- The Vikings are -6 point favorites vs the Buccaneers
- Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- Watch the game on CBS
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0) visit U.S. Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Vikings (0-0) on Sep. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Vikings are betting favorites in this Week 1 matchup, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).
The Buccaneers vs. Vikings Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.
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Buccaneers vs. Vikings Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Buccaneers | +6 -110 | 45.5 -110 | +200 |
| Vikings | -6 -110 | 45.5 -110 | -250 |
Buccaneers vs. Vikings Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this Week 1 game with 69.3% confidence.
Buccaneers vs Vikings Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Buccaneers will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Buccaneers and Vikings, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Buccaneers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players this Week 1 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tom Brady has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.85 Units / 77% ROI)
- Tom Brady has hit the Completions Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.20 Units / 67% ROI)
- Leonard Fournette has hit the Longest Rush Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- Chris Godwin has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Tom Brady has hit the Passing Yards Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 50% ROI)
Best Vikings Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kirk Cousins has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.60 Units / 53% ROI)
- K.J. Osborn has hit the Longest Reception Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Justin Jefferson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- T.J. Hockenson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- T.J. Hockenson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.00 Units / 32% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Vikings vs Buccaneers
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson | +500 |
| Alexander Mattison | +600 |
| Rachaad White | +800 |
| Mike Evans | +1000 |
| Kene Nwangwu | +1100 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Vikings vs Buccaneers
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson | -150 |
| Alexander Mattison | -125 |
| Rachaad White | +115 |
| Mike Evans | +125 |
| Chris Godwin | +145 |
Buccaneers Best Bets:
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 93% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have scored last in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.25 Units / 33% ROI)
Vikings Best Bets:
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have scored first in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.90 Units / 24% ROI)
Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Buccaneers went 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 26.87% ROI).
- Buccaneers are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 40.91% ROI
- Buccaneers are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Buccaneers are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / ROI
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Vikings went 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Vikings are 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -100% ROI
- Vikings are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Vikings are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Buccaneers were 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2022 season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .416.
The Buccaneers were 3-7 (.300) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2022 season — 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .439.
The Buccaneers are 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .455.
The Buccaneers were 5-2 (.714) when within 7 points at the two minute warning in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .492.
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Vikings were undefeated (9-0) when within 7 points at the two minute warning in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Vikings were undefeated (4-0) vs top 10 run defenses in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .438.
The Vikings were undefeated (9-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .577.
The Vikings were 7-0 (1.000) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent last season — tied for best in NFL. The Buccaneers allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 22 s last season — third-highest in NFL.
Additional Matchup Notes for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings threw the ball 58.6% of the time in the red zone last season — fourth-highest in NFL. The Buccaneers allowed a completion rate of 64.3% when defending in the red zone last season — second-worst in NFL.
The Vikings threw 10 touchdown passes in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — most in NFL. The Buccaneers allowed 9 passing TDs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for second-most in NFL.
Vikings WRs averaged 26.0 targets per game in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — third-highest in NFL. The Buccaneers allowed 14.2 receptions per game to WRs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-worst in NFL.
Buccaneers WRs had 299 receptions in 17 games (17.6 per game) last season — best in NFL. The Vikings allowed 24.0 receptions per game last season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.
Buccaneers WRs averaged 27.0 targets per game last season — highest in NFL. The Vikings allowed 14.7 receptions per game to WRs last season — worst in NFL.
Buccaneers WRs had 299 receptions in 17 games (17.6 per game) last season — best in NFL. The Vikings allowed 14.7 receptions per game to WRs last season — worst in NFL.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 12% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Buccaneers have thrown the ball 74% of the time (183 Pass Attempts/248 plays) on second and 4-7 yards to go since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Buccaneers did not convert a first down on 11 plays (0%) when their QB was scrambling in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
The Buccaneers ran the ball on 32% of plays (369 carries/1,158 plays) in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats
The Vikings targeted RBs 11% of the time (76 Pass Attempts/671 plays) in the 2022 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
The Vikings averaged 340.5 passing yards per game (1,362/4) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 219.1.
The Vikings scored on 47% of their drives in close and late situations in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Vikings have run successful plays on 38% of rush attempts in the red zone since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers defense have forced three and outs on 26% of opponent drives since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
The Buccaneers defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 52% (34 completions/65 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 62%.
20% of the plays ran against the Buccaneers were in the red zone in the 3rd quarter in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 13%.
The Buccaneers defense allowed successful plays on 42% of pass attempts in the 2022 season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats
The Vikings defense allowed 265.6 passing yards per game (4,515/17) in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 217.8.
The Vikings defense allowed 402.9 yards from scrimmage per game in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 355.0.
The Vikings defense has allowed 277.4 receiving yards per game (9,431/34) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 238.8.
The Vikings defense forced three and outs on 14% of opponent drives in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
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