- The Chiefs (9-3) are -9.5 point favorites vs the Broncos (3-9)
- Total (Over/Under): 43 points
- Watch the game on NBC
The Kansas City Chiefs visit Empower Field at Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos on Dec. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EST in Denver.
The Chiefs are betting favorites in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Chiefs vs. Broncos Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.
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Chiefs vs. Broncos Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 14
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Chiefs | -9.5 -110 | 44 -110 | -450 |
| Broncos | +9.5 -110 | 44 -110 | +350 |
Chiefs vs. Broncos Prediction for Week 14
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win this Week 14 game with 79.0% confidence.
Chiefs vs Broncos Spread Prediction for Week 14
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chiefs will cover the spread this Week 14 with 60.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Chiefs and Broncos, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Chiefs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Melvin Gordon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire has hit the Carries Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- Patrick Mahomes has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Noah Gray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)
Best Broncos Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Chase Edmonds has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Javonte Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- Chase Edmonds has hit the Carries Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the TD Passes Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+3.15 Units / 13% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Broncos vs Chiefs
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | +400 |
| Isiah Pacheco | +550 |
| Kadarius Toney | |
| JuJu Smith-Schuster | +800 |
| Latavius Murray | +1000 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Broncos vs Chiefs
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | -190 |
| Isiah Pacheco | -110 |
| Latavius Murray | +115 |
| Jerry Jeudy | +155 |
| Kadarius Toney |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Broncos vs Chiefs
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| JuJu Smith-Schuster | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -120 |
| Noah Gray | 12.5 -115 | 12.5 -115 |
| Latavius Murray | 14.5 -120 | 14.5 -110 |
| Kendall Hinton | 38.5 -110 | 38.5 -120 |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 37.5 -115 | 37.5 -120 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Broncos vs Chiefs
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 17.5 -115 | 17.5 -115 |
| Latavius Murray | 47.5 -115 | 47.5 -115 |
| Russell Wilson | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -115 |
| Jerick McKinnon | 19.5 -120 | 19.5 -110 |
| Isaih Pacheco | 66.5 -115 | 66.5 -115 |
Chiefs Best Bets for Week 14:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+7.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+5.60 Units / 13% ROI)
Broncos Best Bets for Week 14:
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+11.30 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.35 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.85 Units / 44% ROI)
Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs have gone 5-7 (-2.8 Units / -21.05% ROI).
- Chiefs are 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 10.56% ROI
- Chiefs are 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
- Chiefs are 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / ROI
Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos have gone 4-8 (-4.95 Units / -37.08% ROI).
- Broncos are 3-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.15 Units / -47.53% ROI
- Broncos are 1-11 when betting the Over for -11.15 Units / -84.15% ROI
- Broncos are 11-1 when betting the Under for +9.9 Units / 75.29% ROI
Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos
The Chiefs are 5-0 (1.000) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — tied for best in NFL. The Broncos has allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 28 s this season — fourth-highest in NFL.
The Chiefs are undefeated (4-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .617.
The Chiefs are 12-3 (.800) at home since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .534.
The Chiefs are 4-2 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .302.
Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs
The Broncos are 3-12 (.200) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .493.
The Broncos are 1-6 (.143) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .473.
The Broncos are winless (0-4) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .460.
The Broncos are 1-4 (.200) at home this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .564.
Additional Matchup Notes for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos
Broncos RBs have averaged 8.0 targets per game this season — tied for fourth-highest in NFL. The Chiefs have allowed 6.1 receptions per game to RBs this season — tied for third-worst in NFL.
The Broncos are averaging just 1.1 yards per carry on 3rd and short this season — second-worst in NFL. The Chiefs have allowed just 2.1 yards per carry when defending on 3rd and short this season — second-best in NFL.
Broncos QBs have been 14 sacked since Week 10 — tied for second-most in NFL. The Chiefs have sacked the quarterback 14 times since Week 10 — third-most in NFL.
Chiefs TEs have gained 464 yards on 33 receptions (14.1 YPR) since Week 10 — third-best in NFL. The Broncos have allowed 12.3 Yards Per Reception to TEs since Week 10 — fifth-worst in NFL.
The Chiefs are 5-0 (1.000) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — tied for best in NFL. The Broncos has allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 28 s this season — fourth-highest in NFL.
Kansas City Chiefs Offense: Important Stats for Week 14
The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 47% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
The Chiefs have converted first downs on 31 of 63 plays (49%) on 3rd and long this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Chiefs have run 21% of their plays in the red zone this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Chiefs had a third down conversion rate of 53% last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats for Week 14
The Broncos have started 55 drives inside their own 20 yard line this season — most in NFL.
The Broncos have scored 3.0 points per Red Zone drive this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.
The Broncos have started 19 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter this season — most in NFL.
The Broncos have scored 3.6 points per Red Zone drive since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.
Kansas City Chiefs Defense: Important Stats for Week 14
The Chiefs defense allowed successful plays on 51% of rush attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Chiefs defense allowed successful plays on 56% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Chiefs defense allowed successful plays on 54% of rush attempts in the 2nd half last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Chiefs defense has allowed successful plays on 52% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats for Week 14
The Broncos defense has allowed 3 TD passes in the red zone this season — fewest in NFL.
The Broncos defense have averaged 36.2 defensive penalty yards per game (434/12) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20.2.
The Broncos’ opponents have averaged 45.9 Passing Attempts per TD (413 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) this season — best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 24.2.
The Broncos defense has allowed just 0.8 TDs per game (9/12) in the red zone this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.
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