Chiefs vs Eagles Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: Super Bowl 57

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 08, 2023, 2:34 PM
  • The Eagles (14-3) are -1.5 point favorites vs the Chiefs (14-3)
  • Super Bowl Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
  • Watch Super bowl LVII on FOX

The Kansas City Chiefs (14-3) visit State Farm Stadium to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (14-3) on Feb. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Glendale for Super Bowl 57.

The Eagles are betting favorites in the Super Bowl, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Chiefs vs. Eagles Over/Under is 50.5 total points for Super Bowl 57.

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Chiefs vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under, Super Bowl:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Chiefs+1.5 -11050.5 -110+105
Eagles -1.5 -11050.5 -110-125

Chiefs vs. Eagles Prediction for Super Bowl:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win the Super Bowl with 55.0% confidence.

Chiefs vs Eagles Spread Prediction for Super Bowl:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chiefs will cover the spread in the Super Bowl with 67.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Chiefs and Eagles, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players for Super Bowl 57, looking at profitable historical betting trends.

Best Chiefs Player Prop Bets for the Super Bowl

  • Noah Gray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Patrick Mahomes has hit the Passing Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Isiah Pacheco has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Mecole Hardman has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 games (+4.05 Units / 95% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for Super Bowl 57, looking at profitable historical betting trends.

Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets for the Super Bowl

  • DeVonta Smith has hit the Receptions Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Miles Sanders has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.05 Units / 43% ROI)
  • A.J. Brown has hit the Receptions Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Dallas Goedert has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jalen Hurts has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.60 Units / 55% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Eagles vs Chiefs

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Travis Kelce +650
Miles Sanders +800
Jalen Hurts +800
Isiah Pacheco +850
AJ Brown +1000

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Eagles vs Chiefs

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Travis Kelce -125
Miles Sanders -110
Jalen Hurts -110
AJ Brown +120
Isiah Pacheco +140

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Eagles vs Chiefs

Player Name Over Under
DeVonta Smith 61.5 -115 61.5 -115
Miles Sanders 4.5 -110 4.5 -120
Jerick McKinnon 22.5 -115 22.5 -115
Travis Kelce 78.5 -120 78.5 -110
A.J. Brown 71.5 -120 71.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Eagles vs Chiefs

Player Name Over Under
Jalen Hurts 49.5 -120 49.5 -115
Isiah Pacheco 49.5 -115 49.5 -115
Kenneth Gainwell 19.5 -120 19.5 -110
Patrick Mahomes 20.5 -110 20.5 -120
Boston Scott 7.5 -125 7.5 -105
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.85 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.75 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.25 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 19 games (+7.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+7.55 Units / 15% ROI)

Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs have gone 8-11 (-4.2 Units / -20% ROI).

  • Chiefs are 16-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.35 Units / 14.71% ROI
  • Chiefs are 8-11 when betting the Over for -4.1 Units / -19.62% ROI
  • Chiefs are 11-8 when betting the Under for +2.2 Units / ROI

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles have gone 10-9 (+0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI).

  • Eagles are 16-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.65 Units / 11.06% ROI
  • Eagles are 10-9 when betting the Over for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
  • Eagles are 9-10 when betting the Under for -2 Units / -9.57% ROI

Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Chiefs are 13-6 (.684) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .295.

The Chiefs are 4-3 (.571) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .222.

The Chiefs are 7-2 (.778) when rushing less than 25 times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .321.

The Chiefs are undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .611.

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs

The Eagles are undefeated (5-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .411.

The Eagles are winless (0-1) when underdogs this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .339.

The Eagles are 11-1 (.917) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .550.

The Eagles are winless (0-1) when rushing at least 4 yards less than 5 times in a game this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .352.

Additional Matchup Notes for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles have scored 4.8 points per Red Zone drive this season — second-best in NFL. The Chiefs have allowed 4.6 points per Red Zone drive this season — tied for third-worst in NFL.

The Eagles have scored 40 TDs in the red zone this season — tied for third-most in NFL. The Chiefs have allowed 37 TDs when defending in the red zone this season — tied for third-most in NFL.

The Eagles have a third down conversion rate of 48.4% in the fourth quarter this season — second-best in NFL. The Chiefs defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 46.3% in the 4th quarter this season — fourth-worst in NFL.

Chiefs TEs had 37 receptions in 4 games (9.2 per game) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL. The Eagles allowed 6.2 receptions per game to TEs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.

Chiefs TEs averaged 11.0 targets per game in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — second-highest in NFL. The Eagles allowed 6.2 receptions per game to TEs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.

The Chiefs had an average drive start position from the 32.4 yard line in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-best in NFL. The Eagles allowed an average drive start position from the 33.8 yard line in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL.

Kansas City Chiefs Offense: Important Stats for Super Bowl

The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 43% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.

The Chiefs have thrown for 41 TDs this season — most in NFL.

The Chiefs had a third down conversion rate of 53% last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 51% since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats for Super Bowl

The Eagles have thrown the ball 31% of the time (94 Pass Attempts/299 plays) in the 4th quarter this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Eagles have run the ball on 38% of plays (167 carries/443 plays) on 3rd down since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 24%.

The Eagles have rushed for 57 TDs since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

The Eagles have rushed for 32 TDs this season — most in NFL.

Kansas City Chiefs Defense: Important Stats for Super Bowl

The Chiefs defense allowed successful plays on 56% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Chiefs defense has allowed 27 TD passes in the red zone this season — most in NFL.

The Chiefs defense has allowed 27 touchdown receptions in the red zone this season — most in NFL.

The Chiefs defense has allowed successful plays on 53% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats for Super Bowl

Offenses facing the Eagles targeted WRs 49% of the time (287 Pass Attempts/589 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Eagles defense has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (70/626) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

The Eagles defense has allowed a passer rating of just 39.5 on 3rd and long (65 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 78.1.

The Eagles defense sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (41/277) in the last 8 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.