- The Commanders are -7 point favorites vs the Cardinals
- Total (Over/Under): 38 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Arizona Cardinals (0-0) visit FedExField to take on the Washington Commanders (0-0) on Sep. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Landover.
The Commanders are betting favorites in this Week 1 matchup, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).
The Cardinals vs. Commanders Over/Under is 38 total points for the game.
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Cardinals vs. Commanders Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +7 -110 | 38 -110 | +240 |
| Commanders | -7 -110 | 38 -110 | -300 |
Cardinals vs. Commanders Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Commanders will win this Week 1 game with 79.8% confidence.
Cardinals vs Commanders Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Commanders will cover the spread with 57.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cardinals and Commanders, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cardinals players this Week 1 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- James Conner has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- James Conner has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 52% ROI)
- Kyler Murray has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- James Conner has hit the Carries Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Zach Ertz has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.10 Units / 38% ROI)
Best Commanders Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Antonio Gibson has hit the Longest Rush Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Brian Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Brian Robinson has hit the Carries Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Curtis Samuel has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Logan Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.20 Units / 28% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Commanders vs Cardinals
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Antonio Gibson | +750 |
| Brian Robinson | +800 |
| Jahan Dotson | +800 |
| James Conner | +900 |
| Terry McLaurin | +1000 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Commanders vs Cardinals
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| James Conner | +115 |
| Brian Robinson | +150 |
| Antonio Gibson | +165 |
| Jahan Dotson | +165 |
| Terry McLaurin | +190 |
Cardinals Best Bets:
- The Arizona Cardinals have scored first in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Arizona Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in their last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.55 Units / 14% ROI)
Commanders Best Bets:
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+7.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+7.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 3Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.85 Units / 52% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Cardinals went 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Cardinals are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.1 Units / 61.76% ROI
- Cardinals are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Cardinals are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / ROI
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Commanders went 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Commanders are 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units / 94.37% ROI
- Commanders are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Commanders are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Arizona Cardinals: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Cardinals were winless (0-4) when within 7 points at the two minute warning in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Cardinals were winless (0-12) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .398.
The Cardinals were winless (0-6) when allowing more than 5 yards per rush in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .448.
The Cardinals were 1-7 (.125) at home in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .562.
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Arizona Cardinals
The Commanders were winless (0-3) when rushing less than 25 times in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .315.
The Commanders were 8-2-1 (.727) when forcing 1 or more turnovers in the 2022 season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .587.
The Commanders were 7-1 (.875) when leading at the end of the third quarter in the 2022 season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .772.
The Commanders were 1-3 (.250) vs top 10 defenses in the 2022 season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .462.
Additional Matchup Notes for Arizona Cardinals vs. Washington Commanders
No Matchup notes for this Game
The Cardinals had a third down conversion rate of just 28.8% in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Commanders defense allowed a third down conversion rate of just 28.0% in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — second-best in NFL.
Cardinals RBs rushed for 10 or more yards on just 7.9% of 316 carries last season — tied for fifth-worst in NFL. The Commanders allowed 10+ yards on just 7.1% of carries to RBs last season — second-best in NFL.
The Cardinals ran successful plays on just 32.2% of pass attempts in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL. Commanders allowed successful plays on just 40.0% of pass attempts in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fifth-best in NFL.
Arizona Cardinals Offense: Important Stats
The Cardinals ran successful plays on 52% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Cardinals started 9 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Cardinals averaged just 5.0 yards per attempt (1,102 yards/222 attempts) on 1st down in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.
The Cardinals averaged 13.7 drives per TD in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — 3rd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 6.1.
Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats
The Commanders have been flagged 27 times for 10+ yards on offense since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.
The Commanders started 20 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Commanders ran successful plays on 32% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Commanders started 16 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — tied for 2nd-most in NFL.
Arizona Cardinals Defense: Important Stats
The Cardinals defense allowed a passer rating of 115.4 when blitzing (190 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 92.0.
The Cardinals defense allowed a Completion Pct of 60% (64 completions/107 attempts) when they pressured the QB in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Cardinals defense has allowed a passer rating of 86.7 when they have pressured the QB (209 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 55.6.
The Cardinals defense allowed successful plays on 52% of pass attempts in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats
The Commanders defense has allowed 15 touchdown receptions to RBs since the 2021 season — most in NFL.
The Commanders defense allowed passes of 40+ yards on 16 of 514 attempts (3%) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1%.
The Commanders defense allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Commanders defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 7% on third and 10+ yards to go in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
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