Colts vs Vikings Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 16, 2022, 4:22 PM
  • The Vikings (10-3) are -4 point favorites vs the Colts (4-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • Watch the game on NFL Network

The Indianapolis Colts (4-8) visit U.S. Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Vikings (10-3) on Dec. 17. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Minneapolis.

The Vikings are betting favorites in Week 15, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Colts vs. Vikings Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.

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Colts vs. Vikings Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 15

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Colts+3.5 -11047.5 -110+155
Vikings -3.5 -11047.5 -110-190

Colts vs. Vikings Prediction for Week 15

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this Week 15 game with 67.5% confidence.

Colts vs Vikings Spread Prediction for Week 15

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread this Week 15 with 55.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Colts and Vikings, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Colts Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Colts players for Week 15, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Parris Campbell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Michael Pittman has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Matt Ryan has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Matt Ryan has hit the TD Passes Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+3.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Parris Campbell has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 29% ROI)

Best Vikings Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for Week 15, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kirk Cousins has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Dalvin Cook has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Irv Smith has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 games (+4.45 Units / 102% ROI)
  • Justin Jefferson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • K.J. Osborn has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.20 Units / 70% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Vikings vs Colts

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Jonathan Taylor +600
Dalvin Cook +650
Justin Jefferson +700
T.J. Hockenson +800
Adam Thielen +1000

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Vikings vs Colts

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Dalvin Cook -165
Jonathan Taylor -160
Justin Jefferson -155
Adam Thielen +145
Michael Pittman +160

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Vikings vs Colts

Player Name Over Under
Justin Jefferson 93.5 -115 93.5 -115
Adam Thielen 52.5 -115 52.5 -115
Parris Campbell 43.5 -115 43.5 -115
Alec Pierce 38.5 -110 38.5 -120
Michael Pittman Jr. 69.5 -120 69.5 -110

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Vikings vs Colts

Player Name Over Under
Dalvin Cook 69.5 -115 69.5 -115
Jonathan Taylor 81.5 -115 81.5 -115
Matt Ryan 3.5 -105 3.5 -125
Kirk Cousins 3.5 -105 3.5 -125
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.65 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.30 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 3Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.35 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+9.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.65 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)

Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts have gone 5-8 (-3.65 Units / -25.98% ROI).

  • Colts are 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -23.97% ROI
  • Colts are 4-9 when betting the Over for -5.9 Units / -41.26% ROI
  • Colts are 9-4 when betting the Under for +4.6 Units / ROI

Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings have gone 6-6 (-0.7 Units / -4.84% ROI).

  • Vikings are 10-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 37.39% ROI
  • Vikings are 8-5 when betting the Over for +2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI
  • Vikings are 5-8 when betting the Under for -3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI

Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings

The Colts are 2-7-1 (.200) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .405.

The Colts are 2-7-1 (.200) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season — tied for 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .428.

The Colts are 2-7 (.222) when allowing 3 or more sacks this season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .371.

The Colts are 3-8-1 (.250) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush this season — 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .467.

Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts

The Vikings are 9-1 (.900) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — second-best in NFL. The Colts have turned the ball over 25 times this season — most in NFL.

The Vikings are 9-1 (.900) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .586.

The Vikings are undefeated (6-0) when forcing at least one fumble this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .593.

The Vikings are undefeated (6-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .569.

Additional Matchup Notes for Indianapolis Colts vs. Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings have gone three and out on 26.7% of their drives in the second half this season — fourth-worst in NFL. Colts have forced three and outs on 26.4% of opponent drives in the second half this season — fourth-best in NFL.

Vikings RBs have just 12.5 receiving yards per game since Week 11 — second-worst in NFL. The Colts have averaged just 18.3 receiving yards per game allowed to RBs since Week 11 — third-best in NFL.

The Vikings are 9-1 (.900) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — second-best in NFL. The Colts have turned the ball over 25 times this season — most in NFL.

The Colts have scored on 42.9% of their drives in the first quarter since Week 11 — tied for fourth-best in NFL. The Vikings defense has allowed scores on 54.5% of opponent drives in the first quarter since Week 11 — tied for third-worst in NFL.

The Colts have thrown the ball 10 yards or less 78.3% of pass attempts this season — highest in NFL. The Vikings have allowed 6.8 yards per dropback on pass attempts between 1 and 10 yards this season — worst in NFL.

Indianapolis Colts Offense: Important Stats for Week 15

The Colts have committed 25 turnovers this season — most in NFL.

The Colts have faced a blitz 138 times this season — most in NFL.

The Colts have not converted a first down on 4 plays (0%) on second and 1-3 yards to go since Week 11 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

The Colts have gone three and out 16 times in the 1st quarter this season — most in NFL.

Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats for Week 15

The Vikings have run successful plays on 33% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Vikings ran successful plays on 18% of rush attempts in Week 14 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Vikings converted first downs on just 30 of 57 plays (53%) on 3rd and short last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

The Vikings have run the ball on 14% of plays (24 carries/175 plays) on 3rd down this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

Indianapolis Colts Defense: Important Stats for Week 15

The Colts defense allowed 12 TD passes in close and late situations last season — most in NFL.

The Colts defense has allowed a passer rating of just 54.3 on 3rd and short (59 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 99.8.

The Colts defense has allowed successful plays on 34% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Colts defense allowed a passer rating of just 47.5 on 3rd and short (36 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 98.4.

Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats for Week 15

The Vikings defense has allowed 214.0 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 160.1.

The Vikings defense has allowed 301.9 receiving yards per game (3,925/13) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 238.2.

The Vikings defense has allowed 287.2 passing yards per game (3,733/13) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 222.2.

The Vikings defense tackled opponents for a loss on just 29 of 468 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) last season. — worst in NFL; League Avg: 11%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.