers

Player Name Over Under
Landry 48.5 -115 48.5 -115
Michael Thomas 53.5 -115 53.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Saints vs Buccaneers

Player Name Over Under
Jameis Winston 11.5 -110 11.5 -120
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 2H Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.10 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 3Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.30 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2H Moneyline in their last 5 away games (+5.20 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.75 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.30 Units / 37% ROI)

Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers have gone ( Units / ROI).

  • Buccaneers are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Buccaneers are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Buccaneers are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints have gone ( Units / ROI).

  • Saints are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Saints are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Saints are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints

The Buccaneers were 4-3 (.571) when rushing less than 20 times last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .121.

The Buccaneers were undefeated (9-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .584.

The Buccaneers are undefeated (4-0) since Week 16 of the 2021 Season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .492.

The Buccaneers were 11-3 (.786) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .545.

New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Saints are 2-4 (.333) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .173.

The Saints were 2-7-1 (.200) when committing 1 or more turnovers last season — 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .393.

The Saints were 2-1 (.667) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .495.

The Saints were 3-5-1 (.333) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes last season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .418.

Additional Matchup Notes for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints

The Saints threw the ball just 48.0% of the time last season — third-lowest in NFL. The Buccaneers allowed just 6.0 yards per dropback last season — tied for third-best in NFL.

The Saints went three and out on 32.7% of their drives in the second half last season — worst in NFL. Buccaneers forced three and outs on 25.8% of opponent drives in the second half last season — best in NFL.

The Saints have thrown the ball just 48.6% of the time since the 2021 season — tied for third-lowest in NFL. The Buccaneers have allowed just 5.9 yards per dropback since the 2021 season — second-best in NFL.

The Buccaneers had a third down conversion rate of just 13.3% on 3rd and 10+ YTG last season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Saints defense allowed a third down conversion rate of just 9.1% on 3rd and 10+ YTG last season — second-best in NFL.

The Buccaneers have a third down conversion rate of just 12.8% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2021 season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Saints defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 10.5% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2021 season — third-best in NFL.

The Buccaneers rushed the ball on just 33.5% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone last season — second-lowest in NFL. The Saints have allowed 9 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone last season — tied for third-fewest in NFL.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Buccaneers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 12% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 26%.

The Buccaneers threw the ball 77% of the time (108 Pass Attempts/140 plays) on second and 4-7 yards to go last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Buccaneers allowed a QB hit on 7% of pass attempts last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Buccaneers have allowed a QB Hit on 8% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

New Orleans Saints Offense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Saints have gone three and out 22 times in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

The Saints have gone three and out on 40% of their drives in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Saints went three and out 21 times in the 3rd quarter last season — most in NFL.

The Saints are averaging 13.8 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.1.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Buccaneers defense blitzed on 29% of plays last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Buccaneers defense has blitzed on 28% of plays since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Buccaneers defense blitzed on 26% of plays on 1st down last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 11%.

The Buccaneers defense blitzed 317 times last season — most in NFL.

New Orleans Saints Defense: Important Stats for Week 2

Only 8% of the plays ran against the Saints were in the red zone in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Saints defense allowed successful plays on 32% of plays in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Saints defense allowed successful plays on 33% of rush attempts last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Saints defense allowed a passer rating of just 21.4 when they pressured the QB (102 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 58.2.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.