- The Chiefs are -3 point favorites vs the Jaguars
- Total (Over/Under): 51 points
- Watch the game on CBS
The Kansas City Chiefs (0-1) visit TIAA Bank Field to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-0) on Sep. 17. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Jacksonville.
The Chiefs are betting favorites in this Week 2 matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Chiefs vs. Jaguars Over/Under is 51.5 total points for the game.
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Chiefs vs. Jaguars Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Chiefs | -3.5 -105 | 51.5 -110 | -185 |
| Jaguars | +3.5 -115 | 51.5 -110 | +150 |
Chiefs vs. Jaguars Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win this Week 2 game with 51.7% confidence.
Chiefs vs Jaguars Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jaguars will cover the spread with 64.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Chiefs and Jaguars, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Chiefs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players this Week 2 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jerick McKinnon has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Noah Gray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Patrick Mahomes has hit the Passing Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Isiah Pacheco has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Isiah Pacheco has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 73% ROI)
Best Jaguars Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Travis Etienne has hit the Receptions Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Christian Kirk has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Trevor Lawrence has hit the Completions Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Evan Engram has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Travis Etienne has hit the Longest Rush Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Jaguars vs Chiefs
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | +550 |
| Travis Etienne | +900 |
| Isiah Pacheco | +1000 |
| Jerick McKinnon | +1200 |
| Christian Kirk | +1200 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Jaguars vs Chiefs
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | -160 |
| Travis Etienne | -105 |
| Calvin Ridley | +140 |
| Christian Kirk | +145 |
| Isiah Pacheco | +145 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Jaguars vs Chiefs
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Kadarius Toney | 27.5 -120 | 27.5 -110 |
| Travis Kelce | 77.5 -115 | 77.5 -115 |
| Isiah Pacheco | 13.5 -110 | 13.5 -120 |
| Jerick McKinnon | 18.5 -120 | 18.5 -110 |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 29.5 -120 | 29.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Jaguars vs Chiefs
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 22.5 -115 | 22.5 -115 |
| Trevor Lawrence | 17.5 -115 | 17.5 -115 |
| Travis Etienne | 61.5 -115 | 61.5 -115 |
| Isiah Pacheco | 44.5 -115 | 44.5 -115 |
Chiefs Best Bets:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.65 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 away games (+3.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 away games (+3.35 Units / 11% ROI)
Jaguars Best Bets:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 2H Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+7.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+6.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have scored last in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.45 Units / 29% ROI)
Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Chiefs are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Chiefs are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Chiefs are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / ROI
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars went 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Jaguars are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 52.63% ROI
- Jaguars are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Jaguars are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Chiefs are 22-4 (.846) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2020 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .399.
The Chiefs are 7-1 (.875) after a loss since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .462.
The Chiefs are undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .545.
The Chiefs are undefeated (3-0) after a loss since the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .463.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs
The Jaguars are winless (0-4) after a loss as favorites since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .630.
The Jaguars were 4-2 (.667) vs top 10 run offenses in the 2022 season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .432.
The Jaguars were 6-1 (.857) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2022 season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .559.
The Jaguars are 1-9 (.100) when playing in cold weather since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.
Additional Matchup Notes for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Jaguars WRs had 14 receiving touchdowns inside the 10 yardline since the 2022 season — most in NFL. The Chiefs have allowed 10 receiving touchdowns inside the 10 yardline to WRs since the 2022 season — tied for third-most in NFL.
Jaguars WRs have 18 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2022 season — most in NFL. The Chiefs have allowed 28 receiving touchdowns when defending in the red zone since the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Chiefs have thrown for 5,473 passing yards in 18 games (304.1 YPG) since the 2022 season — best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 237.2 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — fifth-worst in NFL.
Chiefs TEs have 100.4 receiving yards per game since the 2022 season — best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed an average of62.5 receiving yards per game to TEs since the 2022 season — fourth-worst in NFL.
Chiefs TEs have gained 1,808 yards on 154 receptions (11.7 YPR) since the 2022 season — fifth-best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 13.1 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2022 season — third-worst in NFL.
Kansas City Chiefs Offense: Important Stats
The Chiefs had a third down conversion rate of 47% on third and 10+ yards to go in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
The Chiefs threw for 41 TDs in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Chiefs have converted first downs on 38 of 84 plays (45%) on 3rd and long since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Chiefs had 73 receptions for 20+ yards in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats
The Jaguars went three and out on 12% of their drives in the 3rd quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Jaguars targeted WRs 69% of the time (57 Pass Attempts/82 plays) in the red zone in the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Jaguars went three and out 5 times in the 3rd quarter in the 2022 season — tied for fewest in NFL.
The Jaguars ran successful plays on 54% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter in the 2022 season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
Kansas City Chiefs Defense: Important Stats
The Chiefs defense allowed 27 touchdown receptions in the red zone in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
Only 7% of the plays ran against the Chiefs were in the red zone in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Chiefs defense has allowed successful plays on 53% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Chiefs defense allowed 27 TD passes in the red zone in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats
The Jaguars defense has no interceptions and 35 TD passes allowed in the red zone since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 12.0.
The Jaguars defense has forced 12 fumbles since Week 12 of the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Jaguars defense allowed 8.7 yards per dropback (745 yards/86 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 6.1.
The Jaguars defense has no interceptions (134 pass attempts) in the red zone since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 50.9.
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