- The Colts are -1.5 point favorites vs the Texans
- Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Indianapolis Colts (0-1) visit NRG Stadium to take on the Houston Texans (0-1) on Sep. 17. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Houston.
The Texans are betting favorites in this Week 2 matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Colts vs. Texans Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.
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Colts vs. Texans Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Colts | +1.5 -115 | 39.5 -110 | +100 |
| Texans | -1.5 -105 | 39.5 -110 | -120 |
Colts vs. Texans Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Colts will win this Week 2 game with 51.7% confidence.
Colts vs Texans Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Texans will cover the spread with 56.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Colts and Texans, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Colts Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Colts players this Week 2 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Michael Pittman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- Michael Pittman has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jonathan Taylor has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Kylen Granson has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Michael Pittman has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 39% ROI)
Best Texans Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Texans players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Davis Mills has hit the Interceptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Longest Rush Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Longest Reception Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Davis Mills has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 36% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Texans vs Colts
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Anthony Richardson | +700 |
| Dameon Pierce | +700 |
| Zack Moss | +1000 |
| Deon Jackson | +1100 |
| Michael Pittman | +1100 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Texans vs Colts
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Dameon Pierce | +100 |
| Anthony Richardson | +130 |
| Zack Moss | +188 |
| Deon Jackson | +190 |
| Michael Pittman | +190 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Texans vs Colts
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Dameon Pierce | 12.5 -110 | 12.5 -120 |
| Nico Collins | 46.5 -120 | 46.5 -110 |
| Alec Pierce | 26.5 -110 | 26.5 -120 |
| Dalton Schultz | 35.5 -110 | 35.5 -120 |
| Kylen Granson | 23.5 -115 | 23.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Texans vs Colts
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| CJ Stroud | 11.5 -110 | 11.5 -120 |
| Dameon Pierce | 56.5 -120 | 56.5 -110 |
| Anthony Richardson | 44.5 -115 | 44.5 -120 |
| Zack Moss | 47.5 -115 | 47.5 -115 |
Colts Best Bets:
- The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have scored first in their last 4 away games (+5.45 Units / 136% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+4.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 2H Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 94% ROI)
Texans Best Bets:
- The Houston Texans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have scored first in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+4.85 Units / 80% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 20 games (+4.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Colts are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Colts are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Colts are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / ROI
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Texans are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Texans are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Texans are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Colts were 1-10 (.091) when making less than 7 explosive plays in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .401.
The Colts were 2-6-1 (.222) when sacking the QB 3 or more times in the 2022 season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .614.
The Colts were 2-8-1 (.182) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .416.
The Colts were 2-8-1 (.182) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2022 season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .439.
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts
The Texans are winless (0-5-1) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Texans are 2-21-1 (.083) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.
The Texans are 7-27-1 (.200) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.
The Texans are 6-9 (.400) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .720.
Additional Matchup Notes for Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans
The Texans have a third down conversion rate of just 11.3% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2022 season — third-worst in NFL. The Colts defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 10.0% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2022 season — second-best in NFL.
Texans TEs have gained 504 yards on 39 receptions (12.9 YPR) since Week 12 of the 2022 Season — third-best in NFL. The Colts have allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs since Week 12 of the 2022 Season — tied for third-worst in NFL.
Texans TEs have averaged 6.6 yards after the catch since Week 12 of the 2022 Season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Colts have allowed 6.2 yards after catch per reception to TEs since Week 12 of the 2022 Season — fifth-worst in NFL.
The Colts have turned the ball over 16 times since Week 12 of the 2022 Season — tied for second-most in NFL. The Texans have forced 15 turnovers since Week 12 of the 2022 Season — tied for fourth-most in NFL.
Colts WRs have averaged just 3.0 yards after the catch since Week 12 of the 2022 Season — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Texans have allowed just 3.5 yards after catch per reception to WRs since Week 12 of the 2022 Season — tied for fifth-best in NFL.
Indianapolis Colts Offense: Important Stats
The Colts averaged 12.1 drives per TD in the 1st half in the 2022 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.7.
The Colts went three and out 18 times in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Colts committed 32 turnovers in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Colts have committed 35 turnovers since the 2022 season — most in NFL.
Houston Texans Offense: Important Stats
The Texans have run successful plays on 34% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Texans have converted first downs on just 70 of 314 plays (22%) in close and late situations since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.
The Texans have run successful plays on 35% of plays in the red zone since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Texans committed 31 turnovers in the 2022 season — 2nd-most in NFL.
Indianapolis Colts Defense: Important Stats
The Colts defense has allowed 18.1 points per game to opposing offenses (127 points / 7 games) in the 2nd half since Week 12 of the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 9.9.
The Colts defense allowed successful plays on 56% of pass attempts in Week 1 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Colts defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 53% (36 completions/68 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 62%.
The Colts defense allowed successful plays on 36% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Houston Texans Defense: Important Stats
The Texans defense allowed an average of 26.4 fantasy points per game as a unit to RBs in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17.5.
The Texans defense allowed 15 of 40 (38%) TDs through the air in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 60%.
Offenses facing the Texans threw deep balls on just 3% of pass attempts (2/67) on 3rd and long in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
Opponents have run the ball 32.3 times per game against The Texans defense (582 carries / 18 games) since the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 26.5.
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