Colts vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 27, 2022, 1:19 PM
  • The Giants (8-6) are -5 point favorites vs the Colts (4-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Indianapolis Colts (4-10) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants (8-6) on Jan. 1. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in East Rutherford.

The Giants are betting favorites in Week 17, with the spread sitting at -5 (-110).

The Colts vs. Giants Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.

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Colts vs. Giants Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 17

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Colts+5 -11039.5 -110+180
Giants -5 -11039.5 -110-225

Colts vs. Giants Prediction for Week 17

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Giants will win this Week 17 game with 67.5% confidence.

Colts vs Giants Spread Prediction for Week 17

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Giants will cover the spread this Week 17 with 61.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Colts and Giants, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Colts Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Colts players for Week 17, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Matt Ryan has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Jonathan Taylor has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Michael Pittman has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Michael Pittman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Alec Pierce has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.70 Units / 53% ROI)

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Giants players for Week 17, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Daniel Jones has hit the Interceptions Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Daniel Jones has hit the Completions Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Isaiah Hodgins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Daniel Jones has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+4.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Isaiah Hodgins has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 games (+4.60 Units / 97% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.25 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have scored last in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.90 Units / 30% ROI)

Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts have gone 6-9 (-3.75 Units / -23.08% ROI).

  • Colts are 4-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -31.51% ROI
  • Colts are 5-10 when betting the Over for -6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Colts are 10-5 when betting the Under for +4.5 Units / ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants have gone 11-4 (+6.65 Units / 40.8% ROI).

  • Giants are 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.65 Units / 37.46% ROI
  • Giants are 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.85 Units / -17.22% ROI
  • Giants are 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / 8.51% ROI

Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Colts are 1-9 (.100) when making less than 7 explosive plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .395.

The Colts are 2-9-1 (.167) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .411.

The Colts are 2-6 (.250) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season — tied for 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .393.

The Colts were 5-1 (.833) vs bottom 10 run defenses last season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .635.

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts

The Giants are 7-2-1 (.700) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for seventh-best in NFL. The Colts have turned the ball over 29 times this season — most in NFL.

The Giants are winless (0-3) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .319.

The Giants are 1-7 (.125) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .462.

The Giants are 5-2 (.714) when not losing a fumble this season — tied for 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .573.

Additional Matchup Notes for Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Giants

The Giants have scored on 0% of their drives in the first quarter since Week 13 — tied for worst in NFL. The Colts defense has allowed scores on 10% of opponent drives in the first quarter since Week 13 — fifth-best in NFL.

Giants TEs have just 24.5 receiving yards per game since Week 13 — fourth-worst in NFL. The Colts have allowed an average ofjust 30.0 receiving yards per game to TEs since Week 13 — fourth-best in NFL.

The Giants are 7-2-1 (.700) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for seventh-best in NFL. The Colts have turned the ball over 29 times this season — most in NFL.

The Colts have a third down conversion rate of just 33.5% this season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Giants defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 36.2% this season — fifth-best in NFL.

The Colts have scored on 44.4% of their drives in the first quarter since Week 13 — second-best in NFL. The Giants defense has allowed scores on 55.6% of opponent drives in the first quarter since Week 13 — tied for worst in NFL.

The Colts allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 31% of pass attempts last week — second-worst in NFL. The Giants have pressured opposing QBs on 22.9% of passing plays in Week 14 — fifth-best in NFL.

Indianapolis Colts Offense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Colts did not record a TD in 10 drives in Week 16 — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.

The Colts have committed 29 turnovers this season — most in NFL.

The Colts ran successful plays on 0% of plays in close and late situations in Week 16 — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Colts are averaging 8.4 drives per TD this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.8.

New York Giants Offense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Giants ran successful plays on 38% of pass attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Giants ran successful plays on 37% of pass attempts in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Giants have completed passes for 20+ yards on just 56 of their 1,048 total passing attempts (5%) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 9%.

The Giants converted first downs on just 24 of 110 plays (22%) in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.

Indianapolis Colts Defense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Colts defense has allowed 24.3 points per game to opposing offenses (73 points / 3 games) in the 2nd half since Week 13 of the 2021 Season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 10.4.

The Colts defense has blitzed on just 6% of plays this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

The Colts defense allowed 12 TD passes in close and late situations last season — most in NFL.

The Colts defense allowed a passer rating of just 47.5 on 3rd and short (36 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 98.4.

New York Giants Defense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Giants defense has allowed 5.0 TDs per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.

The Giants defense has intercepted 4 of 505 attempts (126.2 pass attempts per int.) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44.5.

The Giants defense has allowed first downs on 27% of pass attempts on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

The Giants defense has forced 19 fumbles this season — tied for most in NFL.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.