- The Falcons (5-10) are -4 point favorites vs the Cardinals (4-11)
- Total (Over/Under): 41 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Arizona Cardinals (4-11) visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the Atlanta Falcons (5-10) on Jan. 1. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Atlanta.
The Falcons are betting favorites in Week 17, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).
The Cardinals vs. Falcons Over/Under is 41 total points for the game.
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Cardinals vs. Falcons Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 17
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +4 -110 | 41 -110 | +155 |
| Falcons | -4 -110 | 41 -110 | -190 |
Cardinals vs. Falcons Prediction for Week 17
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Falcons will win this Week 17 game with 57.0% confidence.
Cardinals vs Falcons Spread Prediction for Week 17
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cardinals will cover the spread this Week 17 with 58.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cardinals and Falcons, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cardinals players for Week 17, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- A.J. Green has hit the Receptions Under in his last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 70% ROI)
- A.J. Green has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- Trey McBride has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 games (+4.80 Units / 104% ROI)
- James Conner has hit the Carries Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- James Conner has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 88% ROI)
Best Falcons Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for Week 17, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Marcus Mariota has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Tyler Allgeier has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.20 Units / 53% ROI)
- Marcus Mariota has hit the Completions Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Kyle Pitts has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+5.45 Units / 33% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets for Week 17:
- The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Arizona Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.55 Units / 59% ROI)
Falcons Best Bets for Week 17:
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+10.45 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.65 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have scored last in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 3Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 61% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Cardinals have gone 7-8 (-1.85 Units / -11.21% ROI).
- Cardinals are 4-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.15 Units / -37.85% ROI
- Cardinals are 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 8.48% ROI
- Cardinals are 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / ROI
Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Falcons have gone 8-7 (+0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI).
- Falcons are 5-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -28.32% ROI
- Falcons are 6-9 when betting the Over for -3.9 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Falcons are 9-6 when betting the Under for +2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI
Arizona Cardinals: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons
The Cardinals are winless (0-7) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .319.
The Cardinals are winless (0-7) when committing 2 or more turnovers this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .299.
The Cardinals are 1-4 (.200) when sacking the QB 3 or more times this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .618.
The Cardinals are winless (0-10) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .385.
Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Arizona Cardinals
The Falcons are winless (0-5) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .462.
The Falcons are 1-7 (.125) when making less than 7 explosive plays this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .395.
The Falcons are 1-4 (.200) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .628.
The Falcons are 1-7 (.125) on the road this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .444.
Additional Matchup Notes for Arizona Cardinals vs. Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons have been successful on 46.8% of plays they have run this season — fifth-best in NFL. Cardinals have allowed their opponents to be successful on 48.0% of plays this season — second-worst in NFL.
Falcons RBs have averaged 2.0 yards after contact per carry this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL. The Cardinals have allowed 1.9 yards after contact per carry to RBs this season — tied for fifth-worst in NFL.
Falcons RBs have averaged 5.1 touches per game in the red zone this season — third-highest in NFL. The Cardinals have allowed 12 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone to RBs this season — tied for third-most in NFL.
The Cardinals ran successful plays on just 26.1% of pass attempts last week — second-worst in NFL. Falcons allowed successful plays on just 29.4% of pass attempts in Week 14 — third-best in NFL.
The Cardinals have a third down conversion rate of just 5.9% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since Week 13 — fifth-worst in NFL. The Falcons defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 0.0% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since Week 13 — tied for best in NFL.
The Cardinals have scored on 21.1% of their drives in the second half since Week 13 — tied for fifth-worst in NFL. The Falcons defense has allowed scores on 25% of opponent drives in the second half since Week 13 — third-best in NFL.
Arizona Cardinals Offense: Important Stats for Week 17
The Cardinals converted first downs on 36 of 102 plays (35%) on 3rd and long last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Cardinals have run successful plays on 55% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Cardinals have averaged just 5.1 yards per attempt (1,019 yards/198 attempts) on 1st down this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.
The Cardinals have scored on 17% of their drives in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 30%.
Atlanta Falcons Offense: Important Stats for Week 17
The Falcons did not record a TD in 9 drives in Week 16 — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.
The Falcons have thrown the ball 37% of the time (259 Pass Attempts/700 plays) on Early Downs this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
The Falcons have thrown the ball 41% of the time (359 Pass Attempts/883 plays) this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Falcons have thrown the ball 30% of the time (117 Pass Attempts/394 plays) on 1st down this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
Arizona Cardinals Defense: Important Stats for Week 17
The Cardinals defense did not record a sack (48 pass attempts) in Week 16 — tied for worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 16.1.
The Cardinals defense has allowed 6.2 yards after the catch (2,353 RAC / 380 receptions) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.2.
The Cardinals defense has allowed 35 first down receptions on passes when they have pressured the QB this season — most in NFL.
The Cardinals defense has tackled opponents for a loss on 16 of 79 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) since Week 13 of the 2021 Season. — best in NFL; League Avg: 11%.
Atlanta Falcons Defense: Important Stats for Week 17
The Falcons defense averaged a sack every 32.9 pass attempts (593 Pass Attempts/18 Sacks) last season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 16.1.
The Falcons defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (37/1,099) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
The Falcons defense sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (18/593) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
The Falcons defense has averaged a sack every 29.7 pass attempts (1,099 Pass Attempts/37 Sacks) since the 2021 season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 15.5.
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