Chargers vs Vikings Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 3

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(AP Photo/Paul Sancya)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 19, 2023, 3:33 PM
  • The Chargers are -1 point favorites vs the Vikings
  • Total (Over/Under): 54 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Los Angeles Chargers (0-2) visit U.S. Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Vikings (0-2) on Sep. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Chargers are betting favorites in this Week 3 matchup, with the spread sitting at -1 (-105).

The Chargers vs. Vikings Over/Under is 54 total points for the game.

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Chargers vs. Vikings Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Chargers-1 -10554 -110-110
Vikings +1 -11554 -110-110

Chargers vs. Vikings Prediction

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this Week 3 game with 57.0% confidence.

Chargers vs Vikings Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 56.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Chargers and Vikings, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Chargers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chargers players this Week 3 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Gerald Everett has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.35 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Justin Herbert has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Josh Palmer has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Justin Herbert has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Justin Herbert has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.70 Units / 51% ROI)

Best Vikings Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kirk Cousins has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • K.J. Osborn has hit the Longest Reception Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Justin Jefferson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • T.J. Hockenson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.45 Units / 42% ROI)
  • T.J. Hockenson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.40 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have scored first in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 4Q Spread in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.50 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+8.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have scored last in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.95 Units / 17% ROI)

Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers went 0-2 (-2.3 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Chargers are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -100% ROI
  • Chargers are 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Chargers are 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / ROI

Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -50% ROI).

  • Vikings are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Vikings are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Vikings are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings

The Chargers are winless (0-3) when having a TO margin of -2 or worse since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .127.

The Chargers were 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .568.

The Chargers were 5-4 (.556) on the road in the 2022 season — tied for 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .430.

The Chargers were 5-2 (.714) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush in the 2022 season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .519.

Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers

The Vikings were undefeated (9-0) when within 7 points at the two minute warning in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .492.

The Vikings were undefeated (8-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .497.

The Vikings were undefeated (9-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .577.

The Vikings were undefeated (4-0) vs top 10 run defenses in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .438.

Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Chargers vs. Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings have thrown the ball 61.2% of the time since the 2022 season — second-highest in NFL. The Chargers have allowed 7.1 yards per dropback since the 2022 season — fourth-worst in NFL.

The Chargers have thrown for 5,311 passing yards in 19 games (279.5 YPG) since the 2022 season — fourth-best in NFL. The Vikings have allowed 255.5 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — second-worst in NFL.

The Chargers have thrown the ball 60.6% of the time since the 2022 season — third-highest in NFL. The Vikings have allowed 7.2 yards per dropback since the 2022 season — third-worst in NFL.

Chargers WRs have 294 receptions in 19 games (15.5 per game) since the 2022 season — third-best in NFL. The Vikings have allowed 14.4 receptions per game to WRs since the 2022 season — second-worst in NFL.

Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats

The Chargers have run successful plays on 75% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Chargers have run 25% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Chargers have run successful plays on 54% of plays in the 2nd half this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Chargers are averaging 9.7 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.

Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats

The Vikings have 2 of 36 (6%) first downs have come on the ground (6%) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 37%.

The Vikings have 11 receptions for 20+ yards this season — tied for most in NFL.

The Vikings have thrown 3.0 TD passes per game (6/2) this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 1.3.

The Vikings have 34 of 36 (94%) first downs through the air this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 63%.

Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats

The Chargers defense has allowed 9.7 yards per dropback (666 yards/69 attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6.3.

The Chargers defense has allowed 8.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (7,086 yards / 869 touches) since the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.

The Chargers defense has allowed 14.8 yards per completion (712 yards/48 completions) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 10.3.

The Chargers defense has allowed 9.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (917 yards / 102 touches) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6.9.

Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats

The Vikings defense has blitzed on 25% of plays this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 8%.

The Vikings defense has blitzed on 27% of plays on Early Downs this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

The Vikings defense allowed 279.8 receiving yards per game (4,756/17) in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 233.7.

The Vikings defense has allowed 13 of 37 (35%) first downs through the air (35%) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 63%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.