Buccaneers vs Saints Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 8

• The Buccaneers are -4 point favorites vs the Saints
• Total (Over/Under): 47 points
• Watch this game on FOX

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-2-0) visit Caesars Superdome to take on the New Orleans Saints (1-6-0) on Oct. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in New Orleans, LA.

The Buccaneers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).

The Buccaneers vs. Saints Over/Under is 47 total points for the game.

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Buccaneers vs. Saints Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Buccaneers vs. Saints Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Buccaneers will win this game with 67.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Buccaneers vs Saints Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Saints will cover the spread with 56.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Buccaneers Player Prop Bets Today

• Bucky Irving has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.38 Units / 41% ROI)
• Baker Mayfield has hit the TD Passes Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.75 Units / 27% ROI)
• Sterling Shepard has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+5.70 Units / 53% ROI)
• Rachaad White has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.80 Units / 47% ROI)
• Bucky Irving has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.15 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Saints players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Saints Player Prop Best Bets Today

• Rashid Shaheed has hit the Receptions Over in his last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 93% ROI)
• Blake Grupe has hit the Field Goals Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.85 Units / 31% ROI)
• Spencer Rattler has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
• Foster Moreau has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
• Juwan Johnson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 58% ROI)

Buccaneers Best Bets:

• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.62 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.25 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.90 Units / 20% ROI)

Saints Best Bets:

• The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 32% ROI)
• The New Orleans Saints have covered the 4Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.55 Units / 41% ROI)
• The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+4.00 Units / 43% ROI)
• The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.95 Units / 20% ROI)
• The New Orleans Saints have covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.75 Units / 26% ROI)

Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers are 4-3 (+0.7 Units / 9.21% ROI).

• Buccaneers are 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.9 Units / 38.81% ROI
• Buccaneers are 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
• Buccaneers are 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / ROI

Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints are 2-5 (-3.55 Units / -45.81% ROI).

• Saints are 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -68.03% ROI
• Saints are 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
• Saints are 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints

The Saints have a third down conversion rate of 0% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 19%.

The Saints committed 4 turnovers in Week 7 — T-most in NFL.

The Saints have averaged -0.99 epa per play when their QB has scrambled this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.38.

The Saints have averaged just 4.9 yards per play in the 2nd half since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.7.

New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Buccaneers have averaged 10.9 yards per play against a light front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6.5.

The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 42% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 30%.

The Buccaneers have targeted TEs 13% of the time (32 Pass Attempts/245 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

The Buccaneers ran successful plays on 48% of pass attempts on passes when their QB was pressured last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints

The Buccaneers have averaged 10.9 yards per play against a light front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6.5.

The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 42% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 30%.

The Buccaneers have targeted TEs 13% of the time (32 Pass Attempts/245 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

The Buccaneers ran successful plays on 48% of pass attempts on passes when their QB was pressured last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.

The Saints have a third down conversion rate of 0% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 19%.

The Saints committed 4 turnovers in Week 7 — T-most in NFL.

The Saints have averaged -0.99 epa per play when their QB has scrambled this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.38.

The Saints have averaged just 4.9 yards per play in the 2nd half since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.7.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats

The Saints have a third down conversion rate of 0% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 19%.

The Saints committed 4 turnovers in Week 7 — T-most in NFL.

The Saints have averaged -0.99 epa per play when their QB has scrambled this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.38.

The Saints have averaged just 4.9 yards per play in the 2nd half since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.7.

New Orleans Saints Offense: Important Stats

The Buccaneers have averaged 10.9 yards per play against a light front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6.5.

The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 42% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 30%.

The Buccaneers have targeted TEs 13% of the time (32 Pass Attempts/245 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

The Buccaneers ran successful plays on 48% of pass attempts on passes when their QB was pressured last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats

The Saints have a third down conversion rate of 0% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 19%.

The Saints committed 4 turnovers in Week 7 — T-most in NFL.

The Saints have averaged -0.99 epa per play when their QB has scrambled this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.38.

The Saints have averaged just 4.9 yards per play in the 2nd half since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.7.

New Orleans Saints Defense: Important Stats

The Buccaneers have averaged 10.9 yards per play against a light front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6.5.

The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 42% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 30%.

The Buccaneers have targeted TEs 13% of the time (32 Pass Attempts/245 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

The Buccaneers ran successful plays on 48% of pass attempts on passes when their QB was pressured last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.

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More NFL Betting Predictions:

• Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
• Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
• Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
• Passing Yards Prop Predictions
• Receptions Made Prop Predictions
• Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
• Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
• QB Interception Prop Predictions
• Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
• NFL Betting Previews: Every Game

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