Colts vs Cowboys Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 01, 2022, 11:45 AM
  • The Cowboys (8-3) are -10.5 point favorites vs the Colts (4-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBC

The Indianapolis Colts (4-7) visit AT&T Stadium to take on the Dallas Cowboys (8-3) on Dec. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EST in Arlington for Sunday Night Football.

The Cowboys are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Colts vs. Cowboys Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.

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Colts vs. Cowboys Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Colts+10.5 -11043.5 -110+400
Cowboys -10.5 -11043.5 -110-550

Colts vs. Cowboys Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this Week 13 game with 87.0% confidence.

Colts vs Cowboys Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread this Week 13 with 54.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Colts and Cowboys, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Colts Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Colts players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Michael Pittman has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Matt Ryan has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 7 away games (+7.45 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Parris Campbell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.95 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Alec Pierce has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Alec Pierce has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 77% ROI)

Best Cowboys Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.75 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.20 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Tony Pollard has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.75 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Dalton Schultz has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.85 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Tony Pollard has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.75 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.70 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.50 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.60 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 2H Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2H Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.80 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.65 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 3Q Moneyline in their last 7 games (+7.45 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 3Q Spread in their last 7 games (+7.25 Units / 90% ROI)

Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts have gone 5-7 (-2.55 Units / -19.69% ROI).

  • Colts are 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -19.53% ROI
  • Colts are 3-9 when betting the Over for -6.9 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • Colts are 9-3 when betting the Under for +5.7 Units / ROI

Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys have gone 7-4 (+2.6 Units / 21.67% ROI).

  • Cowboys are 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.65 Units / 30.23% ROI
  • Cowboys are 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • Cowboys are 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

The Colts were 5-1 (.833) vs bottom 10 run defenses last season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .635.

The Colts are 2-6-1 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — tied for 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .412.

The Colts are 2-7 (.222) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game this season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .418.

The Colts are 2-4 (.333) at home this season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .556.

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts

The Cowboys are 6-2 (.750) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for seventh-best in NFL. The Colts have turned the ball over 21 times this season — tied for most in NFL.

The Cowboys are 6-0 (1.000) when not throwing an interception this season — tied for best in NFL. The Colts have intercepted 4 passes this season — tied for third-fewest in NFL.

The Cowboys are undefeated (3-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Cowboys are 3-1 (.750) vs top 10 run offenses this season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .420.

Additional Matchup Notes for Indianapolis Colts vs. Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys are 6-2 (.750) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for seventh-best in NFL. The Colts have turned the ball over 21 times this season — tied for most in NFL.

The Cowboys are 6-0 (1.000) when not throwing an interception this season — tied for best in NFL. The Colts have intercepted 4 passes this season — tied for third-fewest in NFL.

The Colts have a third down conversion rate of just 36.0% this season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Cowboys defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 33.3% this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL.

The Colts have a third down conversion rate of just 26.9% since Week 9 — third-worst in NFL. The Cowboys defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 25.7% since Week 9 — third-best in NFL.

Colts QBs have been 43 sacked this season — most in NFL. The Cowboys have sacked the quarterback 45 times this season — most in NFL.

Indianapolis Colts Offense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Colts are averaging 13.8 drives per TD in the 1st half this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.6.

The Colts have scored on 11% of their drives in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

The Colts have an average drive start position from the 30.6 yard line in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25.5.

The Colts have faced a blitz 109 times this season — 2nd-most in NFL.

Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Cowboys have scored 5.0 points per Red Zone drive this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.

The Cowboys have run 7% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

The Cowboys have scored 4.8 points per Red Zone drive since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.

The Cowboys have started 13 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

Indianapolis Colts Defense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Colts defense allowed 12 TD passes in close and late situations last season — most in NFL.

The Colts defense allowed no passing TDs (28 pass attempts) in Week 12 — tied for best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 21.5.

The Colts defense has allowed an average of 1.1 yards after contact per carry (347 carries) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1.6.

The Colts defense has allowed a passer rating of just 50.9 on 3rd and short (57 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 101.2.

Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats for Week 13

Only 3% of the plays run against the Cowboys have been in the red zone in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

Only 38% of the plays run against the Cowboys have been in their own territory this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Cowboys defense averaged 1.5 interceptions per game (26/17) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.

The Cowboys defense has pressured opposing QBs on 32% of pass attempts this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.