Buccaneers vs Steelers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 16, 2022, 9:13 AM
  • The Buccaneers (3-2) are -9.5 point favorites vs the Steelers (1-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 46 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (1-4) on Oct. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Pittsburgh.

The Buccaneers are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Buccaneers vs. Steelers Over/Under is 46 total points for the game.

Bet now on Steelers vs Buccaneers & all NFL games with BetMGM

Buccaneers vs. Steelers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Buccaneers-9.5 -11046 -110-450
Steelers +9.5 -11046 -110+350

Buccaneers vs. Steelers Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Buccaneers will win this Week 6 game with 81.0% confidence.

Buccaneers vs Steelers Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Buccaneers will cover the spread this Week 6 with 55.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Buccaneers and Steelers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Buccaneers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tom Brady has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Leonard Fournette has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Tom Brady has hit the Interceptions Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+5.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Mike Evans has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.70 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Tom Brady has hit the TD Passes Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+2.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Best Steelers Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Chase Claypool has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.20 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Najee Harris has hit the Carries Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.05 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Pat Freiermuth has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Chase Claypool has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Mitchell Trubisky has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Steelers vs Buccaneers

    Player Name 1st TD Odds
    Leonard Fournette +450
    Mike Evans +500
    Chris Godwin +750
    Najee Harris +900
    Cameron Brate +1400

    Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Steelers vs Buccaneers

    Player Name Anytime TD Odds
    Leonard Fournette -175
    Mike Evans -140
    Najee Harris -120
    Chris Godwin +115
    Diontae Johnson +160

    Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Steelers vs Buccaneers

    Player Name Over Under
    George Pickens 47.5 -110 47.5 -120
    Chase Claypool 40.5 -115 40.5 -115
    Najee Harris 12.5 -110 12.5 -120
    Chris Godwin 61.5 -115 61.5 -115
    Rachaad White 13.5 -120 13.5 -110

    Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Steelers vs Buccaneers

    Player Name Over Under
    Tom Brady 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
    Najee Harris 44.5 -115 44.5 -115
    Rachaad White 18.5 -110 18.5 -120
    Leonard Fournette 62.5 -115 62.5 -115
    Kenny Pickett 17.5 -110 17.5 -120
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+9.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.25 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2H Moneyline in their last 6 away games (+6.20 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+7.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+6.20 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers have gone 2-3 (-1.3 Units / -23.85% ROI).

    • Buccaneers are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 4.39% ROI
    • Buccaneers are 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI
    • Buccaneers are 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / ROI

    Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers have gone 1-3 (-2.3 Units / -41.82% ROI).

    • Steelers are 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -34.82% ROI
    • Steelers are 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
    • Steelers are 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

    The Buccaneers are 7-0 (1.000) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed an average of 143.2 rushing yards per game since the 2021 season — third-worst in NFL.

    The Buccaneers were undefeated (6-0) vs top 10 pass defenses last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .471.

    The Buccaneers are 11-3 (.786) when playing in warm weather since the 2021 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .492.

    The Buccaneers are undefeated (9-0) when leading at the end of first quarter since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .690.

    Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    The Steelers are 2-9-1 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season — sixth-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers have intercepted 23 passes since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-most in NFL.

    The Steelers are winless (0-4) since Week 2 — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

    The Steelers were undefeated (5-0) vs top 10 run defenses last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .429.

    The Steelers are 1-3 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .471.

    Additional Matchup Notes for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

    The Steelers have scored on 25.9% of their drives this season — tied for second-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers defense has allowed scores on 25% of opponent drives this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL.

    The Steelers have been successful on just 39.3% of plays they have run since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL. Buccaneers have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 40.6% of plays since the 2021 season — fifth-best in NFL.

    The Steelers have run successful plays on just 35.3% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2021 season — second-worst in NFL. Buccaneers have allowed successful plays on just 43.3% of pass attempts on their own side of the field since the 2021 season — fourth-best in NFL.

    The Buccaneers were successful on 51.4% of plays they have run last week — third-best in NFL. Steelers allowed their opponents to be successful on 51.0% of plays in Week 3 — fourth-worst in NFL.

    The Buccaneers have thrown for 1,393 passing yards in 5 games (278.6 YPG) this season — fourth-best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed 287.6 passing yards per game this season — tied for second-worst in NFL.

    Buccaneers WRs have averaged 24.8 targets per game this season — second-highest in NFL. The Steelers have allowed 14.6 receptions per game to WRs this season — fifth-worst in NFL.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats for Week 6

    The Buccaneers threw the ball 77% of the time (108 Pass Attempts/140 plays) on second and 4-7 yards to go last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

    The Buccaneers have started 33 drives inside opposing territory since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

    The Buccaneers averaged 316.6 passing yards per game (5,383/17) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 244.0.

    The Buccaneers converted first downs on 53 of 70 plays (76%) on 3rd and short last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

    Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats for Week 6

    The Steelers have faced a blitz just 6% of the time this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

    The Steelers ran 4% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

    The Steelers ran successful plays on 40% of pass attempts in the 1st half last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

    The Steelers had a third down conversion rate of 10% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats for Week 6

    The Buccaneers defense has blitzed on 27% of plays since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

    The Buccaneers defense has blitzed 365 times since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

    The Buccaneers defense has blitzed on 24% of plays on 1st down since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 11%.

    The Buccaneers defense has allowed scores on 23% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 36%.

    Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats for Week 6

    The Steelers defense allowed 13.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (552 yards / 40 touches) in Week 5 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.5.

    The Steelers defense allowed 20+ yard rushes 24 times last season — most in NFL.

    The Steelers defense allowed 19.6 yards per completion (432 yards/22 completions) in Week 5 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 11.2.

    The Steelers defense sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (55/618) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

    Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Steelers vs Buccaneers and all NFL games with BetMGM

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.