Chiefs vs Bengals Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 01, 2022, 11:45 AM
  • The Chiefs (9-2) are -2.5 point favorites vs the Bengals (7-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Kansas City Chiefs (9-2) visit Paycor Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bengals (7-4) on Dec. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Cincinnati.

The Chiefs are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Chiefs vs. Bengals Over/Under is 53 total points for the game.

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Chiefs vs. Bengals Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Chiefs-2.5 -11053 -110-135
Bengals +2.5 -11053 -110+115

Chiefs vs. Bengals Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win this Week 13 game with 65.8% confidence.

Chiefs vs Bengals Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chiefs will cover the spread this Week 13 with 61.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Chiefs and Bengals, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Chiefs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire has hit the Carries Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.70 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Patrick Mahomes has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.55 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Patrick Mahomes has hit the TD Passes Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+4.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Noah Gray has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 games (+4.40 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Noah Gray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)

Best Bengals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Joe Mixon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+7.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.85 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Tee Higgins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Samaje Perine has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Joe Burrow has hit the Interceptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.25 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+7.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 19 games (+12.60 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 19 games (+12.55 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+11.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the 2H Spread in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+9.40 Units / 36% ROI)

Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs have gone 5-6 (-1.65 Units / -13.58% ROI).

  • Chiefs are 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.8 Units / 14.59% ROI
  • Chiefs are 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • Chiefs are 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / ROI

Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals have gone 8-3 (+4.55 Units / 37.14% ROI).

  • Bengals are 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -9.58% ROI
  • Bengals are 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.65 Units / -21.81% ROI
  • Bengals are 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 13.28% ROI

Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals

The Chiefs are 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Bengals have averaged just 1.5 sacks per game over that time span — tied for third-worst in NFL.

The Chiefs are 4-2 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .304.

The Chiefs are undefeated (4-0) when not throwing an interception this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .624.

The Chiefs are 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .591.

Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs

The Bengals are 8-3 (.727) when not forcing a turnover since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .273.

The Bengals are undefeated (5-0) when leading at the end of first quarter this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .612.

The Bengals are undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .591.

The Bengals were 1-5 (.167) vs top 10 pass defenses last season — tied for 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .471.

Additional Matchup Notes for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals have 23 touchdown passes this season — tied for second-most in NFL. The Chiefs have allowed 22 passing TDs this season — third-most in NFL.

Bengals RBs have averaged 8.2 targets per game this season — tied for second-highest in NFL. The Chiefs have allowed 6.0 receptions per game to RBs this season — tied for third-worst in NFL.

The Bengals ran successful plays on just 26.7% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field last week — worst in NFL. Chiefs allowed successful plays on just 35.7% of pass attempts on their own side of the field in Week 12 — tied for fourth-best in NFL.

Chiefs WRs have gained 1,945 yards on 140 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — fifth-best in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 14.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — tied for third-worst in NFL.

Chiefs QBs have been 17 sacked this season — tied for second-fewest in NFL. The Bengals have sacked the quarterback 17 times this season — tied for third-fewest in NFL.

Chiefs TEs have averaged 14.5 targets per game since Week 9 — highest in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 6.0 receptions per game to TEs since Week 9 — fourth-worst in NFL.

Kansas City Chiefs Offense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 46% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.

The Chiefs have converted first downs on 29 of 60 plays (48%) on 3rd and long this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Chiefs ran 38% of their plays in the red zone in Week 12 — best in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

The Chiefs converted first downs on 107 of 206 plays (52%) on 3rd down last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Bengals had 21 TDs that were 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.

The Bengals have converted first downs on 25 of 32 plays (78%) on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 60%.

The Bengals have converted first downs on 5 of 5 plays (100%) on 3rd and short since Week 9 — best in NFL; League Avg: 64%.

The Bengals have run 57% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Kansas City Chiefs Defense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Chiefs defense allowed a passer rating of just 48.3 (24 Pass Attempts) in Week 12 — best in NFL; League Avg: 93.6.

The Chiefs defense has allowed successful plays on 53% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Chiefs defense allowed successful plays on 56% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Chiefs defense allowed successful plays on 54% of rush attempts in the 2nd half last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Bengals defense has allowed first downs on 93% of rush attempts on 3rd and short this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 68%.

The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 29% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Bengals defense has allowed 1 TDs in close and late situations this season — fewest in NFL.

The Bengals defense has stuffed 7% (1/15) of rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 23%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.