Chargers vs Chiefs Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 15, 2022, 8:09 AM
  • The Chiefs (1-0) are -4.5 point favorites vs the Chargers (1-0)
  • Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
  • Watch the game on Amazon Prime Video

The Los Angeles Chargers (1-0) visit GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs (1-0) on Sep. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Chiefs are betting favorites in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Chargers vs. Chiefs Over/Under is 52.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Chiefs vs Chargers & all NFL games with BetMGM

Chargers vs. Chiefs Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 2

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Los Angeles Chargers+4.5 -11552.5 -110+175
Kansas City Chiefs -4.5 -10552.5 -110-225

Chargers vs. Chiefs Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win this Week 2 game with 55.0% confidence.

Chargers vs Chiefs Spread Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chargers will cover the spread this Week 2 with 61.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Chargers and Chiefs, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Chargers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Austin Ekeler has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Justin Herbert has hit the Completions Over in his last 5 away games (+5.10 Units / 99% ROI)
  • Justin Herbert has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Justin Herbert has hit the TD Passes Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Keenan Allen has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+4.00 Units / 20% ROI)

Best Chiefs Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Patrick Mahomes has hit the Passing Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+6.55 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Travis Kelce has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Patrick Mahomes has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.85 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Mecole Hardman has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+3.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Patrick Mahomes has hit the Completions Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.00 Units / 27% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Chiefs vs Chargers

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Travis Kelce +550
Austin Ekeler +600
Clyde Edwards-Helaire +800
JuJu Smith-Schuster +1000
Mike Williams +1000

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Chiefs vs Chargers

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Travis Kelce -190
Austin Ekeler -175
Clyde Edwards-Helaire -115
Mike Williams +115
JuJu Smith-Schuster +125

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Chiefs vs Chargers

Player Name Over Under
Austin Ekeler 37.5 -110 37.5 -115
Jerick McKinnon 16.5 -120 16.5 -110
Travis Kelce 78.5 -115 78.5 -115
JuJu Smith-Schuster 57.5 -110 57.5 -115
Clyde Edwards-Helaire 15.5 -115 15.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Chiefs vs Chargers

Player Name Over Under
Clyde Edwards-Helaire 46.5 -110 46.5 -115
Austin Ekeler 53.5 -110 53.5 -115
Patrick Mahomes 16.5 -140 16.5 +105
Jerick McKinnon 15.5 -115 15.5 -115
Justin Herbert 16.5 -110 16.5 -120
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+11.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have scored first in 14 of their last 17 games (+9.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.10 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+8.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)

Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers have gone ( Units / ROI).

  • Chargers are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Chargers are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Chargers are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs have gone ( Units / ROI).

  • Chiefs are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Chiefs are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Chiefs are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs

The Chargers were undefeated (6-0) when not throwing an interception last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .655.

The Chargers were winless (0-6) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .315.

The Chargers were 6-4 (.600) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Chargers were 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 100 rushing yards last season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .674.

Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers

The Chiefs were 1-2 (.333) when rushing less than 20 times last season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .121.

The Chiefs are 2-2 (.500) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .173.

The Chiefs were 2-2 (.500) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .165.

The Chiefs are 6-4 (.600) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2020 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .185.

Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs had a third down conversion rate of 53.0% last season — best in NFL. The Chargers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 49.3% last season — second-worst in NFL.

The Chiefs scored on 47.4% of their drives last season — best in NFL. The Chargers defense allowed scores on 44.3% of opponent drives last season — fourth-worst in NFL.

The Chiefs went three and out on 9.9% of their drives last season — best in NFL. Chargers forced three and outs on 17.5% of opponent drives last season — tied for third-worst in NFL.

The Chargers have been successful on 46.8% of plays they have run since the 2021 season — fifth-best in NFL. Chiefs have allowed their opponents to be successful on 46.5% of plays since the 2021 season — fourth-worst in NFL.

The Chargers were successful on 46.9% of plays they have run last season — tied for fourth-best in NFL. Chiefs allowed their opponents to be successful on 46.8% of plays last season — tied for third-worst in NFL.

Chargers RBs had 51.7 receiving yards per game last season — second-best in NFL. The Chiefs averaged 51.2 receiving yards per game allowed to RBs last season — third-worst in NFL.

Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Chargers averaged 121.6 yards from scrimmage per game (2,067 yards / 17 games) in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 94.8.

The Chargers had a third down conversion rate of 35% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Chargers have a third down conversion rate of 34% on third and 10+ yards to go since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Chargers averaged 3.1 drives per TD last season — best Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.4.

Kansas City Chiefs Offense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Chiefs had a third down conversion rate of 53% last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Chiefs threw for 5 TDs in Week 1 — most in NFL.

The Chiefs ran successful plays on 72% of pass attempts in Week 1 — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Chiefs went three and out on 10% of their drives last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Chargers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 49% last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Chargers defense did not allow a successful play on any rush attempt in the 1st half in Week 1 — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Chargers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 57% in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Chargers defense allowed first downs on 49% of plays on 3rd down last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

Kansas City Chiefs Defense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Chiefs defense has allowed successful plays on 55% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2019 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Chiefs defense hurried opposing QBs on 58% of pass attempts in Week 1 — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Chiefs defense has allowed successful plays on 54% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Chiefs defense allowed successful plays on 54% of rush attempts in the 2nd half last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.