Cardinals vs Cowboys Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 9

BetMGM Betting Oct 28, 2025, 9:24 PM

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A young fan sands atop a vehicle holding a Dallas Cowboys flag outside Sofi Stadium before a preseason NFL football game between the Dallas Cowboys and Los Angeles Rams, Sunday, Aug. 11, 2024, in Inglewood, Calif. (AP Photo/Gregory Bull)

(AP Photo/Gregory Bull)

The Cowboys are -2.5 point favorites vs the Cardinals
Total (Over/Under): 54 points
Watch this game on ABC | ESPN | ESPN2 | ESPD

The Arizona Cardinals (2-5-0) visit AT&T Stadium to take on the Dallas Cowboys (3-4-1) on Nov. 3. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

The Cowboys are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Cardinals vs. Cowboys Over/Under is 54 total points for the game.

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Cardinals vs. Cowboys Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Cardinals	+2.5 -105	54 -110	125
Cowboys	-2.5 -115	54 -110	-150

Cardinals vs. Cowboys Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this game with 57.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Cardinals vs Cowboys Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cardinals will cover the spread with 53.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cardinals players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

Chad Ryland has hit the Field Goals Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.90 Units / 45% ROI)
Kyler Murray has hit the Completions Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 34% ROI)
Kyler Murray has hit the TD Passes Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.30 Units / 20% ROI)
Kyler Murray has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)
Kyler Murray has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cowboys Player Prop Best Bets Today

Javonte Williams has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+8.15 Units / 42% ROI)
Jake Ferguson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.40 Units / 41% ROI)
Javonte Williams has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI)
Javonte Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.20 Units / 26% ROI)
George Pickens has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.90 Units / 26% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets:

The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.25 Units / 43% ROI)
The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+8.05 Units / 37% ROI)
The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.65 Units / 20% ROI)
The Arizona Cardinals have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.20 Units / 20% ROI)
The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 2H Spread in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.88 Units / 22% ROI)

Cowboys Best Bets:

The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.45 Units / 47% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.25 Units / 39% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 36% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+6.95 Units / 34% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cardinals are 4-3 (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).

Cardinals are 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -43.82% ROI
Cardinals are 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Cardinals are 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / ROI

Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys are 4-4 (-0.3 Units / -3.45% ROI).

Cowboys are 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -16.75% ROI
Cowboys are 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
Cowboys are 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI

Arizona Cardinals: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys have committed 4 turnovers in the red zone this season — most in NFL.

The Cowboys have run the ball on 15% of plays (14 carries/95 plays) on 3rd down this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Cowboys have thrown the ball 70% of the time (16 Pass Attempts/23 plays) on 3rd and short this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Cowboys have converted first downs on 16 of 55 plays (29%) on plays when their QB has been pressured this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Arizona Cardinals

The Cardinals have targeted TEs 34% of the time (82 Pass Attempts/242 plays) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

The Cardinals have run successful plays on 39% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Cardinals have gone three and out on 6% of their drives in the 1st quarter this season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Cardinals have gained at least 5 yards on 34% of first down plays this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Arizona Cardinals vs. Dallas Cowboys