- The – (3-1) are point favorites vs the – (3-1)
- Total (Over/Under): points
- Watch the game on Amazon Prime Video
The Indianapolis Colts (2-2) visit Empower Field at Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos (2-3) on Oct. 6. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Denver.
The – are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at ().
The Colts vs. Broncos Over/Under is total points for the game.
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Colts vs. Broncos Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 5
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Colts | |||
| Broncos |
Colts vs. Broncos Prediction for Week 5
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Broncos will win this Week 5 game with 55.3% confidence.
Colts vs Broncos Spread Prediction for Week 5
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Colts will cover the spread this Week 5 with 57.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Colts and Broncos, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Colts Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Colts players for Week 5, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Broncos Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for Week 5, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Broncos vs Colts
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Dezmon Patmon | |
| Melvin Gordon | +500 |
| Courtland Sutton | +600 |
| Nyheim Hines | +800 |
| Jerry Jeudy | +800 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Broncos vs Colts
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor | |
| Courtland Sutton | -115 |
| Dezmon Patmon | |
| Melvin Gordon | -150 |
| Jerry Jeudy | +130 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Broncos vs Colts
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mo Alie-Cox | 18.5 -115 | 18.5 -110 |
| Alec Pierce | 34.5 -115 | 34.5 -115 |
| Parris Campbell | 21.5 -115 | 21.5 -115 |
| Jerry Jeudy | 51.5 -115 | 51.5 -110 |
| Michael Pittman Jr. | 64.5 -115 | 64.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Broncos vs Colts
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Ryan | 1.5 -130 | 1.5 +100 |
| Russell Wilson | 13.5 -110 | 13.5 -115 |
| Melvin Gordon | 57.5 -115 | 57.5 -115 |
| Nyheim Hines | 36.5 -115 | 36.5 -110 |
| Phillip Lindsay | 37.5 -115 | 37.5 -110 |
Colts Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
Broncos Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts have gone 1-3 (-2.25 Units / -51.72% ROI).
- Colts are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -22.5% ROI
- Colts are 0-4 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -100% ROI
- Colts are 4-0 when betting the Under for +4 Units / ROI
Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos have gone 1-3 (-2.2 Units / -51.16% ROI).
- Broncos are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -17.86% ROI
- Broncos are 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.35 Units / -52.81% ROI
- Broncos are 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.68% ROI
Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos
The Colts are 3-5-1 (.333) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .493.
The Colts are 8-5 (.615) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .735.
The Colts are 2-5-1 (.250) when playing in warm weather since the 2021 season — tied for 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Colts are 2-3-1 (.333) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .635.
Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts
The Broncos are winless (0-6) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2020 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Broncos are 3-6 (.333) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .493.
The Broncos are winless (0-3) when committing 2 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .261.
The Broncos are 2-6 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .435.
Additional Matchup Notes for Indianapolis Colts vs. Denver Broncos
The Broncos have scored on 20.8% of their drives in the second half this season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Colts defense has allowed scores on 18.2% of opponent drives in the second half this season — tied for third-best in NFL.
The Broncos have gone three and out on 29.5% of their drives this season — second-worst in NFL. Colts have forced three and outs on 28.9% of opponent drives this season — fourth-best in NFL.
The Broncos have gone three and out on 37.5% of their drives in the second half this season — tied for worst in NFL. Colts have forced three and outs on 31.8% of opponent drives in the second half this season — tied for third-best in NFL.
The Colts are averaging 4.3 yards per carry on rushes up the middle since the 2021 season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Broncos have allowed 4.6 yards per carry when defending rushes up the middle since the 2021 season — second-worst in NFL.
Indianapolis Colts Offense: Important Stats for Week 5
The Colts have run successful plays on 27% of rush attempts in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Colts ran successful plays on 13% of rush attempts in Week 4 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Colts gained at least 5 yards on 18% of first down plays in Week 4 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Colts threw the ball 33% of the time (33 Pass Attempts/99 plays) on second and 4-7 yards to go last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats for Week 5
The Broncos have run successful plays on 25% of plays in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Broncos have run successful plays on 24% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Broncos have not recorded a TD in 12 drives in the 3rd quarter this season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.
The Broncos ran 4% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half in Week 4 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
Indianapolis Colts Defense: Important Stats for Week 5
The Colts defense has allowed successful plays on 12% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Colts defense has allowed successful plays on 16% of plays in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Colts defense has allowed successful plays on 24% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Colts defense has allowed successful plays on 24% of rush attempts in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats for Week 5
The Broncos defense allowed just 6.9 points per game to opposing offenses (117 points / 17 games) in the 2nd half last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 10.9.
The Broncos defense has allowed successful plays on 32% of pass attempts in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Broncos defense has allowed a passer rating of just 59.0 in close and late situations (124 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 89.1.
The Broncos defense allowed no passing TDs (34 pass attempts) in Week 4 — tied for best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 23.7.
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