Colts vs Titans Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 7

min read
Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry (22) stretches at training camp at the NFL football team's practice facility Saturday, July 30, 2022, in Nashville, Tenn.
(AP Photo/Mark Humphrey)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:47 AM
  • The Titans (3-2) are -2.5 point favorites vs the Colts (3-2)
  • Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Indianapolis Colts (3-2) visit Nissan Stadium to take on the Tennessee Titans (3-2) on Oct. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Nashville.

The Titans are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Colts vs. Titans Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Titans vs Colts & all NFL games with BetMGM

Colts vs. Titans Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 7

  Spread Total (O/U) Moneyline
Colts +2.5 -110 42.5 -110 +120
Titans -2.5 -110 42.5 -110 -145

Colts vs. Titans Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Titans will win this Week 7 game with 57.0% confidence.

Colts vs Titans Spread Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Colts will cover the spread this Week 7 with 56.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Colts and Titans, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Colts Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Colts players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

 

  • Nyheim Hines has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Matt Ryan has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.75 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jonathan Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+5.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Matt Ryan has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Alec Pierce has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)

 

Best Titans Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Titans players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

 

  • Ryan Tannehill has hit the Completions Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ryan Tannehill has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ryan Tannehill has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Geoff Swaim has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.90 Units / 121% ROI)
  • Ryan Tannehill has hit the Passing Yards Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.55 Units / 20% ROI)

 

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Titans vs Colts

Player Name Over Under
Derrick Henry 13.5 -120 13.5 -110
Nick Westbrook 32.5 -120 32.5 -115
Jonathan Taylor 10.5 -120 10.5 -110
Parris Campbell 29.5 -110 29.5 -120
Michael Pittman Jr. 68.5 -115 68.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Titans vs Colts

Player Name Over Under
Derrick Henry 89.5 -115 89.5 -115
Ryan Tannehill 9.5 -120 9.5 -110
Jonathan Taylor 65.5 -115 65.5 -115
Matt Ryan 2.5 -110 2.5 -120

 

  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+5.30 Units / 51% ROI)

 

 

  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+8.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.85 Units / 57% ROI)

 

Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts have gone 3-3 (-0.25 Units / -3.88% ROI).

  • Colts are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 7.8% ROI
  • Colts are 1-5 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI
  • Colts are 5-1 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / ROI

Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans have gone 3-2 (+0.75 Units / 13.51% ROI).

  • Titans are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 6.92% ROI
  • Titans are 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Titans are 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI

Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans

The Colts were 5-1 (.833) vs bottom 10 run defenses last season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .635.

The Colts are 2-6 (.250) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2021 season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .366.

The Colts are 2-10 (.167) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2021 season — tied for 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .283.

The Colts are 2-3-1 (.333) when committing 60 or more yards in penalties since the 2021 season — tied for 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .450.

Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts

The Titans are 2-1 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .281.

The Titans are winless (0-2) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .420.

The Titans are 2-1 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties this season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .535.

The Titans are 9-1 (.900) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .541.

Additional Matchup Notes for Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans

The Titans have run successful plays on 55.3% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field this season — best in NFL. Colts have allowed successful plays on 57.4% of pass attempts on their own side of the field this season — worst in NFL.

The Titans have scored on 46.2% of their drives in the first quarter this season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Colts defense has allowed scores on 50% of opponent drives in the first quarter this season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.

The Titans have scored on 6.5% of their drives in the second half this season — worst in NFL. The Colts defense has allowed scores on 27.3% of opponent drives in the second half this season — third-best in NFL.

The Colts have thrown the ball 63.3% of the time this season — highest in NFL. The Titans have allowed 7.9 yards per dropback this season — tied for worst in NFL.

The Colts have run successful plays on just 34.2% of rush attempts this season — worst in NFL. Titans have allowed successful plays on just 35.5% of rush attempts this season — best in NFL.

The Colts have rushed the ball on just 31.2% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone this season — tied for second-lowest in NFL. The Titans have allowed 1 rushing touchdown in the Red Zone this season — tied for fewest in NFL.

Indianapolis Colts Offense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Colts have run successful plays on 27% of rush attempts in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Colts have run successful plays on 13% of rush attempts in the 2nd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Colts have gone three and out 9 times in the 1st quarter this season — tied for most in NFL.

The Colts ran 21% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Titans have not recorded a TD in 16 drives in the 4th quarter this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.1.

The Titans have run 18% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Titans have converted first downs on just 8 of 64 plays (12%) in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Titans have run none of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

Indianapolis Colts Defense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Colts defense has allowed a passer rating of just 43.6 on 3rd and short (47 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 102.5.

The Colts defense has allowed a passer rating of just 21.9 in close and late situations (25 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 85.0.

The Colts defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (10 completions/25 attempts) in close and late situations this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 64%.

The Colts defense allowed 12 TD passes in close and late situations last season — most in NFL.

Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Titans defense has allowed successful plays on 15% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Titans defense has allowed 27.3 yards per dropback (546 yards/20 attempts) when targeted at a depth of 20+ yards this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 11.5.

The Titans defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 29% on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Titans defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 27% this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Titans vs Colts and all NFL games with BetMGM

Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.